A depressing look back at the NFL draft since 2000

[Trowa]

Class of 2000
Rd2 #53 Todd Wade
Rd3 #84 Ben Kelly
Rd4 #117 Deon Dyer
Rd5 #152 Arturo Freeman
Rd6 #167 Ernest Grant
Rd 7 # 232 Jeff Harris

Class of 2001
Rd1 #26 Jamar Fletcher
Rd2 #52 Chris Chambers
Rd3 #85 Travis Minor
Rd3 #88 Morlon Greenwood
Rd5 #156 Shawn Draper
Rd6 #164 Brandon Winey
Rd6 #177 Josh Heupel
Rd6 #187 Otis Leverette
Rd6 #188 Rick Crowell

Class of 2002
Rd3 #90 Seth McKinney
Rd4 #114 Randy McMichael
Rd5 #161 Omare Lowe
Rd5 #170 Sam Simmons
Rd7 #241 Leonard Henry

Class of 2003
Rd2 #49 Eddie Moore
Rd3 #78 Wade Smith
Rd3 #87 Taylor Whitley
Rd5 #156 Donald Lee
Rd6 #181 Corey Jenkins
Rd6 #209 Tim Provost
Rd6 #213 Yeremiah Bell
Rd7 #248 Devern Williams

Class of 2004
Rd1 #19 Vernon Carey
Rd4 #102 Will Poole
Rd5 #160 Tony Bua
Rd6 #174 Red Hadnot
Rd7 #221 Tony Pape
Rd7 #222 Derrick Pope

Class of 2005
Rd1 #2 Ronnie Brown
Rd2 #46 Matt Roth
Rd3 #70 Channing Crowder
Rd4 #104 Travis Daniels
Rd5 #162 Anthony Alabi
Rd7 #216 Kevin Vickerson

Class of 2006
Rd1 #16 Jason Allen
Rd3 #82 Derek Hagan
Rd4 #114 Joe Toledo
Rd7 #212 Fred Evans
Rd7 #226 Rod Wright
Rd7 #233 Devin Aromashodu

Class of 2007
Rd1 #9 Ted Ginn Jr
Rd2 #40 John Beck
Rd2 #60 Samson Satele
Rd3 #71 Lorenzo Booker
Rd4 #108 Paul Solial
Rd6 #181 Reagan Mauia
Rd6 #199 Drew Mormino
Rd7 #219 Kelvin Smith
Rd7 #225 Brandon Fields
Rd7 #238 Abe Wright

So in the 8 drafts since the year 2000 we have had 5 First Round picks. We have had 6 2nd round picks. We have had 8 3rd round picks. We have had 6 4th round picks. We have had 8 5th round picks. We have had 11 6th round picks. And we have had 12 7th round picks. So in 8 years we have had a total of 57 picks. Of those 57 picks 18 players (Ted Ginn Jr, John Beck, Samson Satele, Lorenzo Booker, Paul Solial, Reagan Mauia, Drew Mormino, Brandon Fields, Abraham Wright, Jason Allen, Derek Hagan, Rod Wright, Ronnie Brown, Matt Roth, Channing Crowder, Travis Daniels, Vernon Carey, and Yeremiah Bell) remain on the roster. No player prior to the 2003 draft is still on this team. Another point to note, of those 18 players still on the team 16 were taken in the past 3 years. Bell and Carey are the only holdovers from the Wannstedt regime.

We currently have 4 first round picks, 3 second round picks, 3 third round picks, 2 fourth round picks, Zero fifth round picks, 3 sixth round picks and 4 seventh round picks on the roster. Making our best statistical rounds the First and the Seventh with us having absolutely no success in the past 8 years in the fifth round.

Of course these are all just numbers and trends of previous regmines but it's still interesting to examine our draft tendencies over the past 8 years. Here's to hoping to a better 2008!

