A glimpse of this passing offense after week one... | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

A glimpse of this passing offense after week one...

NBP81

NBP81

Its what you know for sure... that just aint so...
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This passing offense is already showing off compared to last year...

  • Average intended air yards: 8 yards(top 12) compared to 7 yards(bottom 3) last year
  • Aggressive %: 12%(middle of the pack) compared to 19% last season(#1 in the NFL), this means WRs are getting open a shitload more than they did last year.
  • Completion% over expected: +2.9%(top 8) This has never been an issue for Tua, But its good to see that by increasing the passes air yard distance, he's still completing more of them than expected.
  • Time to throw: 2.92 which is quite a bit longer from Tua's previous averages... Which were around 2.5... Deeper passing plays combined with more PAs are the likely increase here.

Now this isnt a nextgen stat but YPA is one of the stat that is correlated the most to winning actual games... In the first game with a new coaching staff, new system and 2/3rds of the previous receiving group removed... 8.2 yards per attempt compared to 6.8 last season.
 
NBP81 said:
This passing offense is already showing off compared to last year...

  • Average intended air yards: 8 yards(top 12) compared to 7 yards(bottom 3) last year
  • Aggressive %: 12%(middle of the pack) compared to 19% last season(#1 in the NFL), this means WRs are getting open a shitload more than they did last year.
  • Completion% over expected: +2.9%(top 8) This has never been an issue for Tua, But its good to see that by increasing the passes air yard distance, he's still completing more of them than expected.
  • Time to throw: 2.92 which is quite a bit longer from Tua's previous averages... Which were around 2.5... Deeper passing plays combined with more PAs are the likely increase here.

Now this isnt a nextgen stat but YPA is one of the stat that is correlated the most to winning actual games... In the first game with a new coaching staff, new system and 2/3rds of the previous receiving group removed... 8.2 yards per attempt compared to 6.8 last season.
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I was told we can't win with him, so that's all well and good, but who won the game?
 
I like the progression, and the better personal certainly help with that... but...

I just watched the game. Took my time, rewound it a lot and... Tua made quite a few stupid decisions-- decisions that could easily have beaten us.

I'm not super worried, because that was game 1 and there's still lots of time to clean those up... but geez his 4th quarter work was poor. He was making the type of risky decisions that you have to make when you are down 13 points, rather than ahead.

I hope McD gets on Tua's ass in the film room.
 
Feverdream said:
I like the progression, and the better personal certainly help with that... but...

I just watched the game. Took my time, rewound it a lot and... Tua made quite a few stupid decisions-- decisions that could easily have beaten us.

I'm not super worried, because that was game 1 and there's still lots of time to clean those up... but geez his 4th quarter work was poor. He was making the type of risky decisions that you have to make when you are down 13 points, rather than ahead.

I hope McD gets on Tua's ass in the film room.
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I don't think he'll get in his ass...kinda hard to do that when you were ****ing up calling plays during the game, and the QB had to improvise. But out of curiosity, how many bad decisions did you see? I counted 3, and ya his 4th quarter was uncharacteristic of his norm.
 
Both of those throws into the ground were awful-- likely grounding on both. The little floater that should have been picked off... the other pass that bounced in front of Sherfield... I think there were others.

He made more bad plays in 5-10 minutes of game time than in the entire first three quarters.

I wonder if he was pressing... still hearing all of the negative press from the offseason.

He's better than that though... unlike the flame throwers who just hate Tua, I am willing to call those throws 'uncharacteristic' and just move on.
 
Feverdream said:
Both of those throws into the ground were awful-- likely grounding on both. The little floater that should have been picked off... the other pass that bounced in front of Sherfield... I think there were others.

He made more bad plays in 5-10 minutes of game time than in the entire first three quarters.

I wonder if he was pressing... still hearing all of the negative press from the offseason.

He's better than that though... unlike the flame throwers who just hate Tua, I am willing to call those throws 'uncharacteristic' and just move on.
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Ya I forgot about the Sherfield one...good point.
 
Feverdream said:
I like the progression, and the better personal certainly help with that... but...

I just watched the game. Took my time, rewound it a lot and... Tua made quite a few stupid decisions-- decisions that could easily have beaten us.

I'm not super worried, because that was game 1 and there's still lots of time to clean those up... but geez his 4th quarter work was poor. He was making the type of risky decisions that you have to make when you are down 13 points, rather than ahead.

I hope McD gets on Tua's ass in the film room.
Click to expand...
He needs to just accept the sack instead of all that crazy stuff he was trying to do. Also we need to start seeing Tua throw the ball away to avoid stuff like that. Don’t think he had a single pass out of bounds when nothing was there vs New England:
 
Dolph N.Fan said:
He needs to just accept the sack instead of all that crazy stuff he was trying to do. Also we need to start seeing Tua throw the ball away to avoid stuff like that. Don’t think he had a single pass out of bounds when nothing was there vs New England:
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There was one... a play where he'd rolled all the way to the sideline.

But beyond that... no.
 
OP- great progression year over (early ) year. Very encouraging. I think we need to enjoy T HIll, but no have everything run through him. Spread the ball around and
we will be fine.
 
Feverdream said:
Both of those throws into the ground were awful-- likely grounding on both. The little floater that should have been picked off... the other pass that bounced in front of Sherfield... I think there were others.

He made more bad plays in 5-10 minutes of game time than in the entire first three quarters.

I wonder if he was pressing... still hearing all of the negative press from the offseason.

He's better than that though... unlike the flame throwers who just hate Tua, I am willing to call those throws 'uncharacteristic' and just move on.
Click to expand...
Im not too worried about the 4th quarter thing, although valid... Historically, the 4th has been his best quarter by a wide margin, this is a outlier at this point.

One thing that really surprised me is the Run /Pass ratio combined with the number of times they went to shotgun... This isnt a complaint, just really not what I expected...
 
NBP81 said:
Im not too worried about the 4th quarter thing, although valid... Historically, the 4th has been his best quarter by a wide margin, this is a outlier at this point.

One thing that really surprised me is the Run /Pass ratio combined with the number of times they went to shotgun... This isnt a complaint, just really not what I expected...
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I was less surprised than you; I've thought all along that we didn't really have the personnel to run the SF style... at least not yet.
We clearly have no idea what to do with Gesicki and until our line is more in synch... our RBs are a little light.
 
PhinFan1968 said:
After another look, that pass to Sherfield he had a defender in his face, was back-peddling, and threw it short, so bad pass...but not a bad decision.
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I think a vet QB, just takes the sack in that situation. It's not like we needed to score.
 
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