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Initial Mock with AI reasoning

NoblePhin

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Kind of an experiment. I made a mock draft on NFL Mock Draft Database and wanted to see how I could have Chatgpt justify my picks. Trying to push it to give me info I otherwise would have no way of knowing where to find, and hypothesize/justify my selections. The craziest thing to me is that it made this breakdown in 10 ****ing seconds. Who needs Chris Grier LMAO. What do you think?


1st Round (13th Overall): Josh Simmons, OT/IOL, Ohio State

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’6”, 315 lbs, with 34” arms and excellent lateral quickness.
  • Skillset: Dominates as both a pass protector and run blocker, with the versatility to play tackle or guard.
  • College Success: Anchored Ohio State’s line against elite pass rushers in the Big Ten, excelling in pass sets and run-game power.

Analytics Justification:

  • Pass-Block Win Rate: 93.5% (2nd in the Big Ten).
  • Pressure Rate Allowed: 2.3% over 450 snaps (elite).
  • Run-Blocking Grade (PFF): 85.6 (excellent for interior or tackle prospects).
  • Athletic Metrics: 4.95 40-yard dash and 1.69 10-yard split demonstrate elite quickness for his size.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami’s interior line struggled with interior pressure, contributing to Tua Tagovailoa’s injury risk. Simmons projects as an immediate starter at left guard, fortifying the pocket and improving run-game consistency.
  • He fits perfectly in Miami’s zone-blocking scheme with his mobility, power, and ability to execute combo blocks.

Expected Impact:

  • Improves rushing YPA from 4.2 to 4.6 due to better interior push.
  • Reduces sack rate by 15%, protecting Tua.

2nd Round (48th Overall): Donovan Jackson, IOL, Ohio State

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’4”, 320 lbs, with a powerful base and smooth lateral movement.
  • Skillset: An interior lineman with elite strength, technique, and the ability to pull and block in space.
  • College Success: Anchor of Ohio State’s interior line, excelling in pass protection and power schemes.

Analytics Justification:

  • Run-Block Win Rate: 77.8% (6th nationally among guards).
  • Sacks Allowed: Only 1 sack in 880 career pass-blocking snaps.
  • Explosive Block Rate: 21%, creating consistent movement at the line of scrimmage.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Jackson upgrades right guard, another weak spot in Miami’s offensive line. His ability to pull and seal edges is critical for Miami’s wide-zone rushing attack, complementing Simmons perfectly.

Expected Impact:

  • Adds +0.5 rushing yards per carry when paired with Simmons.
  • Reduces interior pressures by 22%, keeping Tua upright.

3rd Round (98th Overall): Barrett Carter, LB, Clemson

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’1”, 225 lbs, with sideline-to-sideline speed (4.54 40-yard dash).
  • Skillset: A true three-down linebacker who excels in coverage, blitzing, and diagnosing plays.
  • College Success: Consistently graded as one of the best coverage linebackers in the nation.

Analytics Justification:

  • Coverage Grade (PFF): 90.1 (1st among Power Five linebackers).
  • Missed Tackle Rate: 6.5% (elite reliability).
  • Pressure Rate: 27% on blitzes, with 5 sacks in 2024.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami struggled in pass defense against RBs and TEs in 2024 (29th in DVOA). Carter adds immediate value in coverage while also improving Miami’s blitz packages. His versatility makes him a chess piece for the defense.

Expected Impact:

  • Saves 0.75 expected points per game by reducing big plays and improving third-down coverage.

4th Round (114th Overall): Ty Robinson, DL, Nebraska

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’6”, 310 lbs, with elite strength and leverage.
  • Skillset: A run-stopping specialist who can anchor against double teams and disrupt the pocket.
  • College Success: Consistently graded as one of the top run defenders in the Big Ten.

