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Miami Dolphins and NFL sports betting 2020

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Aqua and coral forever - the home team
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Hey all,

Glad to be talking about football again.

I think the Miami Dolphins will be undervalued throughout the season, there might be some spots to take 'em.

What do you all think? Any other experienced sports bettors on the site? Cheers!
 

cwaller12

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Hey all,

Glad to be talking about football again.

I think the Miami Dolphins will be undervalued throughout the season, there might be some spots to take 'em.

What do you all think? Any other experienced sports bettors on the site? Cheers!

I would be having a little go at the 10/1 for the AFC East. Ludicrous odds IMO.
 

E30M3

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Preseason probably not, but there are some games that have my interest. I tend to not bet on the fins though typically, one, they are hard to predict and two, it screws with my desired outcome of a game.
 

Aqua Shadow

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I took the Phins to win the afc East. There were some other division champs bets I made that I feel good about too. Also I’m going in on the young QBs for MVP
 

AdamD13

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I did bet on the Dolphins to win the East. Last year was the best year for gambling on the Dolphins. Early in the season I knew they would not cover and late in the season I knew they would. Paid for my golf membership and a few toys.
Betting on Miami to win the AFC East last year wasn't a gamble, it was a donation.
 

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Aqua and coral forever - the home team
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I don't like tying up my bets for so long.

Miami is usually one of the whipping boys of the league, rarely gets exposure on NFL network and espn...

This leads to some very high spreads that early bettors usually bet down.

Miami props are usually not sharp since no one really knows what Miami is doing lol
 

NBP81

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It will be a though year for gamblers IMO... One of the main things will be how books figure home field advantage with no crowds, there's really no priors on that so making any kind of predictions here can only be subjective. Which leads me to believe they're going to cover their *** with bigger than usual holds... Nevermind games where a portion of the rosters are on the covid list.

I havent checked how other sports have been priced in relation to this up to now, but none of those sports have the amount of crowd the NFL does either... It'll be interesting to see how they deal with it for sure...

I'd sure like to hear @Awsi Dooger 's take on it...
 
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hoops

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I wouldn’t bet on tbe phins until tua is the starting qb.

betting on fitz is pure Russian roulette except there’s more bullets than empty chambers
 

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Aqua and coral forever - the home team
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It will be a though year for gamblers IMO... One of the main things will be how books figure home field advantage with no crowds, there's really no priors on that so making any kind of predictions here can only be subjective. Which leads me to believe they're going to cover their *** with bigger than usual holds... Nevermind games where a portion of the rosters are on the covid list.

I havent checked how other sports have been priced in relation to this up to now, but none of those sports have the amount of crowd the NFL does either... It'll be interesting to see how they deal with it for sure...

I'd sure like to hear @Awsi Dooger 's take on it...
Certain sharp gamblers say this year has proved how little the "crowd" affects the initial line.

Very interesting topic, how much the lack of fans affects probability.


And yea I've talked to CKparrothead a bit about the fins and betting.

Hoping awsi dooger chimes in, ck told me he's pretty sharp

If the mods are ok with it, I'll be upping this thread throughout the season. It's legal now , you know hehehehehe
 

NBP81

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Certain sharp gamblers say this year has proved how little the "crowd" affects the initial line.

Very interesting topic, how much the lack of fans affects probability.


And yea I've talked to CKparrothead a bit about the fins and betting.

Hoping awsi dooger chimes in, ck told me he's pretty sharp

If the mods are ok with it, I'll be upping this thread throughout the season. It's legal now , you know hehehehehe
In hockey for instance, even in the bubble, there's an advantage in being the home team as you get last change and that allows you to dictate matchups to an extent. In football, except for the fact that teams are used to the turf type, I cant think of any other homefield perks except teams traveling from west to east...?, weather is another one I could think of...There will be an opportunity to hit books who sleep at the wheel as they adjust to this unusual season thats for sure.
 
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