2008 Miami Rushing Breakdown | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

2008 Miami Rushing Breakdown

ciscoholgate

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Hello fellow Phin Fans!

I am bored waiting for the season to actually start, so I decided to do a write up and statistical analysis of the Dolphins rushing attack this past offseason.

I am a very big supporter of establishing a good running game. This helps out the other facets of the game such as the deep ball from play action and it keeps our defense on the sideline to rest.

Just be warned this is a very long post. Let's begin:

Just a reminder the Phins averaged 118.6 yards on the grounf which was good enough to net us as 11th best in the NFL while also averaging a solid 4.2 yards per carry. I also did not count any kneel downs by Pennington, but I did include his scrambles. This accounts for the numbers not matching up with the actual stats for the Dolphins rushing game.

What I did was I broke down every run this past season. I looked at where the ball was rushed (behing the LT, LG, C, ect.) and how many yards the rush went for. I broke it down into seven different spots. I received my information from NFL.com and used the play by play sheets to find out where the run went and how many yards it gained. Here are the spots and a brief description of what constituted a run in that spot.

LT - A rush behind the LT (Jake Long or anyone else).
LG - A rush behind the LG (Justin Smiley or anyone else at LG after his injury).
C - This is a tricky scenario. NFL.com has a lot of rushes listed as "rush down the middle". What I understand this to be is a rush off C between either LG/C or C/RG. This caused a larger number of runs to count for the C, but it is a good indication of how our coaches attack a defense.
RG - A rush behind the RG (Ikechuku Ndukwe and others).
RT - A rush behind the RT (Vernon Carey and possibly Jake Long in the Wildcat).
LE and RE - A rush outside of the LT or RT (can constitue successful block by either the LT or RT hooking, a pulling guard, a fullback, or a WR).

These are how I catagorized each block and made grouping the rushes more understandable. Here are the results:

Rush behind LT - 118 yards on 37 carries and 1 TD, 4.2 ypc.
Rush behind LG - 162 yards on 41 carries and 1 TD, 4.0 ypc.
Rush behind C - 502 yards on 119 carries and 6 TD, 4.0 ypc.
Rush behind RG - 201 yards on 50 carries and 2 TD, 4.0 ypc.
Rush behind RT - 254 yards on 57 carries and 1 TD, 4.6 ypc.
Rush outside LT - 365 yards on 62 carries and 6 TD, 5.9 ypc.
Rush outside RT - 302 yards on 54 carries and 1 TD, 5.6 ypc.

Like I said the breakdown consists of the rush going directly behind a specific player. Although it looks like Jake did not get a lot of rushes or yards off LT, it looks like the Phins ran outside of his side very often and with great success.

It seems obvious why Carey is a top RT. His run blocking is very good and had the best yards per carry stat on the front line. I also broke it down for inside versus outside rushes. I comstituted an inside rush as a rush behind the C, the LG, and the RG. An outside rush was constituted as a rush off T and outside the T. Here are the stats:

Inside rush (LG, C, RG) - 865 yards on 210 carries and 9 TD, 4.1 yps.
Outside rush (LE, LT, RT, RE) - 1039 yards on 210 carries and 9 TD, 4.9 ypc.

It seems our FO did a very good job of keeping the rushes balanced by attacking the inside and outside equally. It seems we had much more succes on the edges than our interior. Hopefully Grove and the return of a healthy Smiley and Thomas can help that.

I also broke down the rushing attack by quarter to see how effectively we established the run. Here it is:

1st Quarter - 517 yards on 112 carries and 3 TD, 4.6 ypc.
2nd Quarter - 506 yards on 92 carries and 6 TD, 5.5 ypc.
3rd Quarter - 372 yards on 84 carries and 4 TD, 4.4 ypc.
4th Quarter - 509 yards on 132 carries and 5 TD, 3.9 ypc.

It seems our OL was very good at establishing the run early in the game and this more than likely helped Pennington and our D out. The most rushes were in the 4th Quarter, which is a good sign because it means we were running clock to preserve a victory.

I also have a look at which side of the line produced a better rush. Here is a breakdown of the Left side of the line versus the Right side of the line:

Left Side (LE, LT, LG) - 645 yards on 140 carries and 8 TDs, 4.6 ypc.
Right Side (RE, RT, RG) - 757 yards on 161 carries and 4 TD, 4.7 ypc.

It looks like the right side of the line had just a little more success and even had 17% more rushes than the left side. It can also be seen that the Left side produces twice as many TDs as the Right side.

These stats can be broken down in a lot of different ways. How much of an affect did the running back have? How much of an affect did the Wildcat have? I used all the information availible to me to get a better average to see how effective each of our linmen were.

Overall I have to say the OL did a very solid job of establishing a good running game to make things easier for Pennington and the defense. It seems later in the game the OL struggled to get the running game going. This can be atributed to either the opposing defense making adjustments, or the coaches decided to run the ball more with a lead and the defense knew it was coming. I tend to lean towards the latter.