Analytics Justification:

  • Run Stop Win Rate: 14.5% (top 15 in Power Five).
  • Double-Team Success Rate: 63%, a testament to his ability to hold the line.
  • Pass-Rush Productivity: 18 pressures in 2024, adding pass-rush upside.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami’s run defense ranked 24th in Adjusted Line Yards in 2024. Robinson’s ability to plug gaps and complement Zach Sieler will improve Miami’s run defense dramatically.

Expected Impact:

  • Reduces opponent rushing yards per game by 10 YPG.

5th Round (133rd Overall): Oronde Gadsden II, TE, Syracuse

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’5”, 245 lbs, with excellent body control and hands.
  • Skillset: A hybrid TE/WR who excels in contested catches and creating mismatches.
  • College Success: Syracuse’s leading receiver, with consistent production as a red-zone threat.

Analytics Justification:

  • Yards Per Route Run: 2.7 (94th percentile among TEs).
  • Contested Catch Rate: 78%.
  • Slot Usage: 67%, demonstrating his versatility.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami ranked 21st in red-zone efficiency in 2024. Gadsden provides a big-bodied target who can dominate in short-yardage and third-down situations, complementing Jonnu Smith.

Expected Impact:

  • Adds +0.3 touchdowns per game to Miami’s red-zone offense.

5th Round (149th Overall): Jacob Parrish, CB, Kansas State

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 5’11”, 190 lbs, with blazing speed (4.38 40-yard dash).
  • Skillset: A scrappy corner with excellent ball skills and man-coverage ability.
  • College Success: Consistently graded as one of the top coverage corners in the Big 12.

Analytics Justification:

  • Ball Production: 10 PBUs and 3 INTs in 2024.
  • Coverage Grade (PFF): 85.9 in man coverage.
  • Target Success Rate: Allowed completions on just 41% of targets.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Parrish bolsters Miami’s secondary depth and projects as an immediate contributor in nickel packages. His special teams experience adds additional value.

Expected Impact:

  • Improves Miami’s slot coverage success rate by 5%.

5th Round (154th Overall): Quincy Riley, CB, Louisville

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’0”, 185 lbs, with elite instincts and ball skills.
  • Skillset: A ball-hawking corner who excels in zone coverage and creating turnovers.
  • College Success: Led the ACC in interceptions.

Analytics Justification:

  • Interception Rate: 4.1%.
  • Forced Incompletion Rate: 21.5%.
  • Explosive Plays Allowed: Only 5 on 77 targets.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Riley brings a much-needed turnover element to Miami’s secondary, fitting the team’s aggressive defensive scheme.

Expected Impact:

  • Adds +3 turnovers to Miami’s defense in 2025.

7th Round (224th Overall): Jonas Sanker, S, Virginia

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’1”, 210 lbs, with a physical and reliable tackling profile.
  • Skillset: A box safety with special teams upside.

Analytics Justification:

  • Tackle Efficiency: 95%.
  • Special Teams Tackles: 10 in 2024.

Expected Impact:

  • Improves Miami’s special teams efficiency by +15%.

7th Round (231st Overall): Kaimon Rucker, EDGE, North Carolina

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’1”, 265 lbs, with a compact, powerful build and a relentless motor.
  • Skillset: A high-energy edge rusher who excels at setting the edge in the run game while flashing upside as a situational pass rusher.
  • College Success: A consistent contributor at North Carolina, Rucker showcased versatility, toughness, and the ability to make game-changing plays.

Analytics Justification:

  • Pressure Rate: 14.2%, ranking 8th among ACC edge rushers in 2024.
  • Tackles for Loss (TFL): 15, demonstrating his ability to disrupt both run and pass plays.
  • Run Stop Win Rate: 11.3%, showing his ability to control the line of scrimmage against the run.
  • Motor Grade (PFF): 95th percentile effort score, indicating relentless play on every down.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami’s defensive front emphasizes rotational depth to keep edge rushers fresh and effective. Rucker provides an instant energy boost and adds value as a run-stopper on early downs and a developmental pass rusher on third downs.
  • His compact frame and low center of gravity make him difficult for offensive linemen to handle in leverage battles, complementing Miami’s existing edge rushers like Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips.
  • Rucker also brings special teams value, particularly in punt and kickoff coverage units.

