From Travis at locked on dolphins..
After charting every rep.. it’s not looking good..
“Piecing together part 3 of 3 of this Rosen project which includes my scouting reports, videos, charts, and the ***ulative advanced metrics (stuff like numbers from different personnel groups, numbers on contested window throws, play action, vs. pressure, that fun stuff).
The numbers are not kind. I've got him at a 36.1 passer rating into tight windows 40.6 against pressure, 72.6 from 11-personnel. 50% accuracy rate inside the red zone (just 11/22, but still), and a total accurate rate (any portion of the field) of 64.7%.
Bottom line -- he has to play a lot better.”
https://www.lockedondolphins.com/dolphins/josh-rosen-2018-passing-chart-week-17-at-seattle/
Travis does a great job with the podcast...but I don’t agree with some of his opinions or assessments...nobody is always right and I’m sure he acknowledges that.
For example... he was a big believer in Tannehill.
The fact is Josh Rosen has had poor O-lines and overall surrounding talent in both College and at Arizona (in fact the NFL’s worst last year).
A seasoned vet will struggle with the NFL’s worst O-line (all 5 Arizona starters were on IR early in Rosen’s rookie year).
The fact is most NFL rookie QB’s have an adjustment period of adapting to the NFL and the speed of the game (some call it the lightbulb going on, or the game slowing down)....it’s kind of compounded with an historically bad O-line.
In 2018 Josh Rosen had less than 2.5 seconds to get rid of the ball at a percentage ranking in the top ten worst in NFL history... mix in his OC getting fired early in his rookie season and replaced by a rookie OC and you get a ridiculously hard season to evaluate a rookie QB.
So... in fairness....You have to largely throw out the 2018 season and give Rosen a stable situation to develop in and then assess what you have.
Not judge him pre-training camp on non hitting OTA’s where he just got the playbook...versus a popular 14 vet QB who is notorious for looking good in spurts and failing over the long run.
To act like his poor situation in 2018 had no effect on his rookie season Is poor evaluation in my mind.
Yes... he has to prove it and win the job... but not in OTA’s per say, and he certainly doesn’t deserve the rush to judgement by some based on the above....take a breath and let’s let it play out.
It reminds me of the rush to judgement people made on the early part of Drew Brees San Diego career.... so rush to judgement they were that they drafted Phillip Rivers to replace him.
Drew Brees is now a Super Bowl winning and Lock hall of famer and all time great....Phillip Rivers is non of the above, very good but has never really crossed the above threshold.
The point is... take a breath and let it play out...not make sweeping proclamations on the abortion of a team Arizona was in 2018.... or after non hitting OTA’s.