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Betting man

Die_Nasty

Die_Nasty

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Let me know what you think:

1) The Dolphins will make the playoffs before the cowboys win the superbowl (obviously with a cowboy fan)

2) Ted Ginn will have atleast 5 return TDs this year( including both kick offs and punts and excluding if he isnt our starting returner or if he is hurt).

3) McCown will not be our week 1 starting quarterback.


I think that all these bets are decently safe (obviously since i decided to make them), so let me know if you have any opinions or have any bets you have made or would make.
 
Dang dude, if Ginn has 5 return TDs that would be like the 2nd best return season by one person EVER, i'll be stoked if he has 5 TDs for the whole season including his time on offense.
 
1 is a solid bet and 2 prob not tht is a bet i would not make and three depends on what kind of odds your gettin
 
Die_Nasty said:
Let me know what you think:

1) The Dolphins will make the playoffs before the cowboys win the superbowl (obviously with a cowboy fan)

2) Ted Ginn will have atleast 5 return TDs this year( including both kick offs and punts and excluding if he isnt our starting returner or if he is hurt).

3) McCown will not be our week 1 starting quarterback.


I think that all these bets are decently safe (obviously since i decided to make them), so let me know if you have any opinions or have any bets you have made or would make.
Click to expand...

I assume these are even money. I'll base my summations on that premise.

1) That's an excellent bet. In any given year the Cowboys are a considerable underdog to win the Super Bowl while next season ('09), for example, Miami might be favored to make the playoffs, or not much of an underdog. You basically have to fade one season -- this season. Regardless, the key word is "win" Super Bowl. Even if Dallas gets there you can still bet on them to win the game on the money line, for an equal amount of your man to man wager. That way, you break even. The only risk would be if they are a huge favorite and your money line wager would lose at let's say -500. But that type of favoritism is severely unlikely given the strength of the AFC.

2) How does the same guy who made astute wager #1 get stuck with a braindead situation like this? Your friend would have an advantage under 2.5.

3) This is crapshoot territory. In #1 and #2 the mathematical odds take over and it's blatantly obvious where the advantage lies. In a case like this you're dealing with a handful of opinions, and one specific moment in time, the season opener. Beck and Henne could be ahead of McCown on the depth chart but nicked and unable to start. You probably have slight edge with 2 vs. 1, but one of your guys is a rookie, the other 2nd year, and it's not a significant advantage.
 
Die_Nasty said:
Let me know what you think:

1) The Dolphins will make the playoffs before the cowboys win the superbowl (obviously with a cowboy fan)

2) Ted Ginn will have atleast 5 return TDs this year( including both kick offs and punts and excluding if he isnt our starting returner or if he is hurt).

3) McCown will not be our week 1 starting quarterback.


I think that all these bets are decently safe (obviously since i decided to make them), so let me know if you have any opinions or have any bets you have made or would make.
Click to expand...

1. The Cowboys cant win in the playoffs, still dont know if i'd take that bet.

2. No chance he has 5 return TD's this season.

3. 50/50 between him and Beck
 
3 is the only safe bet. chronic, habitual, bad gamblers would take 1 and 2.
 
C Maltasanti said:
Dang dude, if Ginn has 5 return TDs that would be like the 2nd best return season by one person EVER, i'll be stoked if he has 5 TDs for the whole season including his time on offense.
Click to expand...

I will be extremely disappointed if Ted Ginn doesn't have more than 5 (overall) TD's this year. I think he could have 2 returns and 6 or 7 TD catches and maybe 1 trick play TD. That would be worthy of a 2nd year 1st round WR pick @ # 9. :up:
 
Die_Nasty said:
Let me know what you think:

1) The Dolphins will make the playoffs before the cowboys win the superbowl (obviously with a cowboy fan)

2) Ted Ginn will have atleast 5 return TDs this year( including both kick offs and punts and excluding if he isnt our starting returner or if he is hurt).

3) McCown will not be our week 1 starting quarterback.


I think that all these bets are decently safe (obviously since i decided to make them), so let me know if you have any opinions or have any bets you have made or would make.
Click to expand...


i think u will lose all 3.
 
Obviously I was intoxicated while taking bet #2, but even though it might not happen I dont think it is entirely out of the question. Plus, even if I lose $20 for #2 and #3, I feel pretty confident ill win the $50 i put on #1 :woot:
 
2. Actually, might not be that bad. You have plenty of outs. He has to start there all year? and not get hurt all year?

It would be very rare for a player to start at receiver, be the #1 punt guy, the #1 kick return guy, and not miss a game.

In fact, if he does that, he may have five returns. And if our defense gives up a lot of points that will give plenty of opportunities for him to follow the new blockers.
 
Die_Nasty said:
Let me know what you think:

1) The Dolphins will make the playoffs before the cowboys win the superbowl (obviously with a cowboy fan).
Click to expand...

We're winning the superbowl next year so ill bet this.

Die_Nasty said:
2) Ted Ginn will have atleast 5 return TDs this year( including both kick offs and punts and excluding if he isnt our starting returner or if he is hurt).
Click to expand...

I dont think this is happening. I predict 3 total returns.

3) McCown will not be our week 1 starting quarterback.
Click to expand...

Im not taking this, I think Beck will be our starter
 
dolpns13 said:
We're winning the superbowl next year so ill bet this.



I dont think this is happening. I predict 3 total returns.



Im not taking this, I think Beck will be our starter
Click to expand...
If you think Beck will be our starter (as do I), then you would want to take bet 3.
 
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