Dwight57
Rookie
For years now I have come to really enjoy reading about draft prospects and comparing the analysis from expert to expert. I have subscribed to Kiper and Ourlads since the 90's and I decided to take a look at how accurate they are to rating the prospects compared to where they are picked. It doesn't mean they know who will be good but rather what team picks who and where based on film study, interviews, rumors, etc....
So below is the data I compiled. I simply added the delta of the expert's ranking to where the player was picked and then took an average of how far off they were. Crude but it's an apples to apples comparison of these two draft experts.
2009
1st round variance Kiper = 6.4 Ourlads = 12.9
2nd round variance Kiper = 18 Ourlads = 23
2008
1st round variance Kiper = 7.6 Ourlads = 11.2
I know there so many more draft experts out there but these are the two I have data on. I know Kiper can be annoying but the data says here that he's the winner.
I must say I really enjoy the work of the guys at Universal so it would be interesting to see how they would rank.
So who is your favorite draft expert?
So below is the data I compiled. I simply added the delta of the expert's ranking to where the player was picked and then took an average of how far off they were. Crude but it's an apples to apples comparison of these two draft experts.
2009
1st round variance Kiper = 6.4 Ourlads = 12.9
2nd round variance Kiper = 18 Ourlads = 23
2008
1st round variance Kiper = 7.6 Ourlads = 11.2
I know there so many more draft experts out there but these are the two I have data on. I know Kiper can be annoying but the data says here that he's the winner.
I must say I really enjoy the work of the guys at Universal so it would be interesting to see how they would rank.
So who is your favorite draft expert?