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Is There Hope?

The only hope I have with this team is to watch Tank. Rest is a mess
 
This is more for fun than anything else, but there was a stretch of the game yesterday that lasted nearly a half, in which the Dolphins played like a team that would be expected to finish a season with a 15-1 record.

Let me explain.

In the second half, Matt Moore's passer rating was 106.5.

Ryan Fitzpatrick's was 68.8.

That of course means the Dolphins' passing offense was playing very well, and its defense was playing very well against the opposing passing offense.

Based on league data from 2014 to 2016, every 5.65 points of advantage between offensive passer rating and defensive passer rating surrendered (i.e., passer rating differential) equals one expected win on a season.

During the second half yesterday, the Dolphins' passer rating differential was a whopping +37.6.

37.6/5.65 = 6.65

(For comparison's sake, the 2016 Patriots, who finished 14-2 and won the Super Bowl, had a passer rating differential of +25.1 on the season.)

The average team in the league is of course expected to finish 8-8. A team with 6.65 additional wins, rounding up to 7, would naturally finish 15-1.

So here's the question to ponder and respond to if you'd like: if this team is truly toast, why can it play for an entire half of football like a team that would be expected to finish 15-1, even when it's down 20-7 on the scoreboard and there appears to be no overwhelming motive to do so?

Take a look through the forum at the criticism of various parts of the team, from the owner all the way to the ballboy.

If those parts of the team truly make it terrible, how did it play like a 15-1 team for an entire half, when it could've just as easily packed up and quit?

What about the team made that happen, and why can't it be present for 60 minutes week in week out?


Hope is a dangerous thing
. Hope can drive a man insane...Dont bring hope into this little shop of horrors Sonny
 
Put hope in one hand and **** in the other... which fills first?
 
The original post isn't about "5 or 6 passes." It's about how an entire team, offense and defense, played very well for an entire half, when there was little if any motive to do so.

The key here is that last part -- when there was little if any motive to do so.

For example, In the 52 games between 2004 and the present time in which two teams with losing records (i.e., the Dolphins and Tampa Bay) played in weeks 10 through 16 of the regular season (when a team with a losing record has little to play for), and the away team (i.e., Tampa Bay Sunday) held a halftime lead between 10 and 17 points, the home team (i.e., the Dolphins) either won the game, or lost it by three or fewer points, in 15 of those games.

In other words, 28% of the time, teams in the Dolphins' situation at halftime Sunday do what the Dolphins did or better.

The other 72% of the time, teams in the Dolphins' situation at halftime Sunday do worse, and the average amount they lose by in those games is 15.1 points.

In other words, far and away the norm in the league is to be involved in a game like the Dolphins were Sunday, and lose by about as many points as one was down by at the half.

Like I said in the original post, they could've packed it up and quit, and in fact that's the norm in the league, if one uses the average final score as an indication of the losing team's having "quit."

Didn't happen Sunday, however. Instead a team with nothing to play for played like a 15-1 team.

The question is, where did they find that "mojo" if you will, when for so many other stretches of the season -- with more reason to be motivated -- they've looked completely flat.
I know many will not agree but the mojo in my opinion is they just have more fun playing w Moore in there. Cutler conducts himself like the mummified remains of Sid Luckman. Moore gets fired up like a guy that still loves the game of football. The other guys feed off of that. Even Tannehill gets all into it when Moore is in there. I think that was part of it.
 
Here’s what we should be hoping for:

- Tannehill recovers and comes back 100% healthy

- MacMillan comes back 100% and hasn’t already lost a step in his rookie season

- We find a way to re-sign Landry

- Laremy Tunsil matures into a stud by season’s end

- T-Baum gets eaten by an alligator while playing golf

- We draft a RB that can break tackles, block and catch

- We draft a TE that can catch

- Charles Harris turns into a double digit sack guy by next season

- Andre Branch decides to opt out of his contract because he actually feels bad - as if he’s stealing from us

- We draft a stud LBer and Stephane Anthony plays like a 1st round pick

- Jessie Davis is the real deal and we can let James walk

- Kiko puts on 30 pounds and can still run as fast

- Jakeem Grant learns how to take a knee in the EZ

- Devante Parker learns how to use his big body and learns how to concentrate

- We hire a competent o-line coach who can keep these idiots from 5-10 false starts / holdings per game

- Bill Belichik decides to spend more time w his family

That’s about it - not too much to hope for.

:biggrin
 
Here’s what we should be hoping for:

- Laremy Tunsil matures into a stud by season’s end

- T-Baum gets eaten by an alligator while playing golf

- We draft a RB that can break tackles, block and catch

- We draft a TE that can catch

That’s awful man. Why would you wish terrible indigestion upon an innocent alligator?
 
I was about to say the same thing. Not with him as the GM and Ross as the owner because he won't get rid of t-dumb

Ozzy rules!!

