His'nBeatYour'n
Would I be a Parcells guy?
What can us Dolfans expect from the first overall pick this year? Regardless of whether it is one of the Longs, Gholston, or Matt Ryan, how likely is it that that player will be a disappointment? How likely is that player to become a Pro Bowler, or even a Hall of Famer? How much difference is there between being #1 overall and at other spots in the first round?
Here are some draft stats to chew on. I am sticking to the years 1970 through 2004. 1970 as the start of the "modern" era and ending with the 2004 draft because it is most fair to evaluate a player after their 4th year in the league. And for Hall of Fame stats I am evaluating from 1970-1989. Since most players have to play at least 10 years in the league to be considered Hall worthy, and there is a 5 year waiting period after retirement.
Of the 35 players selected #1 overall, 19 ever made the Pro Bowl (54%)
Of the 20 players selected #1 overall (1970-1989,) 6 are Hall of Famers (30%)
Of the 175 players selected in the top five, 95 made the Pro Bowl (54%)
Of the 100 players selected in the top five (1970-1989,) 15 are Hall of Famers (15%)
Of the 350 players selected in the top ten, 170 made the Pro Bowl (49%)
Of the 200 players selected in the top ten (1970-1989,) 21 are Hall of Famers (10%)
Of the 998 players selected in the 1st Round, 345 made the Pro Bowl (35%)
Of the 548 players selected in the 1st Round (1970-1989,) 31 are Hall of Famers (5.6%)
Of the 648 players selected 11th through the end of the 1st round, 175 made the Pro Bowl (27%)
Of the 348 players selected 11th through the end of the 1st round (1970-1989,) 10 are Hall of Famers (2.8%)
How do the Dolphins compare?
From 1970 through 2004, the Dolphins made a total of 27 first round selections.
7 of them ever made the Pro Bowl. (26%)
1 (Dan Marino) is in the Hall of Fame. (3.7%)
During those 35 years (1970-2004) the Dolphins
Never selected 1st overall.
Never selected in the top 5.
Made 3 selections in the top 10. (Sammie Smith, Richmond Webb, Troy Vincent) 2 of those 3 made the Pro Bowl.
11 selections from 11-20. 3 made the Pro Bowl, AJ Duhe, Marco Coleman and Tim Bowens.
And 13 first round picks, out of 27, were made from pick 21 through the bottom of the round. 2 of them made the Pro Bowl, G Roy Foster, and Hall of Famer Dan Marino.
1983 was clearly the greatest 1st round of all time. 15 of the 28 picks made the Pro Bowl, and 6 are in the Hall of Fame. No other year produced more than 2 Hall of Famers. And only in 1973 did more players make a Pro Bowl (16). 1988, 1996, and 2001 also produced 15 Pro Bowlers.
Here are some draft stats to chew on. I am sticking to the years 1970 through 2004. 1970 as the start of the "modern" era and ending with the 2004 draft because it is most fair to evaluate a player after their 4th year in the league. And for Hall of Fame stats I am evaluating from 1970-1989. Since most players have to play at least 10 years in the league to be considered Hall worthy, and there is a 5 year waiting period after retirement.
Of the 35 players selected #1 overall, 19 ever made the Pro Bowl (54%)
Of the 20 players selected #1 overall (1970-1989,) 6 are Hall of Famers (30%)
Of the 175 players selected in the top five, 95 made the Pro Bowl (54%)
Of the 100 players selected in the top five (1970-1989,) 15 are Hall of Famers (15%)
Of the 350 players selected in the top ten, 170 made the Pro Bowl (49%)
Of the 200 players selected in the top ten (1970-1989,) 21 are Hall of Famers (10%)
Of the 998 players selected in the 1st Round, 345 made the Pro Bowl (35%)
Of the 548 players selected in the 1st Round (1970-1989,) 31 are Hall of Famers (5.6%)
Of the 648 players selected 11th through the end of the 1st round, 175 made the Pro Bowl (27%)
Of the 348 players selected 11th through the end of the 1st round (1970-1989,) 10 are Hall of Famers (2.8%)
How do the Dolphins compare?
From 1970 through 2004, the Dolphins made a total of 27 first round selections.
7 of them ever made the Pro Bowl. (26%)
1 (Dan Marino) is in the Hall of Fame. (3.7%)
During those 35 years (1970-2004) the Dolphins
Never selected 1st overall.
Never selected in the top 5.
Made 3 selections in the top 10. (Sammie Smith, Richmond Webb, Troy Vincent) 2 of those 3 made the Pro Bowl.
11 selections from 11-20. 3 made the Pro Bowl, AJ Duhe, Marco Coleman and Tim Bowens.
And 13 first round picks, out of 27, were made from pick 21 through the bottom of the round. 2 of them made the Pro Bowl, G Roy Foster, and Hall of Famer Dan Marino.
1983 was clearly the greatest 1st round of all time. 15 of the 28 picks made the Pro Bowl, and 6 are in the Hall of Fame. No other year produced more than 2 Hall of Famers. And only in 1973 did more players make a Pro Bowl (16). 1988, 1996, and 2001 also produced 15 Pro Bowlers.
