Dolphins REALISTIC Record for 2012 & Playoff Chances = ?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Perfect72, Oct 29, 2012.

  1. Perfect72

    Perfect72 It's Only Happened ONCE!

    Joined:
    May 2004
    Messages:
    1,108
    Likes Received:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    38
    What do you believe will be the Dolphins REALISTIC record based on the remaining schedule and what are their playoff chances in the AFC?

    My take: 9-7

    [TABLE="width: 100%"]

    [TD="class: TSN2, width: 100%, bgcolor: #BCBCBC"]2012 RESULTS/SCHEDULE
    (ALL TIMES EASTERN)[/TD]

    [TD="width: 100%"][TABLE="width: 100%"]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Sep 9 - L at Houston, 30-10[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Sep 16 - W vs. Oakland, 35-13[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Sep 23 - L vs. NY Jets, 20-23 OT[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Sep 30 - L at Arizona, 24-21 OT[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Oct 7 - W at Cincinnati, 13-17[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Oct 14 - W vs. St. Louis, 17-14[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Oct 21 - Open[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Oct 28 - W at NY Jets, 9-30[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Nov 4 - at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM ET WIN[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Nov 11 - vs. Tennessee, 1:00 PM ET WIN[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Nov 15 - at Buffalo, 8:20 PM ET WIN[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Nov 25 - vs. Seattle, 1:00 PM ET LOSS[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Dec 2 - vs. New England, 1:00 PM ET LOSS[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Dec 9 - at San Francisco, 4:05 PM ET LOSS[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Dec 16 - vs. Jacksonville, 1:00 PM ET WIN[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Dec 23 - vs. Buffalo, 1:00 PM ET WIN[/TD]

    [TD="class: TSN5, width: 100%, bgcolor: #F2F2F2"]Dec 30 - at New England, 1:00 PM ET LOSS[/TD]
    [/TABLE]
    [/TD]
    [/TABLE]
     
  2. Pinkboy

    Pinkboy Banned Hammered

    Joined:
    May 2007
    Messages:
    7,297
    Likes Received:
    61
    Trophy Points:
    0
    "we don't look ahead, we go into every week 0-0" ~ Joe Philbin
     
  3. J. David Wannyheimer

    J. David Wannyheimer 5 Years of Posting Excellence. Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Sep 2011
    Messages:
    24,327
    Likes Received:
    1,285
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The view of a very optimistic realist:

    @ Indy: Win
    vs Ten: Win
    @ Buf: Win
    vs Seattle: Win
    vs New England: Win
    @ San Fran: Loss
    vs Jacksonville: Win
    vs Buffalo: Win
    @ New England: Loss


    Outside of New England and San Francisco, the Dolphins should be favored in all of those games. If we can just manage a split with the Patriots, I think we have a legit shot at the division.

    I had this team penciled in as 8-8 before the season and the only difference between these predictions and those is that I now pick us to win against Indy, sweep Buffalo, and split with New England. I thought Indy and Buffalo would both improve on defense and they sure haven't yet. I also didn't think New England's secondary would be a dumpster fire.

    IMO, the biggest factor is whether or not the Dolphins can stay healthy. If Miami avoids injuries over this stretch, I like the team's chances to take care of business against crap teams like the Titans and Jags.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 29, 2012
  4. Pinkboy

    Pinkboy Banned Hammered

    Joined:
    May 2007
    Messages:
    7,297
    Likes Received:
    61
    Trophy Points:
    0
    ^ 12-4 ?

    Holy crap when is the last time we had that kinda record. 1990 ?

    The dolphins have one very important thing going for them. No Elite QB's on the schedule except Brady. Andrew Luck is really the only other good QB on the sked but he's still a rookie and the dolphins "should" win that game,, as Miami is clearly a better all around team than the colts

    but its the nfl crazy things can happen in a football game
     
  5. J. David Wannyheimer

    J. David Wannyheimer 5 Years of Posting Excellence. Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Sep 2011
    Messages:
    24,327
    Likes Received:
    1,285
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Bingo! It's exactly why I had us penciled for 8-8. Good defense, good special teams, good play in the trenches, weak schedule, and a complete lack of elite QBs on the teams we play against. Tom Brady is the only guy on our schedule you can genuinely call a great QB right now. No Roethlisberger, no Mannings, no Ryan, no Rodgers, no Brees, not even a Flacco, Cutler or Stafford. There was Matt Schaub in week one, and we took our lumps in that one already. We also have an old Matt Hasselbeck and young Andrew Luck coming up, but both of those teams have pitiful defenses.

