If the cards don't bite he probably falls. Gettleman and Elway are the old-school guys. Gruden is trying to win/rebuild With Carr. There is a realistic chance he falls.
Not saying he isn't a smart choice but I doubt a new regime would be ready to pick their QB when they have been given year
If the Cards pass I expect a handful of teams to bid on a move up (there will be some moving up regardless). The winner most likely offers the most assets.