Ya, and that’s going to be true of the guy we likely draft next year too. And when you combine Rosen’s 23.4% chance of NFL success and add another 54.8% chance of success for a top drafted QB next year, that’s a 78.2% chance you found your starting QB. Clearly I made those numbers up but as a fan of numbers, stats, odds and gambling, I think my percentages are pretty accurate.
You may have made those numbers up, but your math is still wrong.
The chance of Rosen or 2020QB being the answer would actually only be about 65% in this scenario. You forgot to do some subtraction, my man.