I might do a breakdown of the running backs comparing what rushing downs they were most effective and who they rushed best behind, but we shall see. Let me know what you think.

GO PHINS!
 
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The stat you should look up is when Ronnie Brown gets the ball more then 20 times a game, during his career.

People would be amazed what his yds per average is and what the Dolphins win lose is.
 
The stat you should look up is when Ronnie Brown gets the ball more then 20 times a game, during his career.

People would be amazed what his yds per average is and what the Dolphins win lose is.

The Miami Dolphins are 8-4 in games that Ronnie Brown rushes 20 times or more.

He has 12, 20 rushes or more, games: 12 games, 1283 yards on 281 carries and 8 TDs, 4.6 ypc.

If you take away the horrible 2007 season when all the Phins were horrible, then the Phins are actually 8-2 when he rushes for 20 times or more.

Also the Phins are 6-7 *(edit Miami is 6-7, not 6-6) when Ronnie rushes for 100 yards or more.
 
The Miami Dolphins are 8-4 in games that Ronnie Brown rushes 20 times or more.

He has 12, 20 rushes or more games: 12 games, 1283 yards on 281 carries and 8 TDs, 4.6 ypc.

If you take away the horrible 2007 season when all the Phins were horrible, then the Phins are actually 6-2 when he rushes for 20 times or more.

Also the Phins are 6-6 when he rushes for 100 yards or more.

Not quite sure I'm following you. According to the difference in your stats, there were 4 games in 2007 that Ronnie rushed for 20 times or more. Also according to your stats we won 2 of the games and lost 2 of them. In 2007 we only won one game and Ronnie didn't play in it because he was injured. Am I missing something?
 
Not quite sure I'm following you. According to the difference in your stats, there were 4 games in 2007 that Ronnie rushed for 20 times or more. Also according to your stats we won 2 of the games and lost 2 of them. In 2007 we only won one game and Ronnie didn't play in it because he was injured. Am I missing something?

Yeah you're right. Miami is actually 8-2, not 6-2 like I said. Thanks, I'll change it.
 
The Miami Dolphins are 8-4 in games that Ronnie Brown rushes 20 times or more.

He has 12, 20 rushes or more, games: 12 games, 1283 yards on 281 carries and 8 TDs, 4.6 ypc.

If you take away the horrible 2007 season when all the Phins were horrible, then the Phins are actually 8-2 when he rushes for 20 times or more.

Also the Phins are 6-6 when he rushes for 100 yards or more.

Thanks for all of this info, but I would like to see something along the lines of comparison between Ricky and Ronnie. Ricky in his first 5 years compared against Ronnie.
 
Thanks for all of this info, but I would like to see something along the lines of comparison between Ricky and Ronnie. Ricky in his first 5 years compared against Ronnie.

Ricky was a great player and would have been a shoo in for Hall of Fame if he could have stayed off the weed. He was a phenomenal athlete, but he is not that guy anymore.

In Ricky's first three years at New Orleans he had 21 games in which he had 20 carries or more. His team went 12-9 in those games.

I would rather breakdown Ronnie versus Ricky during their times in Dolphins uniforms. So here it is:

Ricky has 61 career games as a Phin.
Ronnie has 51 career games as a Phin.

Ricky has 26 games with 20 carries or more.
Ronnie has 12 games with 20 carries or more.

Ricky has 3001 yards on 706 carries for a 4.3 average and 23 TD (20+ carry games).
Ronnie has 1283 yards on 281 carries for a 4.6 average and 8 TD (20+ carry games).

The Dolphins are 20-6 (.769 win %) when Ricky has 20 carries or more.
The Dolphins are 8-4 (.667 win %) when Ronnie has 20 carries or more.

When Ricky rushes for 100+ yards the Phins are 18-2.
When Ronnie rushes for 100+ yards the Phins are 6-7.

I see that statistically Ronnie has a slightly higher average when they both get the ball 20 times or more in a game, but Ricky has more TDs per game and the Phins have a better win % when they both get 20 carries or more.

It is very hard to distingush who is a better rusher, but one fact remains; The Miami Dolphins are 31-14 (.689 win %) when they get the rock to the running backs 20 or more times a game (since 2002, this includes Ricky Willams, Ronnie Brown, Sammie Morris, Travis Minor, Leonard Henry, and Jessie Chatman).

Just to put this into perspective the Phins are 50-62 (.446 win %) since 2002.
 
Non-Wildcat

Excellent work. I also applaud how you excluded kneel downs and did the full evaluation by quarters.

But, IMHO, these numbers are really only meaningful to me if we either exclude the wildcat formations or break them out separately. We tended to have huge gainers to the right in the wildcat early on because of the surprise factor. Moving forward, that aspect of surprise will be considerably less effective and we can not accurately speculate how future surprise wrinkles will play out or impact this.

I would be very interested in this analysis broken out these ways (if you feel up to it) :)

1. Excluding the wildcat
2. For those games where we had a healthy Smiley and Satele--still excluding the wildcat.

I think that would give us an even more meaningful picture of the state of our line.

Thanks again for doing all this.
 
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