Taking a DT at number 3 that isn't Suh or McCoy is a reach, no matter what the need. It would not be a surprise if they grab a pass rusher, but keep in mind they went that down that road with Gaines Adams a few years back and lost their patience with him fairly quick.
More food for thought, Raheem Morris was Tampa's defensive backs coach before being promoted(twice) and ending up as head coach. He has shown he is not afraid to play favoritism by blowing up the roster(to get younger) yet keeping Ronde Barber and drafting Josh Freeman(whom he worked with for a season), though to be fair both those decisions don't appear to be bad.
Last year they traded a second round pick for Kellen Winslow, and tight end was hardly a pressing need after the defensive blow up, but they did so because of his talent. Pretty much everyone agree's(from "experts" to scouts to fans) that Berry is a great "blue chip" talent, and all it takes is for 1 team to choose talent over need.
You've already stated with Cleveland about Berry or Haden. Would like to add to R&R and point out they grabbed Robiskie 36th overall on top of Massaquoi(50th overall, and played pretty well all things considered).
Winslow will relieve the letting go of Antonio Bryant in FA, because he is a go to type of TE. Yeah, I don't 'expect' them to go with Dez Bryant, but I wouldn't be surprised if they did.
Having said that, I'd be expecting more of Odrick or Pierre-Paul at #3. That's me. Then, as far as experts are concerned...I trust more Mayock of the NFL Network...and if you listen closely, he's inching towards crowning Earl Thomas as 'better' or equal to Eric Berry.
Is Eric Berry a top 3 can't miss guy? Hmm. I don't go that far.
Plus, with a more dire need at DL, I see TB eyeing if McCoy drops to them, may even trade up for Suh, or sit there and come out with Pierre-Paul or Jeff Odrick. Of course, I'm waiting on the Combines to see if these guys improve an already high stock or not. So...
All things under consideration, even if Berry goes to CLE (very probable), if Dez is gone and Pierre-Paul is gone? I would not be shocked at hearing "Miami Dolphins select, Earl Thomas..." At #12.
I mean, Miami's dire needs are obvious: OLB, NT, FS, and WR. Then followed by ILB, RB, OG, and TE.
But there will be a good OLB and NT available at #43, so I could see Miami looking 'first' to see if Dez Bryant or Eric Berry falls to them. But if both are gone, I can very likely see us going with Earl Thomas.
Is Dan Williams that much better than Cam Thomas or Mt Cody? They may feel that he isn't and go with Earl Thomas and wait for Cam Thomas at #43 or maybe use #43 on Eric Norwood and trade up into the bottom of the 2nd round for Mt Cody...a lot of possibilities.
But Berry could slide to us due to the fact that pass rushers are more important and will be there for consideration for TB. And CLE may want Haden, another top notch DB. And CB is generally considered more important and drafted higher more often than FS.