Dolphins have hardest strength of schedule

[hemidemon]

Point differential is not overrated. It is very highly correlated to winning. When a team can't win big it means that their games can swing on one single play. Like the Raiders game where we almost lost when we gave up the punt return for a TD because we didn't have the ability to put distance between ourselves.

It is overrated. A win is a win. It doesn't matter if you win by one point or 51. A win is a win is a win. That is the bottom line.

 

[cornell]

I know the strength of schedule is based on W-L %, but if you look at that list, seems our schedule is easier....

We play 6 playoff teams... 10 with winning records and 13 .500 or above (guess that means 3 .500 teams) and 3 with losing records...

carolina plays 7 playoff teams , and only 1 with a losing record

NE plays 7 playoffteams (us twice) and only 3 with losing records.

as does Tampa, NO,

and NYG 7 playoff teams only 2 losing records.


AND this is only on paper... teams change year to year...

midway through the season is really a better judge of who's schedule is tougher.

 

[Rhody Phins Fan]

It is overrated. A win is a win. It doesn't matter if you win by one point or 51. A win is a win is a win. That is the bottom line.

Clearly I'm not making my point clear. Point differential is a better indicator of future success than wins is.

 

[templarwd]

I think everyone’s forgotten the real SOS for the Phins. It's not necessarily WHO you play it's WHEN you play them. Whether it’s the S FL heat early in the season or the frozen tundra of the NE or Buffalo, weather becomes the 12th man. Certainly not like did 40 years ago but it sure was nice playing the Jills in Toronto.

 

[SpaceMountain16]

Based on last year, who cares.

Last year is last year, this year is this year.

The Bills will likely be better, the Jets likely worse. The Patriots could be unstoppable, the Titans could be dreadful.

We're not going to know until at least the start of the season, strength of schedule is irrelevant.

 

[jlfin]

We played that conservative style because we had to.

Which means what? Some of the most dominant teams in NFL history ran "conservative style" offenses, starting with the 72 Phins.
BP's 1st SB win with the Giants was a conservative ball control offense.
In fact, I would submit that it is more likely that a ball control offense wins more championships than the wide open offenses.
Air Coryell, Air Marino, Kelly's red gun offense and more recently the almost undefeated Pats of 2007. How many SB's do they have between them?
Point differential is way over rated. Wins and losses are all that really matter

 

[Lorenzo Rules]

It is overrated. A win is a win. It doesn't matter if you win by one point or 51. A win is a win is a win. That is the bottom line.

wrong , wrong wrong,

let us not forget Jimmy's last season be bearly beat the bad teams and good teams smoked us like 3 foot joint.

if you want to make it to the playoffs we have to be able to score more then 14 points just sqeeking by is why so many people here , myself included ripped on Wanny .

I honsetly dont think Sparano is all that good of a coach because of the conservative play calling.

hell If i want conseravtie play calling I will yell bring back Wanny .

I dont know why fin fans want to play not to lose after everything we went thru with Jay's dad .

I say we open up a case of whip *** on those cheaters to our north and play with a swagger then we will see more playoff opertunities.

of course i am not trying to belittle you Hemidemon I am just tired of the conservate offense which really doesnt help our defense that much.

 

[Awsi Dooger]

Clearly I'm not making my point clear. Point differential is a better indicator of future success than wins is.

You make plenty of great points. Point differential is historically a vital focus in any team sport. Heck, even in baseball an excellent but normally ignored stat is percentage of wins by 2 runs or more. An overstated team frequently can sneak many wins by 1 run. Many analysts will thrill to call that team clutch, when actually it is vulnerable.

I'll take lopsided success in point differential every time and take my chances. In fact, one criteria to evaluate overvalued and undervalued teams prior to a season is look at how the point differential balanced with W/L record a year earlier. I've won many season win over/under bets by ignoring the bottom line and checking what the point differential suggested. Teams ready to emerge will often include a resume of several blowouts of mid level or lesser teams while losing the cliffhangers.

In recent years the teams with greatest point differential have often faltered in the playoffs, so the naysayers have some weight. But I'm not throwing away trends that have succeeded for decades.

A friend of mine who was murdered in 2004 used to base almost everything on streaks of covers or non-covers, and point differential. Unfortunately, he took plenty of it to his grave. I'd hear him mumble about his +50 criteria but he was somewhat secretive and I never wrote anything down.

 

[cafinfan408]

cant be to hard if we get to plays the jets and bills twice each