2021 NFL Draft: Ja'Marr Chase, Kyle Pitts headline Next Gen Stats' can't-miss prospects---NFL.COM

[Gatorboy999120]

2021 NFL Draft: Ja'Marr Chase, Kyle Pitts headline Next Gen Stats' can't-miss prospects

Who are the can't-miss players in the 2021 NFL Draft class? Mike Band dusts off the Next Gen Stats Draft Model, crunches the numbers and spotlights seven prospects.

www.nfl.com

Interesting article..uses Next Gen Stats to predict the Top 7 "Can't miss" Prospects.

The Top 7 are as follows:

T-1. Ja'Marr Chase
T-1. Kyle Pitts
3. Micah Parsons
4. Patrick Surtain II
5. Jaycee Horn
6. Trevor Lawrence
7. Kadarius Toney

 

[TheRevoltingBlob]

Their model apparently relies on combine numbers. So are they even able to rank someone like Devonta Smith.

Also, if Chase actually has 4.34 speed then my Penei is 9 inches.

 

[Gatorboy999120]

Their model apparently relies on combine numbers. So are they even able to rank someone like Devonta Smith.

Also, if Chase actually has 4.34 speed then my Penei is 9 inches.

You have a big one.

 

[rafael]

That's even more of a concern in a year without a combine. There will always be more variation when you just have pro day numbers.

And the thing about Pitts that I think people are missing is that it's not about his measurables. There have been a ton of TE and WR with eye popping measurables that haven't done squat. What makes Pitts a great prospect is that he's able to separate and has great hands.

 

[Gatorboy999120]

That's even more of a concern in a year without a combine. There will always be more variation when you just have pro day numbers.

And the thing about Pitts that I think people are missing is that it's not about his measurables. There have been a ton of TE and WR with eye popping measurables that haven't done squat. What makes Pitts a great prospect is that he's able to separate and has great hands.

Exactly..it's a combination of all his skills that also translate to football!

 

[TheRevoltingBlob]

You have a big one.

True. But only when inflated.

Kind of like Chase's 40 time.

 

[Gatorboy999120]

True. But only when inflated.

Kind of like Chase's 40 time.

Well I thought his time was closer to 4.38..But I digress!

 

[TheRevoltingBlob]

Well I thought his time was closer to 4.38..But I digress!

Me too. Article says 4.34. The man keeps getting faster.

 

[Gatorboy999120]

Me too. Article says 4.34. The man keeps getting faster.

Yeah...and I get that pro-day times are usually faster..he still was impressive at his pro-day..but yeah lol

 

[TheRevoltingBlob]

Yeah...and I get that pro-day times are usually faster..he still was impressive at his pro-day..but yeah lol

Don't get me wrong. Would be happy to have him. Just know he's not as fast as D'wayne Eskridge.

Some pro day scores definitely suspect this year beyond Chase. They're being treated like the actual combine, which is already relied on too much as a portrayal of functional athleticism.

 

[ANUFan]

CAN'T MISS, HUH? Guaranteed to be absolute stars?

 

[RastaMan407]

Also, if Chase actually has 4.34 speed then my Penei is 9 inches.

You have a big one.

 

[Mudd]

I guess "can't miss" can also be determined by who's throwing them the ball, who's blocking for the guy throwing it, who's calling the plays and how many opportunities you have to catch the ball.

 

[SF Dolphin Fan]

Wasn't Tony Mandarich supposed to be a can't miss prospect? Maybe the term should be changed to most likely to make a big impact.

 

[1972forever]

Every year someone comes out with their, “can’t miss prospects”. Then you look back a few years and discover that nearly have of those prospects missed.
I would imagine 2 or 3 of this years “can’t miss” will be in that missed list a few years from now. I think the first on that list of missed will likely be Toney but maybe he will prove me wrong.