This^^^ Our team is going to continue mediocrity as along as TannenBUM is still around. We really shouldn’t expect much with the hireing of ex-Jet and ex-Bear staff. Really, those are loser franchises and we have a GM and Coach from them. Ross doesn’t have the balls to fire these bums.
 
This is more for fun than anything else, but there was a stretch of the game yesterday that lasted nearly a half, in which the Dolphins played like a team that would be expected to finish a season with a 15-1 record.

Let me explain.

In the second half, Matt Moore's passer rating was 106.5.

Ryan Fitzpatrick's was 68.8.

That of course means the Dolphins' passing offense was playing very well, and its defense was playing very well against the opposing passing offense.

Based on league data from 2014 to 2016, every 5.65 points of advantage between offensive passer rating and defensive passer rating surrendered (i.e., passer rating differential) equals one expected win on a season.

During the second half yesterday, the Dolphins' passer rating differential was a whopping +37.6.

37.6/5.65 = 6.65

(For comparison's sake, the 2016 Patriots, who finished 14-2 and won the Super Bowl, had a passer rating differential of +25.1 on the season.)

The average team in the league is of course expected to finish 8-8. A team with 6.65 additional wins, rounding up to 7, would naturally finish 15-1.

So here's the question to ponder and respond to if you'd like: if this team is truly toast, why can it play for an entire half of football like a team that would be expected to finish 15-1, even when it's down 20-7 on the scoreboard and there appears to be no overwhelming motive to do so?

Take a look through the forum at the criticism of various parts of the team, from the owner all the way to the ballboy.

If those parts of the team truly make it terrible, how did it play like a 15-1 team for an entire half, when it could've just as easily packed up and quit?

What about the team made that happen, and why can't it be present for 60 minutes week in week out?
NO HOPE
 
This is more for fun than anything else, but there was a stretch of the game yesterday that lasted nearly a half, in which the Dolphins played like a team that would be expected to finish a season with a 15-1 record.

Let me explain.

In the second half, Matt Moore's passer rating was 106.5.

Ryan Fitzpatrick's was 68.8.

That of course means the Dolphins' passing offense was playing very well, and its defense was playing very well against the opposing passing offense.

Based on league data from 2014 to 2016, every 5.65 points of advantage between offensive passer rating and defensive passer rating surrendered (i.e., passer rating differential) equals one expected win on a season.

During the second half yesterday, the Dolphins' passer rating differential was a whopping +37.6.

37.6/5.65 = 6.65

(For comparison's sake, the 2016 Patriots, who finished 14-2 and won the Super Bowl, had a passer rating differential of +25.1 on the season.)

The average team in the league is of course expected to finish 8-8. A team with 6.65 additional wins, rounding up to 7, would naturally finish 15-1.

So here's the question to ponder and respond to if you'd like: if this team is truly toast, why can it play for an entire half of football like a team that would be expected to finish 15-1, even when it's down 20-7 on the scoreboard and there appears to be no overwhelming motive to do so?

Take a look through the forum at the criticism of various parts of the team, from the owner all the way to the ballboy.

If those parts of the team truly make it terrible, how did it play like a 15-1 team for an entire half, when it could've just as easily packed up and quit?

What about the team made that happen, and why can't it be present for 60 minutes week in week out?
not this year my friend
 
I think most of us agree that Moore is the exciting player we want to watch. Throws deep, takes chances, a gunslinger. Well, for whatever reason Gase does not want him to play. Moore only comes in when Gase does not have Cutler. Gase feels running up the middle on 2nd and 3rd and 20 is the best play to call. Gase believes Ajayi is slowing down our offense.

There is hope though. When the offseason gets here, we light it up! Looking toward the 2018 offseason Champions 3 years running!
 
I think most of us agree that Moore is the exciting player we want to watch. Throws deep, takes chances, a gunslinger. Well, for whatever reason Gase does not want him to play. Moore only comes in when Gase does not have Cutler. Gase feels running up the middle on 2nd and 3rd and 20 is the best play to call. Gase believes Ajayi is slowing down our offense.

There is hope though. When the offseason gets here, we light it up! Looking toward the 2018 offseason Champions 3 years running!
One 3rd and long stood out to me w Moore in there the other day - it was a play we normally would have run and conceded the drive - but Moore moved in the pocket out of the shadows of his own goal posts and hit Stills for a very long play and first down. Drive led to points. W Cutler in there not only do we not convert, we don't even try.
 
Nope! We’re screwed.

Why in God’s name would I feel confident that this current crop of clowns will improve anything in 2018?

Tannenbaum still runs the show.

So we’ll **** up our cap with horrible contracts paid to sorry guys. Probably offer Thomas a 5 year 50 million dollar extension. JT will hold out for 55 and get it.

Gase cannot get an honest shot with this in play. Of course, he cannot admit what is obvious to the rest of the planet: we suck with give-a-**** Cutler.

But Moore gets the O fired up.

So yeah, we’ll be screwed for awhile.
 
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