    Look at who we go up against:

    Luck: Like this kid a lot, would have love to have drafted him, but he is having his struggles as a rookie. Team has a bottom five defense.
    Hasselbeck: I have a very high opinion of him, but he's the second oldest QB in the NFL, and his team also has a bottom five defense.
    Fitzpatrick: Garbage, and his team also also has a bottom five defense.
    Wilson: OK for a rookie. Hasn't played as well as Tannehill and his team sucks on the road.
    Brady: Still great.
    Alex Smith: Average QB, great team around him. I think we lose the game, especially since it's on the road, but you never know with A. Smith.
    Jacksonville: Gabbert and Henne, lmao.

    Don't count us out in any of these games.
     
  6. ChambersWI

    ChambersWI Owner of the Palace of Wisdom Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 2004
    Messages:
    14,602
    Likes Received:
    154
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Seattle is give or take. They have good moments and a tough defense, but we got them in Miami. If this was in Seattle I'd be more worried. So I'll put that as a win. NE I think we split.
     
  7. OyeDale305

    OyeDale305 MIA#1

    Joined:
    May 2010
    Messages:
    2,305
    Likes Received:
    2
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Win two against the pats idk about that but i think we can get a win at home or away. the next 3 games are very winnable.. The game i don't think we can win is against the 49ers.. but you never know.., Seahawks is a winnable one. Jax and Bills are a must win games because well we should be favored and have to take advantage of it. Overall 10-6 or 11-5 will get us there.
     
  8. MadDog 88

    MadDog 88 Smoke 'em Jay Finheaven VIP

    Joined:
    Jul 2008
    Messages:
    16,573
    Likes Received:
    484
    Trophy Points:
    83
    ^I see it this way as well. Split with the Pats, lose to SF but I see us being able to beat the Seabirds at home. I'll factor in at least one more loss from somewhere and that puts us at 10-6.
     
  9. yr of 7 deuce

    yr of 7 deuce Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 2011
    Messages:
    28
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    1
    If we win the games we should (IND/TEN/BUF x2/JAX) and can steal one of the remaining 4 (SEA/SF/NE x2) we're at 10-6. That is an optimistic view as I see us probably dropping a close one out of the 5 winnables. I however can also see us competing in the 4 tougher games, especially SEA at home.
     
  10. Daytona Fin

    Daytona Fin Smoking Hole at the Hard Rock Moderator Finheaven VIP

    Joined:
    Dec 2002
    Messages:
    28,816
    Likes Received:
    1,336
    Trophy Points:
    113
    That's a long trip for Seattle, we should beat 'em. I think we can split with new england. San Fran will be a tough game to win. All other games we can win. A win in indy will be huge.
     
  11. J. David Wannyheimer

    J. David Wannyheimer 5 Years of Posting Excellence. Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Sep 2011
    Messages:
    24,327
    Likes Received:
    1,285
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Oh man, mistake on my part. I think we'll split with the Pats. I knew something wasn't right. As long as we don't get swept by them, we should be alright.
     
  12. NCFINFAN13

    NCFINFAN13 The Phinsuckery Continues Donator

    Joined:
    May 2007
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    9
    Trophy Points:
    38
    I don't know about the final record, but I can say that for the first time in years I feel we have something special brewing. 4 to 6 players away from upper tier. This season will play out the way it will, but DAMN the future is looking bright.
     
  13. Ilovemyfins4eva

    Ilovemyfins4eva A True Fan Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 2009
    Messages:
    7,811
    Likes Received:
    33
    Trophy Points:
    48
    i see 10--6 being the worst case scenario for this team.

    i believe we can split with the pats, and heck even the 49ers game, obviously we will be underdog, but our strength is stopping the run which is their strength, so we can potentially offset there biggest strength, and forcing alex smith to beat us with his arm, which i am not so sure he will do.

