NFL draft: 'Can’t-miss' prospects don't exist

[DKphin]

I was watching the joke of a network - NFLN and they brought up this phrase when referring to Myles Garrett. I hope the young man does well, but how many have had that label and it turned out to be a fallacy. NFLN, other than the game coverage, is almost unwatchable at this point. I had such high hopes for the channel and it has degenerated into nothing more than a gossip show that should be relegated to the E network.

Andrew Luck of the Indianapolis Colts celebrates after the Colts won 24-20 over the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium on January 1, 2017 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

With the NFL draft two weeks away, the term “can’t-miss prospect” gets dragged out and thrown around like a passenger off an overbooked United flight.
The term is a misnomer. In reality they’re all CAN-miss prospects. Even at the top of the draft.
As proof, let’s examine the top half of the first round of the 2012 draft class. That’s a timely year to examine, seeing as the last of the 2012 first-rounders’ contracts expired last month.
You might be shocked to learn that only five of the top 16 picks taken in 2012 remain on the clubs that drafted them. Of the other 11, one was traded away, five signed elsewhere upon becoming free agents (including two on one-year ‘prove it’ deals) and five currently are out of work. Five! And three of the top five picks proved flat-out busts.
Let’s apply HIT or MISS tags to those 16, in the order they were drafted on April 26, 2012:

http://www.northumberlandtoday.com/2017/04/12/nfl-draft-cant-miss-prospects-dont-exist

 

[SF Dolphin Fan]

Yeah, there are a lot of can't miss prospects who miss. Injuries are a huge factor for many of the misses.

Bill Polian was talking about how the success rate is about 60 percent for first rounders. That's a lot of misses in the first round alone when virtually every team has the player ranked high. Not sure what he defined as "success" whether the player emerged as a starter, contributed or what.

 

[FinFrenzy]

Hmmmm

8. Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins: MISS. He still hasn’t justified this pick, despite showing flashes of elitism under new QB-whisperer head coach Adam Gase last fall. Because of his oozing potential the Dolphins two years ago gave Tannehill a $77-million, four-year extension. But the deal offers the club a rip-cord after the coming season.

And this little Gem.

11. Dontari Poe, NT, Kansas City Chiefs: MISS. The Chiefs chose not to re-sign him, and it took him a while to find a landing spot. Miami finally gave him $8 million for one year.

We did? Somebody tell Atlanta that.

 

[DKphin]

And this little Gem.
We did? Somebody tell Atlanta that.

Yeah, I was like