AFC Playoff Picture | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

AFC Playoff Picture

Seminole51

Starter
Joined
Apr 14, 2005
Messages
373
Reaction score
1
Location
Reston, VA
Unfortunately I cant claim writing this... Its from my other favorite Dolphins Fan Site, The Phinsider.com. But it gives a good view of upcoming scenarios...

AFC Playoff Picture
I'm not a fan of projecting too far into the future in terms of playoff positioning. But this does deserve a quick examination.
Here are the facts. The Dolphins are currently in 8th in the AFC, only one game behind the final wildcard spot that is currently held by the Jaguars - coincidentally, the Dolphins' next opponent. In fact, Miami's final four opponents are all against teams in the AFC playoff race.
So what happens if the Dolphins win their remaining four games and get to 10-6? Well that would mean that the Jaguars, Ravens, and Jets would all have at least six losses to go along with Miami. Thanks to Miami's two game sweep of the Jets, New York is a non-factor if the Dolphins win out. So that would bring us to the Dolphins, Ravens, and Jaguars.
The first tie-breaker for three teams and one wildcard spot is if any of the teams have defeated both of the other teams. In this scenario, no team would have accomplished this. The next tie-breaker is conference record. In this scenario, with the Dolphins and Ravens winning out and the Jags winning all but their game this week against the Dolphins, Jacksonville would only have three conference losses while both Miami and Baltimore would have four - giving that final wildcard spot to the Jaguars.
But the Jaguars still face the Colts at home and the Patriots in New England. So I don't think it's likely we see the Jaguars end the season with only three conference losses. And if they were to lose to New England or Indy, then that would give the Jags seven losses - eliminating them from this particular discussion in which we are examining what would happen should the Ravens and Dolphins win their remaining games.
So that would leave the Ravens and Dolphins. The next tie-breaker after conference record would be each team's record in common games. In this scenario, with the Dolphins and Ravens winning their remaining games, the Ravens would be 3-2 in games against common opponents (which are SD, NE, Ind, Pit) while the Dolphins would be just 2-3. Hence - the Ravens would get that final wildcard spot.
What's this all mean? It means that the Dolphins do not control their own destiny. But it also means that they have got to take care of their own business if they even want to worry about these playoff scenarios. And that continues this week in Jacksonville.
 
well that was a good read.All I can say is the last 2 games for us are at home and for the ravens on the road.
 
Seems like the only real hope we have is for NE to drop a few more games, we all know that is highly unlikely, but possible either way. If we can win out and win the division (odds are definitely against the team), nothing else matters.
 
It would be easier for us to get in as the division winner than taking the last wildcard spot IMO. We have to win out for both but need only the Rats to lose 1 of their final games for the division win, but need help from many other teams to get in as a wildcard. That Buffalo loss killed us!! If that doesnt show us how important it is to win your division games, nothing would... If we beat Buffalo, we'd be in the division lead right now.. &^%#$##%
 
Yeah as much as people talk about the Colts and Saints game coming back to haunt us, I have an awful gut feeling its REALLY going to be the Bills game thats the ultimate killer :-(
 
It would be easier for us to get in as the division winner than taking the last wildcard spot IMO. We have to win out for both but need only the Rats to lose 1 of their final games for the division win, but need help from many other teams to get in as a wildcard. That Buffalo loss killed us!! If that doesnt show us how important it is to win your division games, nothing would... If we beat Buffalo, we'd be in the division lead right now.. &^%#$##%

If we win out, we need help from only 1 other team to win the wild card or the division....

Pats lose 1 to an AFC team, we win the division. (If their only loss is this week to Carolina, we need for Baltimore and Atlanta to lose a bunch of games, and for Carolina to win a bunch to win the strength of victory tie-breaker)

Ravens lose 1 to anyone, we win the wildcard.

To the OP, if we win out, we can't finish tied with the Jags for a wild card, because for them to equal our record, they will have beaten the Patrtiots, giving us the division.
 
I'll worry about the playoff picture in week 17 against Pit. If we win to that point wow what a finial game of the season that would be!
 
Back
Top Bottom