I'm starting all comparison at 1995. I was going to do it at 1996 but I thought it a little unfair that this would exclude guys like Warren Sapp and Derrick Brooks from Tim Ruskell's stats.
Randy Mueller was GM of the Seahawks from 1995 to 1999, the Saints from 2000 to 2002.
Phil Savage was with the Browns in 1995, the Ravens from 1996 to 2002.
I left out 2003 because quite frankly you can't evaluate the guys with only one year under their belt. I was loathe to even do 2002...or even 2001.
I split the players into Winners and Losers. The winners are color coded according to how good they have proven to be or look right now (in the case of the guys with only 2 years under their belt).
Purple: Purple stands for near legendary...best of the best, dominant at their position.
Blue: Blue stands for playing at a pro bowl level pretty consistently (not necessarily a pro bowler).
Green: Green stands for a guy that has been a contributor for a good amount of time and been not dominant but good before.
Yellow: Yellow stands for guys who have started and played fairly well at their positions and didn't embarrass themselves, guys who have flashed onto the national spotlight once or twice but probably didn't do it consistently.
FIRST ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: TE Bubba Franks (2000 #14), DB Antuan Edwards (1999 #24), DL Vonnie Holliday (1998 #19), OG Ross Verba (1997 #30)
The Losers: OT John Michels (1996 #27), DB Craig Newsome (1995 #32)
Total Picks: 7
Randy Mueller
The Winners: WR Donte Stallworth (2002 #13), DE Charles Grant (2002 #25), RB Deuce McCallister (2001 #23), DE Lamar King (1999 #22), LB Anthony Simmons (1998 #15), CB Shawn Springs (1997 #3), OT Walter Jones (1997 #6), OG Pete Kendall (1996 #21), WR Joey Galloway (1995 #8)
The Losers: None
Total Picks: 9
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: DT Anthony McFarland (1999 #15), RB Warrick Dunn (1997 #12), DE Regan Upshaw (1996 #12), DE Marcus Jones (1996 #22), DT Warren Sapp (1995 #12), LB Derrick Brooks (1995 #28).
The Losers: OT Kenyatta Walker (2001), WR Reidel Anthony (1997).
Total Picks: 8
Phil Savage
The Winners: S Ed Reed (2002), TE Todd Heap (2001), RB Jamal Lewis (2000), WR Travis Taylor (2000), CB Chris McAlister (1999), CB Duane Starks (1998), [color=#1997]DE/LB Peter Boulware[/color] (1997), OT Jonathon Ogden (1996), LB Ray Lewis (1996).
The Losers: LB Craig Powell (1995)
Total Picks: 10
SECOND ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: OT Chad Clifton (2000), S Darren Sharper (1997), KR/PR Derrick Mayes (1996).
The Losers: CB Fred Vinson (1999)
Total Picks: 4
Randy Mueller
The Winners: OG LeCharles Bentley (2002), DE Darren Howard (2000), OT Todd Weiner (1998), CB Fred Thomas (1996), TE Christian Fauria (1995).
The Losers: None
Total Picks: 5
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: OG Cosey Coleman (2000), QB Shaun King (1999), CB Brian Kelly (1998), OT Jerry Wunsch (1997), FB Mike Alstott (1996)
The Losers: WR Jacquez Green (1998), DB Melvin Johnson (1995)
Total Picks: 7
Phil Savage
The Winners: DE Anthony Weaver (2002), CB Gary Baxter (2001), WR Patrick Johnson (1998), LB Jamie Sharper (1997), S Kim Herring (1997)
The Losers: DB DeRon Jenkins (1996)
Total Picks: 6
THIRD ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: CB Mike McKenzie (1999), DL Cletidus Hunt (1999), K Brett Conway (1997), C Mike Flanagan (1996), CB Tyrone Williams 1996, FB William Henderson (1995), LB Brian Williams, WR Antonio Freeman (1995), DT Darius Holland (1995)
The Losers: Steve Warren (2000), DE Jonathon Brown (1998)
Total Picks: 11
Randy Mueller
The Winners: LB Sedrick Hodge (2001), RB Ahman Green (1998)
The Losers: LB James Allen (2002), DT Kenny Smith (2001), QB Brock Huard (1999), WR Karsten Bailey (1999), OT Robert Barr (1996), RB Reggie Brown (1996)
Total Picks: 8
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: DB Dwight Smith (2001), LB Nate Webster (2000), K Martin Gramatica (1999), LB Jamie Duncan (1998), OL Frank Middleton (1997), CB Ronde Barber (1997), CB Donnie Abraham (1996).
