The people that have the most skin in the game.........professional sports bettors definitely care about injuries and handicap games accordingly.
Not really. I bet sports for 24 years in Las Vegas. Injuries weren't in the top 5 in terms of football handicapping variables that I used or that anyone used, not unless it was a pivotal quarterback or bunched injuries all of a sudden.
These Dolphin injuries are not bunched injuries. Nobody cares. The oddsmakers and bettors certainly don't care. The Miami power rating was shifted a few points due to Tannehill but not due to anything else.
Now, if we're talking college basketball...then yes, injuries can be a huge talking point and line mover. When a college basketball number moves 2-3 points late then it can be a special player who is suddenly ruled out, and especially if that is a mid major type team that doesn't have the depth to overcome him with numbers
Anyway, if people realized how little thought process and emphasis went into something like this Coach of the Year market, nobody would care and this thread wouldn't exist. First of all, I don't see any connection to Las Vegas. It looks like some betting website maybe connected to Bovada, which does specialize in this type of market, for low limits because they realize nobody else carries it and they can pick off any related publicity and a few dollars.
They'll tell some employee to slap something together, and make sure to use heavy juice. That is...make it a rip off no matter who the bettors take. You could probably double every number and still have the best of it as the oddsmaker.
Then the guy who is told to put this together quickly looks at the preseason projections, and any team that is well above the win estimate must have a coach who is doing a great job, so those coaches top the list. Remarkably complicated and sophisticated, as you can see. The guy might not know anything about Adam Gase other than his name, and I can all but guarantee he doesn't know or care about Dolphins injuries, but once he sees that a 5-4 team was projected to win 6.5 games, okay let's put him relatively high on the list. There literally might not be 30 seconds communication between two employees before this market goes on the board.
"Have you finished it?"
"Yeah, here it is."
"Thanks"
Conventional wisdom posters on a forum called CanesInsight can't stand me because they want to believe that process is actually hour after hour and day after day of back room analysis covering every possible angle and with numerical sophistication galore. They refuse to believe any other version. I think I'll go over there and laugh at them again tomorrow. This site is exponentially sharper.
When I lived full time in Las Vegas the markets like Heisman Trophy and Coach of the Year were not available. Not legal by the Nevada Gaming Board. Tourists were shocked by that. You could only wager on results decided on the field of play. That has been softened recently but it is still not a feature of the sportsbooks. Most of them are still run by guys who entered the business under the old rules so that's what they prioritize and remain loyal to. This kind of stuff is mostly offshore and online.
BTW, on return from Boston recently I went through Delaware and stopped at Dover Downs. I wanted to see an actual sportsbook, outside Nevada and courtesy of the recent Supreme Court ruling.
It was virtually identical. In fact, if blindfolded I never would have known I wasn't in Nevada. The board was the same. Betting sheets the same. Size of the room the same. Everything.
I was somewhat surprised at the lack of attendance. We were always told in Las Vegas that if you ever legalized this elsewhere there would be a stampede.
I guess that was adjuster stuff.