 

[igor79]

Class of 2000
Rd2 #53 Todd Wade
Rd3 #84 Ben Kelly
Rd4 #117 Deon Dyer
Rd5 #152 Arturo Freeman
Rd6 #167 Ernest Grant
Rd 7 # 232 Jeff Harris

Class of 2001
Rd1 #26 Jamar Fletcher
Rd2 #52 Chris Chambers
Rd3 #85 Travis Minor
Rd3 #88 Morlon Greenwood
Rd5 #156 Shawn Draper
Rd6 #164 Brandon Winey
Rd6 #177 Josh Heupel
Rd6 #187 Otis Leverette
Rd6 #188 Rick Crowell

Class of 2002
Rd3 #90 Seth McKinney
Rd4 #114 Randy McMichael
Rd5 #161 Omare Lowe
Rd5 #170 Sam Simmons
Rd7 #241 Leonard Henry

Class of 2003
Rd2 #49 Eddie Moore
Rd3 #78 Wade Smith
Rd3 #87 Taylor Whitley
Rd5 #156 Donald Lee
Rd6 #181 Corey Jenkins
Rd6 #209 Tim Provost
Rd6 #213 Yeremiah Bell
Rd7 #248 Devern Williams

Class of 2004
Rd1 #19 Vernon Carey
Rd4 #102 Will Poole
Rd5 #160 Tony Bua
Rd6 #174 Red Hadnot
Rd7 #221 Tony Pape
Rd7 #222 Derrick Pope

Class of 2005
Rd1 #2 Ronnie Brown
Rd2 #46 Matt Roth
Rd3 #70 Channing Crowder
Rd4 #104 Travis Daniels
Rd5 #162 Anthony Alabi
Rd7 #216 Kevin Vickerson

Class of 2006
Rd1 #16 Jason Allen
Rd3 #82 Derek Hagan
Rd4 #114 Joe Toledo
Rd7 #212 Fred Evans
Rd7 #226 Rod Wright
Rd7 #233 Devin Aromashodu

Class of 2007
Rd1 #9 Ted Ginn Jr
Rd2 #40 John Beck
Rd2 #60 Samson Satele
Rd3 #71 Lorenzo Booker
Rd4 #108 Paul Solial
Rd6 #181 Reagan Mauia
Rd6 #199 Drew Mormino
Rd7 #219 Kelvin Smith
Rd7 #225 Brandon Fields
Rd7 #238 Abe Wright

So in the 8 drafts since the year 2000 we have had 5 First Round picks. We have had 6 2nd round picks. We have had 8 3rd round picks. We have had 6 4th round picks. We have had 8 5th round picks. We have had 11 6th round picks. And we have had 12 7th round picks. So in 8 years we have had a total of 57 picks. Of those 57 picks 18 players (Ted Ginn Jr, John Beck, Samson Satele, Lorenzo Booker, Paul Solial, Reagan Mauia, Drew Mormino, Brandon Fields, Abraham Wright, Jason Allen, Derek Hagan, Rod Wright, Ronnie Brown, Matt Roth, Channing Crowder, Travis Daniels, Vernon Carey, and Yeremiah Bell) remain on the roster. No player prior to the 2003 draft is still on this team. Another point to note, of those 18 players still on the team 16 were taken in the past 3 years. Bell and Carey are the only holdovers from the Wannstedt regime.

We currently have 4 first round picks, 3 second round picks, 3 third round picks, 2 fourth round picks, Zero fifth round picks, 3 sixth round picks and 4 seventh round picks on the roster. Making our best statistical rounds the First and the Seventh with us having absolutely no success in the past 8 years in the fifth round.

Of course these are all just numbers and trends of previous regmines but it's still interesting to examine our draft tendencies over the past 8 years. Here's to hoping to a better 2008!

it seems like we rehash this list every single week...

 

[Predaphin]

Wasn't Eddie Moore a 3rd round pick?

 

[Trowa]

it seems like we rehash this list every single week...

Probably so, but I'm around so rarely nowadays I miss most topics. I was looking at our past drafts last night and though I was aware of our drafting woes it really didn't hit me that we have only 2 players on this team prior to the 2005 draft. That's sad.

 

[PROUDMONKEY]

NFL Draft Trends from the last 5 years

Regarding recent draft trends, I posted the below article on my Dolphins blog a few weeks back, this info is related to the topic of this original thread
http://thedolphininsider.blogspot.com/

Being a Dolphin fan and the fact that this team holds the first pick in the 08 draft, was the worst team in the league last year, holds 3 picks on day one, and 5 picks within the first 100 picks, the draft has taken up a lot of my free time with thoughts and analysis.

Up until about a week ago, I had taken a general assumption that Miami will automatically secure about five starters out of the upcoming draft, and to my dismay, landing five quality starters would be considered an extraordinary accomplishment based on the trends from the last 5 years of NFL Drafts.