    10-6 should deff take a wildcard spot this year, and even 9-7 is possible. we need to ensure though we get tiebreakers with teams such as the colts, titans, and bills due to wildcard.

    worst case scenario ( and most likely scenario)

    afc east- pats
    afc north- ravens ( steelers can deff win but who cares, its one or the other so i just listed the ravens since they are in 1st currently)
    afc south- texans
    afc west- broncos

    wildcard contenders- give the steeler raven non division winner most likely 1 spot, and the rest of the teams u got are the fins, colts, bengals, titans chargers, bills. we already beat the Bengals now we play the colts titans and bills in our next 3 games. beat those teams, we are in incredible position for a playoff spot. lose those games, or even split the titans colts, it will not be as good obviously, but i still believe we can finish with a better record outright than those teams because i think those teams are pretenders, specifically the colts
     
  14. Tureo

    Tureo Seasoned Veteran

    Joined:
    Mar 2005
    Messages:
    2,040
    Likes Received:
    7
    Trophy Points:
    38
    I'm crossing my fingers and going with 10-6. Our defense is playing great and our offense is playing good enough to get us into the playoffs.
     
  15. BringBackDan13

    BringBackDan13 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 2012
    Messages:
    265
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    I like us over Seattle. They really don't travel well at all. Plus i think our D shuts down Lynch and leaves the game on Wilson, who is nowehere near the QB a lot of people are making out.
     
  16. Dmarino110

    Dmarino110 Starter

    Joined:
    Apr 2005
    Messages:
    2,145
    Likes Received:
    12
    Trophy Points:
    38
    agree with this one...although usually we beat NE in NE :)
     
  17. Wildbill3

    Wildbill3 Misery Loves Company Administrator Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Dec 2001
    Messages:
    28,454
    Likes Received:
    441
    Trophy Points:
    83
    wow. how fun would it be to be talking playoffs and watching our defense destroy Henne?
     
  18. Clipse

    Clipse mediocrity sucks

    Joined:
    Aug 2005
    Messages:
    13,017
    Likes Received:
    86
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Every game we have outside of Jacksonville and maybe San Fran, is a toss up. Anybody who thinks Indy, Seattle, Buffalo, and even Tennesee are games we should win is fooling themselves. Likewise, anybody who thinks New England are games we should lose are fooling themselves. All of those games are toss ups between mediocre teams. I don't think San Fran is a team we can't beat either. They're not going to score on us, we're not going to score on them. That game will end up going to the better kicker.

    The AFC is an abortion this year, so our chances of making the playoffs are as good as anyone else's sans the Texans who are clearly the class of the AFC.
     
  19. ChambersWI

    ChambersWI Owner of the Palace of Wisdom Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 2004
    Messages:
    14,602
    Likes Received:
    154
    Trophy Points:
    63
    I could see us splitting with the Bills as well. No good reason to give, but we have a history of playing to their level whether they are on a hot streak or suck.
     
  20. Ilovemyfins4eva

    Ilovemyfins4eva A True Fan Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 2009
    Messages:
    7,811
    Likes Received:
    33
    Trophy Points:
    48
    i think you made a mistake saying every game outside of jacksonville and san francisco is a toss up. putting jacksonville in the same sentence is disrespectful to sf or many teams in the nfl, lol
     
  21. BoulderFinFan

    BoulderFinFan Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2012
    Messages:
    75
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Have to take into account that Seattle will be making a very long road trip to south beach. I know the west to east travel has a smaller effect than the east to west, but I think that could factor into things with a rookie qb especially. 10-6 is a real possibility.
     
  22. AFCMiamiEast

    AFCMiamiEast A True Fan

    Joined:
    Feb 2012
    Messages:
    2,305
    Likes Received:
    7
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Unless the Seahawks take a downard spiral during the course of a month, there is no way we're favored to beat them. Our offense is too young and inexperienced in matching up against the league's best defense. Although that is the only thing they have going for them, the 'Fins are obviously a more balanced team inregards to offense-defense-special teams without a doubt though.
     
