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Miami's record by opponents

fansinceGWilson

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I've done this the last couple of years. I've gone to the fan forum for each of Miami's '21 opponents and looked at their season predictions. I don't use this as an alternative predictor - I use this as a sign of respect Miami has earned from opponents. Nonetheless, I find it interesting.

For '21, opponents have Miami as 5-11 with one game a toss up. Wins are by Jets and Pats (both see a 1-1 split), Jax, Hou, Car. ATL fans are about evenly split. All the others predcit a win against Miami, although a few are by 3 pts. Some comments - Maimi's D is overrated, TT will struggle, OL is unsettled, new OC
 
Meh doesn’t really matter. I expect teams to underrate us because they don’t like Tua
 
Easy schedule but yeah…5 to 7 wins seems likely. Somehow Grier has been the GM for five years but has idiots like Cowherd believing we’re in the middle of a rebuild.
 
Easy schedule but yeah…5 to 7 wins seems likely. Somehow Grier has been the GM for five years but has idiots like Cowherd believing we’re in the middle of a rebuild.

Easy schedule ?

Did you see the first 5 games ?

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This years team is more talented than last year so 10 wins is the floor
 
Interesting, thanks for posting.

How the Giants are predicting a win is beyond me, they're terrible and will likely be one of the worst teams in the NFL.
I can't see why Atlanta would think coming to Miami is going to be a win either, they're in the middle of a rebuild and have one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
The Jets also shouldn't be predicting any wins since they've won 2/10 against Miami.
The rest I can at least see or make a case for why those teams could/should win the game
 
My issue is that...despite our record I don't think we were actually what you'd consider a winning team last year.

We had a few wins where some lucky things happened like return TDs, dropped INTs by the opponent quite a bit, defensive scores you cant just bank on always happening at the right time.

That isn't even counting how we had some seriously lucky breaks in the schedule like playing San Fran when their core roster was basically out, playing a lifeless Jets team twice, so on.

If we finish with a similar record with less luck factoring in I'll consider that progress.
 
My issue is that...despite our record I don't think we were actually what you'd consider a winning team last year.

We had a few wins where some lucky things happened like return TDs, dropped INTs by the opponent quite a bit, defensive scores you cant just bank on always happening at the right time.

That isn't even counting how we had some seriously lucky breaks in the schedule like playing San Fran when their core roster was basically out, playing a lifeless Jets team twice, so on.

If we finish with a similar record with less luck factoring in I'll consider that progress.
We weren't a winning team because we had some breaks go our way? We were 11th in net points last year, and thats usually a pretty good indicator of how good you are. Only 2 of the losses were by more than 1 score, meanwhile all but 3 of the wins were by more than 1 score. Were we legit superbowl contenders last year, absolutely not, but that was a tough football team and they were for sure a winning team.

This is one of the best defenses in football, and if they can get the offense to make some strides they should be in contention for the playoffs again this year.
 
We weren't a winning team because we had some breaks go our way? We were 11th in net points last year, and thats usually a pretty good indicator of how good you are. Only 2 of the losses were by more than 1 score, meanwhile all but 3 of the wins were by more than 1 score. Were we legit superbowl contenders last year, absolutely not, but that was a tough football team and they were for sure a winning team.

This is one of the best defenses in football, and if they can get the offense to make some strides they should be in contention for the playoffs again this year.

I mean this in a respectful way, but I feel like you didn't really read my post because this doesn't address the points I made at all.

Its not about whether the defense and special teams are good, its about the fact you can't bank on those plays happening in the right time year after year.

We might have the same number of defensive TD's, but can you say they will all come at the most opportune times? We might have 3 return TDs, but what if two come in blow outs vs when we need a score?

I don't care about our net points, because a lot of what I said factors into why our net points were fine.

I'm not saying we were a bad team last year either, but it took a lot of luck to get us to where we got. Luck isn't something you count on.
 
I mean this in a respectful way, but I feel like you didn't really read my post because this doesn't address the points I made at all.

Its not about whether the defense and special teams are good, its about the fact you can't bank on those plays happening in the right time year after year.

We might have the same number of defensive TD's, but can you say they will all come at the most opportune times? We might have 3 return TDs, but what if two come in blow outs vs when we need a score?

I don't care about our net points, because a lot of what I said factors into why our net points were fine.

I'm not saying we were a bad team last year either, but it took a lot of luck to get us to where we got. Luck isn't something you count on.
I did read your post, I don't think it's luck when it happens over and over again throughout the course of a season. When you lead the league in takeaways, I'm not sure how that's luck. To each their own, I just vehemently disagree with you saying that the team wasn't good, but they were lucky instead.
 
We weren't a winning team because we had some breaks go our way? We were 11th in net points last year, and thats usually a pretty good indicator of how good you are. Only 2 of the losses were by more than 1 score, meanwhile all but 3 of the wins were by more than 1 score. Were we legit superbowl contenders last year, absolutely not, but that was a tough football team and they were for sure a winning team.

This is one of the best defenses in football, and if they can get the offense to make some strides they should be in contention for the playoffs again this year.
What was it that the Tuna 🍣 once said? “You are what you eat?” No, that wasn’t it. “You are going to be eaten in your sleep by Solomon Kindley?” Eh, wasn’t that either. Wait, wait, I got it - “you are what you’re record says you are”. Last years team was a good football team. Good coaching of fundamentals, excellent D, Special specials and an offense that converted on 3rd and 4th at its highest rate in 20 years. Good team.
 
I did read your post, I don't think it's luck when it happens over and over again throughout the course of a season. When you lead the league in takeaways, I'm not sure how that's luck. To each their own, I just vehemently disagree with you saying that the team wasn't good, but they were lucky instead.
Agreed. The same line of thinking is when Minkah Fitz would get a TO every week and a TD every 2-3 weeks and it was “lucky”. You make your own luck when it keeps happening. The Miami Miracle? Luck. Going 10-6 last year w the same formula week in and out = not luck.
 
I did read your post, I don't think it's luck when it happens over and over again throughout the course of a season. When you lead the league in takeaways, I'm not sure how that's luck. To each their own, I just vehemently disagree with you saying that the team wasn't good, but they were lucky instead.

I didn't say we weren't good. I said we won more games than we probably should have.

Its fine to disagree though.
 
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