What‘s your game score prediction?
Official: O/U: 44.5, Spread -4
My SWAG: Miami 24, Pittsburgh 14.
On paper, Miami has the edge and should cover based on the advantages listed below, especially if they can get the passing game going early against a porous Steelers secondary. Miami is not likely to bust out its running game against these Steelers based on current matchups.
The wild cards are (a.) Pickett/Trubisky successfully play ”Hero Ball” against our depleted third level, (b.) we fail to generate takeaways, and/or (c.) we rack up the penalties.
Advantage
Official: O/U: 44.5, Spread -4
My SWAG: Miami 24, Pittsburgh 14.
On paper, Miami has the edge and should cover based on the advantages listed below, especially if they can get the passing game going early against a porous Steelers secondary. Miami is not likely to bust out its running game against these Steelers based on current matchups.
The wild cards are (a.) Pickett/Trubisky successfully play ”Hero Ball” against our depleted third level, (b.) we fail to generate takeaways, and/or (c.) we rack up the penalties.
Advantage
- Miami leads the series at home, 9-6
- Miami Passing Offense (#2nd, 285 yards per game) vs. Pittsburgh Passing Defense (#30, 277.8 yards per game)
- Miami Rush Defense (#11, 104.7 YPG) vs. Pittsburgh Rush Offense (#28, 86.7 YPG)
- Intangible: 50th anniversary of 1972 Perfect Season celebration; Tua’s return
- No TJ Watt
- Pittsburgh Rush Defense (#18, 120.2 YPG) vs. Miami Rush Offense (#30, 81.2 YPG)
- Pittsburgh Takeaways Per Game (#5, 1.7) vs. Miami Takeaways Per Game (#29, 0.7)
- Miami is 0-3 on Sunday Night Football
- Pittsburgh momentum From upset win of Tampa Bay
Miami Pass Defense (#25, 256.7 YPG) vs. Pittsburgh Passing Offense (#25, 204.8 YPG). 
- Pittsburgh Penalties per Game (#17, 6.2) vs. Miami Penalties Per Game (#28, 7.2)
- Weather forecast for Sunday night is clear and 77-degrees.
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