normaldude
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Projecting even 8 years out of weeden is quite a stretch not many qb's play till they are 37
It's true that any QB can turn out to be a bust.
So in a GOOD scenario..
- Brandon Weeden develops for 1 year, then provides 7 years of good play.
- Ryan Tannehill develops for 2-3 years, then provides 12 years of good play.
The problem with the Ryan Tannehill scenario is that with project QBs like him, you don't know if he's boom or bust until after 3-4 years (Ryan Leaf, Tim Couch, Chad Henne, JaMarcus Russell, etc).
So the problem with the Ryan Tannehill scenario is that if we throw our draft away for him, then we could easily waste the next 3-4 years hoping that he turns the corner (like we did with Chad Henne), and in that time period, we let franchise QBs slip by. Then after throwing away those 3-4 seasons, we realize he's a bust, and it's back to the drawing board.
With Brandon Weeden, we never pull ourselves away from the market for a franchise QB. We keep our eye out for one. If a good opportunity is there, we take it. We never go into the QB market out of desperation. When you go into a market out of desperation, you tend to overpay, overreach, and usually end up with a bad deal.