This team is so bad and has needs at virtually every position, and because Parcells is a master of shopping for groceries, this team may still land a minimum of five starters out of pure necessity.

Due to injuries and a piss poor depth of talent last year, The Dolphins had somewhere between 7-10 first year players obtain considerable playing time last year. This coming year may be no exception.

After analyzing all the picks from the drafts occurring between 2002-2007 from every NFL team, here are some numbers I uncovered…

Over the last five years, each team has made an average of 40 picks per team. Of these 40 picks, 10 become starters, 13 are backups, 6 leave for another team, and 11 of the lot are out of the NFL entirely. On an annual basis, this works out to each team averaging 8 picks a year, and of the 8 annual picks, 2 will become starters, 3 will make the team as a backup, 1 will not make the roster but land on another team, and 2 will be cut and not play in the league at all.

Over the last three years(2005-2007), the annual average is 8 picks per year, 2 starters, 4 backups, 1 makes the roster on another team, and 1 is no longer in the NFL.

The Dolphins have selected 37 players over the last 5 years, with 11 becoming starters, 12 are backups, 8 sign with another team ,and 6 are no longer in the NFL. Over the last 3 drafts, there have been 22 selections, with 8 becoming starters, 11 backups, 3 on another team, and zero players out of the league entirely. The annual Average for the Dolphins is 7 picks a year, with 2 becoming starters, 2 become backups, 2 sign with another team, and 1 out of the league.

The Denver Broncos jump off the page as holding the dubious honor of having the worst results over the last five years. The Broncos have made a total of 37 NFL draft picks since 2002 with more than half, or 19 players, no longer playing in the NFL at all. In total, The Broncos have turned these 37 picks into 6 starters, 7 backups and losing another 5 to other NFL teams. Since 2002, 65% of the Broncos picks are no longer with the team, or a ratio of 2 out of every three picks.

The Indianapolis Colts from two years ago started 100% or 22 players on offense and defense in the Superbowl that were all homegrown draft picks. They have a reputation of building their roster via draft and the results demonstrate this philosophy. Of the Colts 26 picks over the last 3 drafts, they have obtained 8 starters and 13 backups. In other words 81% of their picks since 2005 have made the roster. But they are not the most efficient NFL team in the draft since 2002.

Surprising to me, the leader over the last three drafts turns out to be the Baltimore Ravens with a retention rate of 92%. Of their 24 picks, they have secured 8starters and 14 backups.

The most efficient team over five years is the Arizona Cardinals with a retention rate of 70% since 2002. The Cards have made a total of 33 picks that have resulted in 14 starters and 9 backups. That works out to 42% of picks becoming starters. Carolina Panthers are the worst in this stat with only converting 6 of 39 total picks into starters, or 15% of all picks since 2002.

Over the last 3 drafts, the Dolphins lead the AFC east in converting 19 of 22 picks into starters or backups. The million dollar question is this sign of good drafting or a bad team making desperate attempts to fill holes on a weak roster. I’m guessing more of the later.

Assuming Miami makes about 7-10 picks this year by adding a pick here or there from wheeling and dealing or acquiring supplemental picks, a reasonable expectation is to forecast we will add about 7 total players to the roster in 2008 with 3 becoming starters, and 4 serving as backups and special team players. It is worthy to note that the Draft is Parcells specialty so here is to hoping he surprises and exceeds our expectations.

The good news is the darkest days of this franchise are behind us, and there is only way to go from a miserable 2007 1-15 campaign.

 

[BobDole]

definitely depressing. let's just hope we don't see some variation of this thread next year.

 

[Nick13]

We currently have 4 first round picks, 3 second round picks, 3 third round picks, 2 fourth round picks, Zero fifth round picks, 3 sixth round picks and 4 seventh round picks on the roster. Making our best statistical rounds the First and the Seventh with us having absolutely no success in the past 8 years in the fifth round.

Of course these are all just numbers and trends of previous regmines but it's still interesting to examine our draft tendencies over the past 8 years. Here's to hoping to a better 2008!

hey, on the plus side, we dont have a fifth round pick this year...so there's no chance of us flubbing it up again! this has to be a sign of our destiny to overcome these trying times, annoint John Beck as the savior, the second coming of the great one, we shall take the football world by storm!!!

ok, maybe not, but still, when you look at our 5th round futility, it's kind of nice to know it's a promise not to be repeated.