Devante Parker As A Number 1 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Devante Parker As A Number 1

gregorygrant83

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In the past I've said to produce like a number 1 receiver a player has to be feed like a number 1. Meaning you need targets to get receptions and yards. For example last season Jarvis Landry had 1 game in which he had less that 7 targets and none with less than 6. Receivers who get 7 targets per game need to produce. So looking at Parker's 2016 and 2017 seasons he had 15 games where he had 7 targets or more. His 15 game totals of 134 targets, 85 receptions and 1060 yards isn't bad. Could be a little better but not bad. If he averaged those numbers for 16 games that would be 143 targets 91 receptions and 1130 yards.


If Parker could reach the 134 -143 target, 85-91 reception and 1060-1130 yard range in 2018 he would be in the ball park of these 2017 receivers:

AJ Green 145 targets 75 receptions 1078 yards
Adam Thielen 143 targets 91 receptions 1276
DeMaryius Thomas 141 targets 83 receptions 949 yards
Mike Evans 135 targets 71 receptions 1001 yards.



I'm not saying Parker is as good as Green, Thomas or Evans, but I am saying if he stays healthy and gets a decent number of targets he could produce similar numbers. With Landry gone Parker has an opportunity to lift his production. If stays healthy I think it could be a big year for him. Of course if he doesn't stay healthy he's going to have to really flash bright in the games he does play in.

Looking beyond the numbers there were missed plays in 2016 and 2017 that Parker and whichever qb he was playing with Tannehill, Moore or Cutler needed to clean up a little bit that could have easily been made. Of course the negative plays need to be reduced on Parker's part as well.
 
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In order to get that many targets, you have to consistently be able to create separation. One of which, Parker does not do.

That's what has held back Parker. Along with him being dinged up all the time. Nothing else. No other narrative applies.
 
In order to get that many targets, you have to consistently be able to create separation. One of which, Parker does not do.

If he got the targets in 15 of 32 games I don't see how separation is the issue. I think he could have easily reached the 8 or 9 target per game range if he wasn't playing with Landry. May have even reached that level if it were just Parker and Landry instead of Landry, Stills and Parker. I'm not saying he's great at getting separation, but when healthy he's good enough to produce. It will be interesting see how fans and the team responds if Parker explodes out the gate with 50 or 60 receptions for 500 to 600 yards in the first 8 games and then gets injured and misses the second half of the season. Or if he makes it thru the first 12 at that pace and misses the final 4 games. Will there be promise or optimism? Or will there still be a sense of we can't wait anymore?
 
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...I am saying if he stays healthy and gets a decent number of targets he could produce similar numbers.
Considering DVPs proven history that seems more like fantasy than any legit possibility. Too many assumptions = a bad equation IMO.
 
I wouldn’t force feed the ball to a guy who has the fight of a goldfish. Watch as 50% of those 50/50 balls get intercepted. The guy is a marshmallow and a total uninspired, spongebob addicted dolt. He can be a complimentary piece this year but you cannot rely on him as a workhorse.
 
He gets hurt to much and plays scared. Thats the problem.
A big ass problem at that, Gase seems like the kind of coach that will make a decision to get rid of a guy if he doesn't produce, This year is his year to shine or flop, he has run out of chances.
 
Not counting on Parker developing as a true #1 and although I’d love to see him become great I don’t really think having a true #1 WR equates to winning. Kind of tired of the term actually.
 
In the past I've said to produce like a number 1 receiver a player has to be feed like a number 1. Meaning you need targets to get receptions and yards. For example last season Jarvis Landry had 1 game in which he had less that 7 targets and none with less than 6. Receivers who get 7 targets per game need to produce. So looking at Parker's 2016 and 2017 seasons he had 15 games where he had 7 targets or more. His 15 game totals of 134 targets, 85 receptions and 1060 yards isn't bad. Could be a little better but not bad. If he averaged those numbers for 16 games that would be 143 targets 91 receptions and 1130 yards.


If Parker could reach the 134 -143 target, 85-91 reception and 1060-1130 yard range in 2018 he would be in the ball park of these 2017 receivers:

AJ Green 145 targets 75 receptions 1078 yards
Adam Thielen 143 targets 91 receptions 1276
DeMaryius Thomas 141 targets 83 receptions 949 yards
Mike Evans 135 targets 71 receptions 1001 yards.



I'm not saying Parker is as good as Green, Thomas or Evans, but I am saying if he stays healthy and gets a decent number of targets he could produce similar numbers. With Landry gone Parker has an opportunity to lift his production. If stays healthy I think it could be a big year for him. Of course if he doesn't stay healthy he's going to have to really flash bright in the games he does play in.

Looking beyond the numbers there were missed plays in 2016 and 2017 that Parker and whichever qb he was playing with Tannehill, Moore or Cutler needed to clean up a little bit that could have easily been made. Of course the negative plays need to be reduced on Parker's part as well.

I'll be happy if he becomes a #2
 
Individually, WR's do not matter. Bill Belichek has proved that (on both sides of the ball).

If you can't attack a defense with a multitude of talent/schemes your not going to have success in January.

It's not AJ Green's fault that he will never win a super bowl. Or Julio Jones' fault that his team couldn't hold off the Patriots 2 years ago. It's unlikely Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham or Mike Evans ever win a super bowl.

TO and Randy Moss 0-2 in SB's and only sniffed the opportunity to play in those games because they had to join already established elite teams. Outside of those two seasons, neither had much of an impact in the postseason (except that catch TO made early on in his career against GB).

Balance, Balance, Balance.

Give me 4 solid WR's, a TE and a running game.

In a perfect world, Parker, Stills, Grant and Gesicki all have 60 catches, 800 yards and 6 TD's.

Devante Parker doesn't have to go to multiple pro bowls to justify his selection in the first round, if he can help us win a super bowl I could careless if he's mentioned with the elite players at his position. Same goes with Tannehill.
 
It's a shame (IMO) mentally he doesn't have it. Not just being a #1 receiver, but I don't see the effort from him consistently to be a good receiver. Still time, but he has/had the physical tools to be a #1.

I think we won't have a true #1 regardless. The plan is to spread the ball around this year to guys that can run routes and get separation. Luckily, we have Stills and Amendola who are proven somewhat, and then Wilson who could do well in certain roles. So hopefully Parker can take that next step in being a reliable pass catcher.
 
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