A Look Back at the 2020 NFL QB Draft - Analysis | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

A Look Back at the 2020 NFL QB Draft - Analysis

DolphinVJ

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Hello all,
The QBs from the 2020 NFL Draft have always been a good topic of discussion among the fans and the Media. I decided to do an Analysis and rank the QBs using probably the most important traits/criteria, below, I could think of for a QB. Since the QBs have played a different amount of games during the 5 years and Jordan Love having played only 2 years, I have used the Stats that are on a per game basis, such as Yards/Game, TD%, Int%, and % of Game Winning Drives & 4th Quarter Comeback Wins to make it comparable. As we can see, other than Hurts at #1, the 4 QBs are pretty close. Worth noting that Herbert's best years were the first two years and not so much the last 3 years. I was surprised to see him come out at #1 in Clutch Skills and Burrow last in that and Tua winning 61% of his Regular Season games and Burrows at (only) 56%. My Stats were pulled from Statemuse.com and pro-football-reference.com. Feel free to comment and/or post your Ratings/Rankings.

CriteriaDescription
1​
Production - Passing StatsQB Rating, Yards/Game, TD%, Int%
2​
Regular Season SuccessWin-Loss %
3​
Playoff SuccessSuperbowl appearances and W-L%
4​
Mental AspectDecision Making, Processing, Pre-Snap Reads, Anticipation, Poise
5​
Intangibles - LeadershipConfidence, Presence, Command, At the Podium
6​
Physical TalentArm Strength, Mobility, Athleticism, Size, Accuracy
7​
Clutch Skills% of Game Winning Drives & 4th Quarter Comeback Wins
8​
AvailabilityDurable and Available for Games

Results -

Ratings - 1 is best & 5 is worstJ. BurrowsTuaHerbertJ. LoveJ. Hurts
1​
Production - Stats
1​
2​
3​
4​
5​
2​
Regular Season Success
3​
2​
5​
4​
1​
3​
Playoff Success
2​
4​
5​
3​
1​
4​
Mental Aspect
1​
2​
5​
3​
4​
5​
Intangibles - Leadership
2​
3​
4​
5​
1​
6​
Physical Talent
4​
5​
1​
2​
3​
7​
Clutch Skills
5​
2​
1​
4​
3​
8​
Availability
4​
5​
2​
3​
1​
TOTAL (the lower the better)
22​
25​
26​
28​
19​
Ranking Based on Above Criteria
2​
3​
4​
5​
1​
 
Herbert being #1 in athleticism.....

Season 9 Smh GIF by The Office
 
I think this proves the fact that any QB picked by the Dolphins would have the FAILURE label on him...

If you put the other 4 QB on the eagles I beleive the resultats would look like :

1- Burrow (with a super bowl win
2- Tua and Herbert (with a SB appearance each)
3- Love
4- Hurts
 
I think this proves the fact that any QB picked by the Dolphins would have the FAILURE label on him...

If you put the other 4 QB on the eagles I beleive the resultats would look like :

1- Burrow (with a super bowl win
2- Tua and Herbert (with a SB appearance each)
3- Love
4- Hurts
That’s a good point… of the 5 teams, the eagles have definitely been the most dangerous consistently.
 
There's too much subjectivity in this to make it valid. #'s 4-7 is all opinion based.
#7 Clutch Skills is not subjective - I used data for 4th Quarter comeback Wins and Game Winning Drives. Interestingly enough, when I removed #4-6 from the Analysis because they can be subjective, the results/rankings came out similar.
 
#7 Clutch Skills is not subjective - I used data for 4th Quarter comeback Wins and Game Winning Drives. Interestingly enough, when I removed #4-6 from the Analysis because they can be subjective, the results/rankings came out similar.

#7 doesn't allow equality for each QB. We all know Hurts has the best OL. Tua has a terrible OL. If Tua has a game winning drive derailed from penalties and sacks, does that make him less clutch?
 
There’s so much that needs to go right for a QB to be truly great. So many combinations of things have to fit together. They are all talented.
 
I think this proves the fact that any QB picked by the Dolphins would have the FAILURE label on him...

If you put the other 4 QB on the eagles I beleive the resultats would look like :

1- Burrow (with a super bowl win
2- Tua and Herbert (with a SB appearance each)
3- Love
4- Hurts
Very intuitive, I'd agree.
 
Additionally, QBs peak at different points in their careers. Some in their first few years, some in their next few. It’s often fluid, especially with the QBs that end up being historically great.
 
Nice work. I'd put Burrows high on clutch. Herbert, honestly, might be 5th in that category.

For some reason, I tend to underrate Hurts.
 
I would put Tua dead last in clutch. When we need to win one game to get in the playoffs, he doesn’t show. When it’s a big game or a must win game, he does not show.
Interestingly, Tua was super clutch in college. He hasn't been that often enough in the NFL. I know the talent around a quarterback matters, so have to factor that in as well.
 
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