What we have to hope is that Reggie Bush, DeAngelo Williams, and LenDale White withstand the flood and stay top 15 picks. Among those, all the LenDale in Glendale stuff seems to make Williams the most tenuous if teams get caught up in his size (shame too, I think he's the best of the three). There's speculation that Warrick Dunn could be Dunn in Atlanta and if that's true I can think of nobody better than DeAngelo to take his spot.
After that if those three go that high, I think we're on easy street as far as one of the high quality guys like Vernon Davis, Antonio Cromartie, Winston Justice, or even Chad Greenway falling to us at #16. You got your top 6 (seems set in stone to me and you) at Bush, Leinart, Cutler, Ferguson, Mario Williams, and Hawk...then if you manage to get the two other RBs in there that's 8...stick in a Haloti Ngata, Michael Huff, Chad Greenway, Vernon Davis, Antonio Cromartie, Winston Justice, Vince Young...that brings us to 15. From there, if a team up there gets enticed to take Jimmy Williams, then one of the above guys will fall to us (probably Cromartie or Young). Same goes for Demeco Ryans or Tamba Hali...someone gets enticed to take them then even more fall.
Either way it seems like no matter how many different ways I cut this draft, I'm coming up with a significant dropoff between my top 15 talents, and the rest...which doesn't bode necessarily well for us at #16, then again how often does the top 15 of the draft completely reflect the top 15 talents on the board. It's not usually THAT neat.