  23. Fin_Frenzy_84

    Fin_Frenzy_84 Starter

    Joined:
    Feb 2008
    Messages:
    3,647
    Likes Received:
    14
    Trophy Points:
    0
    @ Indy: Win (We match up well with them)
    vs Ten: Win (Only way they can beat us is if Chris Johnson has a huge game but that wont happen with our defense)
    @ Buf: Win (Wont be a blowout but we will win)
    vs Seattle: Win (They are not that good on the road)
    vs New England: Win (We will win this one at home in a close game)
    @ San Fran: Loss (We will take a L on this game, if San Fran is on they are arguably the best team)
    vs Jacksonville: Win (Its the Jags)
    vs Buffalo: Win (We will win this game being home)
    @ New England: Loss (Patriots will get us away)
     
  24. AFCMiamiEast

    AFCMiamiEast A True Fan

    Joined:
    Feb 2012
    Messages:
    2,305
    Likes Received:
    7
    Trophy Points:
    38
    You have that East-West coast thing the other way around. It's the Western teams that struggle more so on the East Coast than vice versa.
     
  25. MyNameIsFlipper

    MyNameIsFlipper Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2011
    Messages:
    145
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Srsly, the only games that worry me are the Pats games and I think we can take one at home.

    San Francisco doesn't look that good. Everyone else is whatever.
     
  26. Exuro

    Exuro Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2011
    Messages:
    251
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    I see split with the Bills and Patriots, Division games are never gimmes as evidence to the first game with the Jets this year. Seattle should be a win because it's the dreaded 1 pm road game for a west coast team. The SF defense has regressed this year, and Alex Smith is playing poorly as well. That should be enough of an edge for us to squeak out a W.

    I think that as long as Miami can keep the turn over ratio positive they will be able to win any game. They are currently -2 for the year but are +3 during the 3 game winning streak.
     
  27. J. David Wannyheimer

    J. David Wannyheimer 5 Years of Posting Excellence. Finheaven VIP Donator

    Joined:
    Sep 2011
    Messages:
    24,327
    Likes Received:
    1,285
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Seahawks are a much different team on the road vs at home, and west coast teams are terrible playing 1pm games on the east coast. Seattle to Miami is the worst trip any team's got to make all year, with the exception of the Rams going all the way to London. I'm not saying that team is a pushover, but I do think that Miami should be favored in that matchup.
     
  28. chrispepper

    chrispepper Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 2010
    Messages:
    504
    Likes Received:
    2
    Trophy Points:
    0
    If we can get two wins out of seattle, new england (twice) and san fran.. then we'd be looking very strong.
     
  29. Clipse

    Clipse mediocrity sucks

    Joined:
    Aug 2005
    Messages:
    13,017
    Likes Received:
    86
    Trophy Points:
    0
    I didn't make a mistake. Jacksonville is not a toss up. They are a terrible team, and the one team on the schedule that we should realistically expect to beat. San Fran isn't a toss up either, but for the opposite reason. They're the one team we shouldn't realistically expect to beat. Every other game could realistically go either way based on what we've seen so far.
     
  30. Ilovemyfins4eva

    Ilovemyfins4eva A True Fan Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 2009
    Messages:
    7,811
    Likes Received:
    33
    Trophy Points:
    48
    o ok i hear ya. i thought u were saying san fran and jacksonville were both games we can easily win.

    your right though, jax we should easily beat them, and san fran seems a bit easier than i thought it would be, but still will be a very hard one to win.
     
  31. Exuro

    Exuro Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2011
    Messages:
    251
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    I'm completely wrong about he SF defense regressing. They're still as nasty as last year.
     
  32. Clipse

    Clipse mediocrity sucks

    Joined:
    Aug 2005
    Messages:
    13,017
    Likes Received:
    86
    Trophy Points:
    0
    San Fran is certainly beatable. We're one of the few teams that can contain Frank Gore. That game is going to come down to who has the better kicker because both teams will have difficulty putting it in the endzone.
     

Share This Page