Either that, or it’s not that complicated. It’s just football. You’re not replacing a heart valve. The inability to reason critically causes you to draft Jamal Fletcher over Drew Brees, particularly when you have Surtain and Madison in their primes. It’s really not that complicated for people trained in critical thinking. Maybe it’s not as easy for meatheads who often are NFL GM’s.
What you need are smarter guys as the decision makers. Baseball and basketball are going in that direction. Ivy Leaguers are regularly GM’s now in baseball and the thought process is so much more advanced than it is in football. You see a bright guy like BB and it’s absurd that no other team can match wits with him. That’s not going to happen in the other sports.
While I get where you are with those sentiments, I still say it is an over simplification.
I can foresee (if it hasn’t already happened) feeding a sh-t ton of evaluation data into some ML models and trying to predict draft value and success rates. I’m not sure there is enough volume to really get a good predictive model, but let’s set that aside.
The problems are the same as the human equations now. Garbage in, garbage out. You would need subjective grading on both the inputs (college) and outcomes (pros). It isn’t strictly a qualitative measurement.
So, the scouts, their biases, and viewpoints affect the models.
I don’t think it as simple as baseball where so much is individual effort and you can measure more qualitatively.
I dunno. I agree we need smart people. But in the football world, I don’t think pure analytics works... which means you can’t just rely on left brains for a GM.
Now - the Belichick role is different. I really think BB is a left brain. He has so much knowledge and experience, that everything is an If-this then-that.
Look at how they deal with press vs zone coverage on offense. Press: straight to pick plays. Play off: drive and come back. It’s very predictable. (Side note: I can’t wait to see how Flores deals with it)