Fins win 4 of last 5... here's the layout... | Page 3 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Fins win 4 of last 5... here's the layout...

BrowardDolfan said:
I love your optimism, but let's be realistic. Solid win against a VERY bad team.
Click to expand...
Not true. Here's why.
*We dominated The Ravens who are 8-3.
*We completely shut down one of the greatest offensive threats in the NFL in McCaffrey.
*Tua shredded the best pass D in football.
*Carolina scores 20 points vs the top rated Defense in WFT. They had one big pass play on us in 60 mins that led to their only score.
We smothered Carolina, something the best D couldn't do.

Saying we only do well against very bad teams is not accurate.

We have a ways to go. We need to figure how these guys lost 7 games with this much talent and make no mistake, our abundance of talent is apparent especially since Phillips is off the chain.
 
marino2duper73 said:
Ok, using the playoff machine, with a lot of very reasonable outcomes in the AFC, the Dolphins have to win 4 our of 5 at least, and the loss can only be against the Giants or Saints for the 4 win scenario.

Winning out would create conference and head to head advantages vs Baltimore if they are not the division winner. Indy and Vegas are the immediate threats. Chargers lose 2 more and they're in trouble. The sleeper is Denver. Denver has to lose 2 as well at least.

Pitt loses 2 more and they're out of the wild card hunt because of head to head with Baltimore and Cincy.

It's a bit complicated, but it looks like if we win 4 of our last 5, and basically end up tied with either NE, Denver, Baltimore as a wild card, or Chargers, we're in at 9-8. Winning out gives a great shot at the 7 seed. A few scenarios for us at 6 seed.

I'm not saying we're done yet...a lot has to happen, but really it comes down to bad teams like Jax Hou, and the Jets getting upset wins vs the above teams... anything is possible.

Most likely out of it if we lose to the Jets or Pats. Losing to Tennessee will matter if Tennessee slides into the wild card.

Now, if Indy takes the AFC South and Tennessee is tied with us and we beat them, that's another possible 9-8 scenario if we beat the Pats and our only kids is to the Jets or Giants or Saints.

The key is head to head with Baltimore or Tennessee. We need Baltimore and New England to be wild card hunt, and beat NE week 18. So yes, we need to be Bills fans when they play the Pats (twice still). If Buffalo sweeps NE, and we win week 18 vs NE, we will have tie breaker vs NE... we finish same as Baltimore, same drill.

So..... root for some of the following:

Tennessee same record as us and we beat them.

Baltimore same record as us.

NE same as us with Buffalo and Mia sweeping them.

Chargers same record as us, with worse conference record.

Raiders, Colts, Bengals, Browns all best us for conference with all scenarios that play out to same record as them.

That's to the best of my analysis based on the playoff machine with most likely and reasonable possibilities
Click to expand...
Jim Carrey Chance GIF
 
marino2duper73 said:
Ok, using the playoff machine, with a lot of very reasonable outcomes in the AFC, the Dolphins have to win 4 our of 5 at least, and the loss can only be against the Giants or Saints for the 4 win scenario.

Winning out would create conference and head to head advantages vs Baltimore if they are not the division winner. Indy and Vegas are the immediate threats. Chargers lose 2 more and they're in trouble. The sleeper is Denver. Denver has to lose 2 as well at least.

Pitt loses 2 more and they're out of the wild card hunt because of head to head with Baltimore and Cincy.

It's a bit complicated, but it looks like if we win 4 of our last 5, and basically end up tied with either NE, Denver, Baltimore as a wild card, or Chargers, we're in at 9-8. Winning out gives a great shot at the 7 seed. A few scenarios for us at 6 seed.

I'm not saying we're done yet...a lot has to happen, but really it comes down to bad teams like Jax Hou, and the Jets getting upset wins vs the above teams... anything is possible.

Most likely out of it if we lose to the Jets or Pats. Losing to Tennessee will matter if Tennessee slides into the wild card.

Now, if Indy takes the AFC South and Tennessee is tied with us and we beat them, that's another possible 9-8 scenario if we beat the Pats and our only kids is to the Jets or Giants or Saints.

The key is head to head with Baltimore or Tennessee. We need Baltimore and New England to be wild card hunt, and beat NE week 18. So yes, we need to be Bills fans when they play the Pats (twice still). If Buffalo sweeps NE, and we win week 18 vs NE, we will have tie breaker vs NE... we finish same as Baltimore, same drill.

So..... root for some of the following:

Tennessee same record as us and we beat them.

Baltimore same record as us.

NE same as us with Buffalo and Mia sweeping them.

Chargers same record as us, with worse conference record.

Raiders, Colts, Bengals, Browns all best us for conference with all scenarios that play out to same record as them.

That's to the best of my analysis based on the playoff machine with most likely and reasonable possibilities
Click to expand...
I will just go with the still very tough to happen, but easier scenario of...

The Bills to go into a free fall and lose 3.

We wins out (One game at a time).

The Pats lose 2 games to be only 1 game ahead of us, so when both meet in Miami, it will be for THE AFC East crown.

PATS OPP Remaining:
@Bills. @Colts, Bills, Jags, Dolphins

Bills OPP Remaining:
Pats, @Bucs, Panth, @Pats, Falc, Jets

The Pats losing two before meeting us is more possible then seeing the Bills lose 3, but if the Bills and Pats could split, Pats lose to the Colts, while the Bills lose to the Bucs and possibly get upset by any of The (Panthers, Falcons, or Jets), it might happen, considering when the Bills have gone for a nose dive at the end of the season in the past, anything is possible.


Dolphins OPP Remaining:
Giants, Jets, @Saints, @Titans, Patriots

The Final three games will not make things any easier for the Dolphins though...We can only hope.
 
As far as deserving to be in the playoffs, sometimes, usually in the NFC, we see a division winner with a crap record get in over a team in a tougher division with a better record. One could argue on who is deserving there.. Aside from that, you earn the wins and tie breakers required to take the spot, you deserve to get in.
 
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