Expected Impact:

  • Rotational Role: Adds +10 pressures and 3 sacks as a situational pass rusher in Year 1.
  • Run Defense Improvement: Reduces opponent rushing yards per attempt by 0.2 yards in plays where he is involved.
  • Special Teams Contribution: Projects as a standout on kick and punt coverage teams, improving unit efficiency by +12%.

NFL Comparison: Melvin Ingram (former Miami Dolphin).​


7th Round (252nd Overall): Hunter Wohler, S, Wisconsin

Player Overview:

  • Size/Athletic Profile: 6’2”, 215 lbs, with great instincts and physicality.
  • Skillset: A versatile safety who excels in the box and has the ability to cover in short-to-intermediate zones. Also offers sub-package linebacker potential.
  • College Success: Leader of Wisconsin’s secondary, with a reputation for his high football IQ and tackling consistency.

Analytics Justification:

  • Box Safety Grade (PFF): 84.5 in 2024 (Top 10 in the Big Ten).
  • Tackling Efficiency: Missed tackles on only 5% of attempts, a mark of reliability.
  • Passer Rating Allowed: 78.3 when targeted, showcasing his effectiveness in coverage.
  • Special Teams Contributions: Played on 80% of Wisconsin’s special teams snaps, highlighting his versatility and effort.

Why He’s a Great Fit for Miami:

  • Miami’s safety room is thin after Jevon Holland, and Wohler addresses depth concerns while adding flexibility. His ability to play in the box or transition to a sub-package linebacker role fills a need in Miami’s hybrid defense. Additionally, his strong special teams play improves a unit that ranked 25th in DVOA in 2024.

Expected Impact:

  • Special Teams Efficiency: Improves kick/punt coverage by +10-15%.
  • Defensive Depth: Projects as a rotational defender who can save Miami 0.5 expected points per game by limiting big plays and contributing to short-yardage run stops.

NFL Comparison: Adrian Phillips (New England Patriots).​

 
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Definitely an interesting experiment. I’m not sure how accurate ChatGPT is concerning scouting profiles. Simmons, at the very least, is known more as a power blocker and a lot of scouting profiles say he is a fit in a power scheme. I don’t hate the draft, but I think Simmons will be available if we trade back in the 1st (he is seen as the 3rd-5th best OT prospect).
 
I don't know if the players fit in Miami, but I would take that approach in a heartbeat. :cheers:
 
Loathe as I am to credit ChatGBT but that is a pretty good effort.

Simmons profiles as a legit LT who would be ranked higher had he not missed half the season.

Jackson is a plug and play LG which the Fins sorely need.

Carter would bring speed to the LB group but is undersized.Not sure Weaver wants small backers.

Robinson could end up being a solid run stopping rotation guy.

Gadsden would be worth it for the story. :)

Parrish is a Day 3 CB I like in this class, could be a versatile nickel type.

Riley is a gambler who is best in Zone.

Sanker is a box S that would bring something the team does not have right now.

And Rucker is one of my favorite late round roll the dice edge guys.

I can't say I would not take this group right now and be pretty happy.

Pretty realistic in where the guys come off the board too.
 
Getting ChatGPT to actually make the picks was a nightmare. Not only would it take potential top 10 picks in the 3rd round, but it would also draft players from last year's draft lol. So I had to make the mock, showed it to ChatGPT, then told it that you are an NFL scout for the Dolphins, and you need to use analytics to justify these picks to Stephen Ross and Chris Grier.
 
Did you wa
Getting ChatGPT to actually make the picks was a nightmare. Not only would it take potential top 10 picks in the 3rd round, but it would also draft players from last year's draft lol. So I had to make the mock, showed it to ChatGPT, then told it that you are an NFL scout for the Dolphins, and you need to use analytics to justify these picks to Stephen Ross and Chris Grier.
Did you warn it that grier will laugh at it because there's no actual issue with the o line?
 
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