BillsFanInPeace
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1. Oakland: JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU -- The Raiders have lots of needs, but as long as quarterback is one of them, they have to respond by selecting the guy with the great deep ball. I could see a move down, especially now that Cleveland will not need Adrian Peterson and someone was counting on OT Joe Thomas or WR Calvin Johnson.
2. Detroit: Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame -- The popular opinion everywhere is that I'm wrong on this pick. But Jon Kitna is old, Josh McCown wasn't given any chance to play last year and is scheduled to make more money than Kitna. Quinn has 46 collegiate starts, 95 touchdown passes and over 11,000 yards. The Lions need him and their Joey Harrington experiment is not a reason to pass.
3. Cleveland: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin -- The signing of Jamal Lewis turned the top of this draft upside down. Thomas reminds me of the year Phil Savage took Jonathan Ogden with the third pick in the draft. Thomas is a 10-year starter, but the Browns still need a QB.
The Bucs will have quite a catch if they can land WR Calvin Johnson with the No. 4 pick. 4. Tampa Bay: Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech -- If the Bucs can stay in the No. 4 slot and still get Johnson then they've hit a homerun. Whether the QB is Jeff Garcia, Chris Simms or Jake Plummer, they will all know who the No. 1 target is in Tampa.
5. Arizona: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson -- I could see the Cardinals moving up for Joe Thomas or moving down a slot or two to take Levi Brown. But unless they have a dealmaker in the building, they stay put and improve the pass rush.
6. Washington: Alan Branch, NT, Michigan -- Washington will consider the best pass rusher at this spot, but Branch is rare and can move for a big man. He may make the defensive ends better by just being on the field. The NFC East wants to run the ball and Branch is the best run stuffer.
7. Minnesota: Jamaal Anderson, DE Arkansas -- The longer I study the draft, the more I think the Vikings will have to move up for Brady Quinn or sit here and take a good pass rusher. This is the year to get a guy who can get after the QB.
8. Houston: Levi Brown, OT, Penn State -- Signing Ahman Green to run the ball addresses a need and Brown addresses another big need. He plugs in at left tackle and plays for 10-plus years. The Texans say they will not move up for Quinn so this is the best choice right now.
The aging Miami D-Line could use a pair of fresh legs, which Amobi Okoye can provide. 9. Miami: Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville -- A young, quick as a hiccup DT, who can disrupt the pass protections and run-block schemes is just what the Dolphins need with aging Zach Thomas, Jason Taylor and Joey Porter leading the way.
10. Atlanta: LaRon Landry, S, LSU -- The talk this week is that Landry could be gone by the 10th pick now that RB Adrian Peterson has watched free agent signings affect his status. But I think the Falcons get their man.
11. San Francisco: Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska -- A great fit for Mike Nolan and his desire to build a solid 3-4 defense with high character players. Carriker plugs in as a rookie and holds his spot for 8-10 years.
12. Buffalo: Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma -- The Bills need a back more than anything now that Willis McGahee has been traded. They may find a player in free agency or a trade, but for now this makes perfect sense.
13. St. Louis: Leon Hall, CB, Michigan -- Lots of debate on the Rams pick this weekend by club executives studying this everyday. It may not be Hall, but it should be a cornerback.
14. Carolina: Patrick Willis, LB, Mississippi -- Some people have him in the second round, but the 240-pound backer ran a 4.51 and the Panthers need linebacker help. No more worrying about Dan Morgan and his injuries.
15. Pittsburgh: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State -- A Steeler-type guy with football intelligence who can make plays no matter what scheme he eventually winds up in.
With Ahman Green gone, the Packers may go after Marshawn Lynch to add some much-needed backfield depth. 16. Green Bay: Marshawn Lynch, RB, California -- The Pack needs a back and this guy can catch the ball as well as run with it. I could see Green Bay in a serious discussion about TE Greg Olsen at this spot.
17. Jacksonville: Reggie Nelson, S, Florida -- Deon Grant is gone so the Jaguars are in need of a starting safety. There will be discussions about other safeties, like Michael Griffin, but the personal workout by Nelson the other day should make him the choice.
18. Cincinnati: Darrelle Revis, CB, Pittsburgh -- The Bengals need help on defense, but the top two tackles are gone as well as the top two safeties. Revis can be a playmaker, but another CB could beat him out for this spot.
19. Tennessee: Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC -- Drew Bennett is gone and offensive coordinatory Norm Chow needs a few of his 'own guys'. Jarrett scores touchdowns and is a very big target in the red zone.
