Two separate paths to the playoffs. Both require Miami to win out.
Path 1
New England loses at home to both Buffalo and New York.
If that happens we win the East. Not likely to happen, but if Brady goes down to an injury, it's very possible.
Path 2
The following must happen in Week 16 in order remain alive:
Indianapolis MUST LOSE to New York (Giants)
That's it for Week 16. If Indi wins we're out.
We actually want Pittsburg to beat New Orleans, but we're still alive even if the Steelers lose to New Orleans.
As long as Indianapolis loses to the Giants in week 16, then we remain alive.
Then for Week 17, we have two games (three if New Orleans beats Pittsburg) that we're dependant on:
Indianapolis MUST BEAT Tennessee.
If they lose to the Titans, we are eliminated.
Cleveland MUST BEAT Baltimore.
If they lose to Baltimore, we are eliminated.
And if New Orleans beats Pittsburgh in Week 16, then we'll need the above games to happen and we'll need Pittsburgh to BEAT Cincinatti. If Pittsburgh beats New Orleans in Week 16, this game will not matter.