It’s possible to be the best player at a position in a given class without being a good prospect. When you conflate best available with quality prospect is when you overpay at draft time and over-expect afterwards.
Jared Goff is the best quarterback available in the 2016 draft. He’s also not a particularly impressive player.
Goff isn’t close to the quality of Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota from last year’s class. He wouldn’t have been close Teddy Bridgewater as the best prospect in the previous class. Each of those three quarterbacks had obvious traits that would translate to the NFL, each showed off poise in the pocket, intelligence breaking down coverages and consistent accuracy.
Any quarterback who enters the draft needs to have shown off his strengths on a consistent basis against inferior opponents at that level. You can make mistakes, everyone does. How often you make mistakes and how much you need to develop will ultimately determine if you deserve to start in the NFL though.
It didn’t matter that Jameis Winston turned the ball over too much, his intelligence and process in the pocket were prevalent in every game he played. It didn’t matter that Marcus Mariota played in a supposedly simple scheme, his skill set could transcend his situation. It didn’t matter that Bridgewater couldn’t throw the deep ball, he consistently played to the greater strengths of his skill set.
Throughout his time at California, Goff made plenty of mistakes. Instead of acting as exemptions, those mistakes highlighted flaws that were consistent throughout his play.
More at the link:
http://presnapreads.com/2016/03/06/jared-goff-best-available-quarterback/