The Losers: WR Marquis Walker (2002)
Total Picks: 8
Phil Savage
The Winners: None
The Losers: C Casey Rabach (2001), QB Chris Redman (2000), RB Jay Graham (1997), QB Eric Zeier (1995), DE Mike Frederick (1995)
Total Picks: 5
FOURTH ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: LB Na'il Diggs (2000), QB Aaron Brooks (1999), P Josh Bidwell (1999)
The Losers: WR Anthony Lucas (2000), DB Gary Berry (2000), DB Roosevelt Blackmon (1998), DT Jermaine Smith (1997), RB Chris Darkins (1996), OT Jeff Miller (1995)
Total Picks: 9
Randy Mueller
The Winners: FB Terrelle Smith (2000), DE Phillip Daniels (1996).
The Losers: DB Keyuo Craver (2002), RB Moran Norris (2001), DE Antonio Cochran (1999), LB Deshone Myles (1998), LB Eric Unverzagt (1996), LB Jason Kyle (1995).
Total Picks: 8
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: S Dexter Jackson (1999), C Todd Washington (1998), LB Alshermond Singleton (1997).
The Losers: RB Travis Stephens (2002), DB John Howell (2001), OT Jason Odom (1996), DB Eric Austin (1996), DB Jerry Wilson (1995).
Total Picks: 8
Phil Savage
The Winners: P Dave Zastudil (2002), LB Edgerton Hartwell (2001), WR Brandon Stokley (1999), OG Edwin Mulitalo (1999)
The Losers: WR Ron Johnson (2002), LB Tyrus McCloud (1997)
Total Picks: 6
FIFTH ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: DE Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila (2000), WR Corey Bradford (1998).
The Losers: WR Joey Jamison (2000), RB DeMond Parker (1999), C Craig Heimburger (1999), LB Anthony Hicks (1997), RB Travis Jervery (1995)
Total Picks: 7
Randy Mueller
The Winners: RB Chad Morton (2000)
The Losers: DB Mel Mitchell (2002), WR Onomoe Ojo (2001), OT Tutan Reyes (2000), TE Austin Wheatley (2000), OT Floyd Wedderburn (1999), RB Charlie Rogers (1999), WR Eric Stokes (1997)
Total Picks: 8
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: None
The Losers: DB Jermaine Phillips (2002), OG Russ Hochstein (2001), TE James Whalen (2000), TE Patrick Hape (1997), DT Jason Maniecki (1996), DB Clifton Abraham (1995).
Total Picks: 6
Phil Savage
The Winners: C Jeff Mitchell (1997), KR/PR Jermaine Lewis (1996)
The Losers: TE Terry Jones Jr. (2002), RB Chris Barnes (2001), OG Richard Mercier (2000), DT Martin Chase (1998), DB Ryan Sutter (1998), WR Mike Miller (1995), DT Tau Papua (1995)
Total Picks: 9
SIXTH ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: QB Matt Hasselback (1998), OG Marco Rivera (1996)
The Losers: WR Dee Miller (1999), OG Scott Curry (1999), S Scott McGarrahan (1998), WR Charlie Simmons (1995)
Total Picks: 6
Randy Mueller
The Winners: QB Mark Bulger, WR Bobby Shaw (1998), TE Itula Mili.
The Losers: QB J.T. O'Sullivan (2002), TE John Gilmore (2002), OT Mitch White (2001), DB Michael Hawthorne (2000), WR Sherrod Gideon (2000), DB Steve Johnson (1999), DT Carl Hansen (1998), OG Reggie Green (1996), DB T.J. Cunningham (1996), DT Henry McMillan (1995), WR Eddie Goines (1995)
Total Picks: 14
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: DE Ellis Wyms (2001), CB Al Harris (1997).
The Losers: DE John Stamper (2002), FB Jameel Cook (2001), DB David Gibson (2000), RB Lamar Glenn (1999), DT James Cannida (1998), DB Shevin Smith (1998), WR Nigea Carter (1997), WR Nilo Silvan (1996), LB Wardell Rouse (1995).