20. N.Y. Giants: Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas -- Houston has moved up the draft board every week after talking to scouts and personnel people. The Giants need him and if he's still available after everyone finishes watching his game tapes this would be a great spot.
21. Denver: Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida -- The Broncos lost out in their pursuit of Patrick Kerney so Moss makes some sense at this spot.
22. Dallas: Michael Griffin, S, Texas -- I think the Cowboys will look at the best corners, safeties and wide receivers at this spot. With three or four solid wide receivers and at least two defensive backs left with first-round grades, Jerry Jones will get a good player.
23. Kansas City: Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State -- If Ginn does fall here, then it will be a big day for the Chiefs offense. He will push the field and open up underneath lanes for TE Tony Gonzalez.
24. New England: Anthony Spencer, OLB/DE, Purdue -- I know the Pats bought OLB Adalius Thomas, but there is no reason to think the Pats have enough outside rush players. I could see them package up this pick, along with No. 28 and move up in the draft.
Tight end Greg Olsen could give Chad Pennington and the Jets offense a major boost. 25. N.Y. Jets: Greg Olsen, TE, Miami -- The Jets need help in the secondary and on the defensive line, but a tight end like Olsen will go a long way to improving the offense with a vertical threat down the middle of the field.
26. Philadelphia: Aaron Ross, CB, Texas -- The Eagles need a corner and a safety to go a long with a top flight outside linebacker. By midweek they should have a wide receiver in the fold and maybe even an outside linebacker, which make a corner like Ross a solid pick.
27. New Orleans: Charles Johnson, DE, Georgia -- By now the Saints may be thinking it's time to move up if they really want TE Greg Olsen. If they stay at No. 27, the Miami tight end will be off the board and the Saints may well settle for a DE like Johnson or a corner. The problem is, the top four corners will be gone by this time.
28. New England: Marcus McCauley, CB, Fresno State -- Belichick has gone to the Fresno players in the past and this guy will help a Patriots secondary that needs fresh talent.
29. Baltimore: Ryan Kalil, C, USC -- The Ravens don't need RB Michael Bush so it would be smart to take the best outside linebacker to help replace Adalius Thomas or take Kalil and not worry about the center position for the next 10 years.
30. San Diego: Robert Meacham, WR, Tennessee -- The Chargers need an injection of young receivers and Meacham looked fast and smooth at the Combine. If he falls to San Diego, this would be a steal for the team. If he doesn't, then another great choice would be Dwayne Bowe, if available.
31. Chicago: Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU -- Chicago could really use OT Joe Staley, but Bowe should have a higher grade. Lots of good talent still left in this draft.
32. Indianapolis: Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida -- It would not surprise me to see Colts GM Bill Polian look at a defensive tackle, cornerback, safety, or an outside linebacker here. Does he grab Timmons or Jon Beason at OLB? A DT like Tank Tyler or a corner like Damien Hughes? I think the best OLB on the board wins out as the replacement for Cato June.
Liking the Idea of the Bills staying put and getting Peterson.
1. Oakland: JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU -- The Raiders have lots of needs, but as long as quarterback is one of them, they have to respond by selecting the guy with the great deep ball. I could see a move down, especially now that Cleveland will not need Adrian Peterson and someone was counting on OT Joe Thomas or WR Calvin Johnson.
2. Detroit: Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame -- The popular opinion everywhere is that I'm wrong on this pick. But Jon Kitna is old, Josh McCown wasn't given any chance to play last year and is scheduled to make more money than Kitna. Quinn has 46 collegiate starts, 95 touchdown passes and over 11,000 yards. The Lions need him and their Joey Harrington experiment is not a reason to pass.
3. Cleveland: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin -- The signing of Jamal Lewis turned the top of this draft upside down. Thomas reminds me of the year Phil Savage took Jonathan Ogden with the third pick in the draft. Thomas is a 10-year starter, but the Browns still need a QB.
5. Arizona: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson -- I could see the Cardinals moving up for Joe Thomas or moving down a slot or two to take Levi Brown. But unless they have a dealmaker in the building, they stay put and improve the pass rush.
6. Washington: Alan Branch, NT, Michigan -- Washington will consider the best pass rusher at this spot, but Branch is rare and can move for a big man. He may make the defensive ends better by just being on the field. The NFC East wants to run the ball and Branch is the best run stuffer.
7. Minnesota: Jamaal Anderson, DE Arkansas -- The longer I study the draft, the more I think the Vikings will have to move up for Brady Quinn or sit here and take a good pass rusher. This is the year to get a guy who can get after the QB.
8. Houston: Levi Brown, OT, Penn State -- Signing Ahman Green to run the ball addresses a need and Brown addresses another big need. He plugs in at left tackle and plays for 10-plus years. The Texans say they will not move up for Quinn so this is the best choice right now.
10. Atlanta: LaRon Landry, S, LSU -- The talk this week is that Landry could be gone by the 10th pick now that RB Adrian Peterson has watched free agent signings affect his status. But I think the Falcons get their man.
11. San Francisco: Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska -- A great fit for Mike Nolan and his desire to build a solid 3-4 defense with high character players. Carriker plugs in as a rookie and holds his spot for 8-10 years.
12. Buffalo: Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma -- The Bills need a back more than anything now that Willis McGahee has been traded. They may find a player in free agency or a trade, but for now this makes perfect sense.
13. St. Louis: Leon Hall, CB, Michigan -- Lots of debate on the Rams pick this weekend by club executives studying this everyday. It may not be Hall, but it should be a cornerback.
14. Carolina: Patrick Willis, LB, Mississippi -- Some people have him in the second round, but the 240-pound backer ran a 4.51 and the Panthers need linebacker help. No more worrying about Dan Morgan and his injuries.
15. Pittsburgh: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State -- A Steeler-type guy with football intelligence who can make plays no matter what scheme he eventually winds up in.
17. Jacksonville: Reggie Nelson, S, Florida -- Deon Grant is gone so the Jaguars are in need of a starting safety. There will be discussions about other safeties, like Michael Griffin, but the personal workout by Nelson the other day should make him the choice.
18. Cincinnati: Darrelle Revis, CB, Pittsburgh -- The Bengals need help on defense, but the top two tackles are gone as well as the top two safeties. Revis can be a playmaker, but another CB could beat him out for this spot.
19. Tennessee: Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC -- Drew Bennett is gone and offensive coordinatory Norm Chow needs a few of his 'own guys'. Jarrett scores touchdowns and is a very big target in the red zone.
20. N.Y. Giants: Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas -- Houston has moved up the draft board every week after talking to scouts and personnel people. The Giants need him and if he's still available after everyone finishes watching his game tapes this would be a great spot.
21. Denver: Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida -- The Broncos lost out in their pursuit of Patrick Kerney so Moss makes some sense at this spot.
22. Dallas: Michael Griffin, S, Texas -- I think the Cowboys will look at the best corners, safeties and wide receivers at this spot. With three or four solid wide receivers and at least two defensive backs left with first-round grades, Jerry Jones will get a good player.
23. Kansas City: Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State -- If Ginn does fall here, then it will be a big day for the Chiefs offense. He will push the field and open up underneath lanes for TE Tony Gonzalez.
24. New England: Anthony Spencer, OLB/DE, Purdue -- I know the Pats bought OLB Adalius Thomas, but there is no reason to think the Pats have enough outside rush players. I could see them package up this pick, along with No. 28 and move up in the draft.
26. Philadelphia: Aaron Ross, CB, Texas -- The Eagles need a corner and a safety to go a long with a top flight outside linebacker. By midweek they should have a wide receiver in the fold and maybe even an outside linebacker, which make a corner like Ross a solid pick.
27. New Orleans: Charles Johnson, DE, Georgia -- By now the Saints may be thinking it's time to move up if they really want TE Greg Olsen. If they stay at No. 27, the Miami tight end will be off the board and the Saints may well settle for a DE like Johnson or a corner. The problem is, the top four corners will be gone by this time.
28. New England: Marcus McCauley, CB, Fresno State -- Belichick has gone to the Fresno players in the past and this guy will help a Patriots secondary that needs fresh talent.
29. Baltimore: Ryan Kalil, C, USC -- The Ravens don't need RB Michael Bush so it would be smart to take the best outside linebacker to help replace Adalius Thomas or take Kalil and not worry about the center position for the next 10 years.
30. San Diego: Robert Meacham, WR, Tennessee -- The Chargers need an injection of young receivers and Meacham looked fast and smooth at the Combine. If he falls to San Diego, this would be a steal for the team. If he doesn't, then another great choice would be Dwayne Bowe, if available.
31. Chicago: Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU -- Chicago could really use OT Joe Staley, but Bowe should have a higher grade. Lots of good talent still left in this draft.
32. Indianapolis: Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida -- It would not surprise me to see Colts GM Bill Polian look at a defensive tackle, cornerback, safety, or an outside linebacker here. Does he grab Timmons or Jon Beason at OLB? A DT like Tank Tyler or a corner like Damien Hughes? I think the best OLB on the board wins out as the replacement for Cato June.
Liking the Idea of the Bills staying put and getting Peterson.