Total Picks: 11
Phil Savage
The Winners: KR/PR Lamont Brightful (2002), LB Adalius Thomas (2000).
The Losers: WR Javin Hunter (2002), RB Chester Taylor (2002), DB Chad Williams (2002), C Joe Maese (2001), DT Cedric Woodward (2000), LB Ron Rogers (1998), OT Sammy Williams (1998), RB Steve Lee (1997), DE Cornell Brown (1997), LB Dexter Daniels (1996), WR James Roe (1996),
Total Picks: 13
SEVENTH ROUND
Ron Wolf
The Winners: OT Mark Tauscher (2000), WR Charles Lee (2000), WR Donald Driver (1999), FB Jerald Sowell (1997), DE Keith McKenzie (1996), OG Adam Timmerman (1995)
The Losers: DT Ron Moore (2000), LB Eugene McCaslin (2000), RB Rondell Mealey (2000), DB Chris Akins (1999), RB Edwin Watson (1998), WR Chris Miller (1997), QB Ronnie McAda (1997), QB Kyle Wachholtz (1996).
Total Picks: 14
Randy Mueller
The Winners: None
The Losers: DE Derrius Monroe (2002), DT Ennis Davis (2001), TE Kevin Houser (2000), OT Jason McEndoo (1998), DB Carlos Jones (1997), DE Johnny Church (1996), DE Keif Bryant (1995).
Total Picks: 6
Tim Ruskell
The Winners: CB Tim Wansley (2002)
The Losers: TE Tracey Wistrom (2002), WR Aaron Lockett (2002), C Zack Quaccia (2002), TE Dauntae Finger (2001), DB Than Merrill (2001), DE Joe Tafoya (2001), QB Joe Hamilton (2000), WR Darnell McDonald (1999), DE Chance McCarty (1998), DT Anthony DeGrate (1997), DB Reggie Rusk (1996), OG Steve Ingram (1995), DE Jeffrey Rogers (1995).
Total Picks: 16
Phil Savage
The Winners: None
The Losers: QB Wes Pate (2002), DE Dwayne Missouri (2001), DB Anthony Poindexter (1999), TE Cam Quayle (1998), DE Chris Ward (1997), QB Wally Richardson (1997), LB Ralph Staten (1997), DT Leland Taylor (1997), QB Jon Stark (1996), WR A.C. Tellison (1995)
Total Picks: 10
ANALYSIS
Ron Wolf Analysis
Total Purple: 1 (1.8% Chance Drafting a Purple or Better)
Total Blue: 11 (21% Chance Drafting a Blue or Better)
Total Green: 8 (35.1% Chance Drafting a Green or Better)
Total Yellow: 9 (50.1% Chance Drafting a Yellow or Better)
Total Winners: 29
Total Losers: 28
Total Picks: 57
Percentage of Draft Made up of 6th or 7th Rounders: 35%
Randy Mueller Analysis
Total Purple: 1 (1.7% Chance Drafting a Purple or Better)
Total Blue: 8 (15% Chance Drafting a Blue or Better)
Total Green: 5 (23.3% Chance Drafting a Green or Better)
Total Yellow: 9 (38.3% Chance Drafting a Yellow or Better)
Total Winners: 23
Total Losers: 37
Total Picks: 60
Percentage of Draft Made up of 6th or 7th Rounders: 33%
Tim Ruskell
Total Purple: 3 (4.7% Chance Drafting a Purple or Better)
Total Blue: 3 (9.3% Chance Drafting a Blue or Better)
Total Green: 7 (20.3% Chance Drafting a Green or Better)
Total Yellow: 11 (37.5% Chance Drafting a Yellow or Better)
Total Winners: 24
Total Losers: 40
Total Picks: 64
Percentage of Draft Made up of 6th or 7th Rounders: 42%
Phil Savage
Total Purple: 3 (5.1% Chance Drafting a Purple or Better)
Total Blue: 6 (15.3% Chance Drafting a Blue or Better)
Total Green: 5 (23.7% Chance Drafting a Green or Better)
Total Yellow: 8 (37.3% Chance Drafting a Yellow or Better)
Total Winners: 22
Total Losers: 37
Total Picks: 59
Percentage of Draft Made up of 6th or 7th Rounders: 39%
