Mike McDaniel is ****ing with the NFL right now... | Page 5 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Mike McDaniel is ****ing with the NFL right now...

I’ve also watched a lot of video. Tua rarely goes to his first read. He cycles through his reads like a semi-auto pistol cycles through rounds. Tua has consistently thrown to wide open targets, which means no matter how much a defender attempts to anticipate where Tua will go he will probably go somewhere else. Watch him pregame. He is practicing each play in his mind changing his reads and eye position. Last game he threw TWO no look passes for TDs. As you said it’s unstoppable.
Maybe that's why Hill was wide open on the third play of the game. They thought Anderson was his first read.
I was pretty excited about our team until I saw this month-old article just now.

I guess we're not as good as we thought.

LMAO. Nine offenses better than the Fins. Again, LMAO
Great point

Something that is refreshing about this Miami offense, even if in second or third and long, more often than not they move the chains. We just haven't seen that since marino, no down and distance is too long. Not to mention the aggressive nature of McDaniel to go for it on 4th, so much to like about this offense!
It’s literally impossible to cover Hill, Waddle, Berrios and Achane in space—IMPOSSIBLE—and when they catch it in space their YAC is insane. If you try to man them they run by you. This offense is unbeatable unless they turn it over or can’t get on the field.
Watching the replay (last night), Chosen made every effort to score IMO.

But, TBH, Surtain had a few instances to prevent that.

He absolutely should've too. There's no reason Robbie shouldn't have been going a 100%. There was still a whole quarter to play and he's trying to get paid one more time.
Maybe that's why Hill was wide open on the third play of the game. They thought Anderson was his first read.
I think that play was definitely a mistake in coverage. You don’t leave the most dangerous playmaker in the NFL that wide open.
I'm 63 today. Miami gave me a great early birthday present with that awesome win over Denver, but it would be like icing on the cake if they crush Buffalo on Sunday! :UP:

Happy Birthday brother. Love to see the Lehigh Valley representing the Aqua and Orange.
They were run blitzing against 2nd stringers (with their starters) and putting bodies on the QB and RB as the ball was handed off.

That deep shot was a message “We are trying to be nice, but will make you pay if we have to”
Also, it was 3rd and 10 and it didn’t look like White was going there the whole way. Guy was wide open and at that point it’s just instinct no?
As a fellow poker player, I always love seeing your posts on here about applying GTO to football. Nice write up, brother.
I quit playing seriously a handful of years ago but still study the game for fun... Though I always feel on the verge of starting again and I don't think that's ever going to go away... Could hardly keep up with 6 tables in the end and it wasn't all that profitable, I'd probably get crushed online if I'd go back. I do a couple of live tourneys here and there, those are easy pickings.
By the way, didn’t Sean Payton hang 62 on Indy the year they were 1-15 w no Peyton? I’m sure Coach isn’t whining
I watched his PC after the game and he wasn't complaining at all.
It's nearly impossible to apply GTO to two-team zero-sum games when the players on each team execute their strategies independently. You are correct in thinking that you can apply this idea in a two-team, zero-sum setting when the players on each team act as one player (in a perfectly coordinated way), but this is not realistic when computing solutions to complex games because the joint state and action space grows combinatorial with the number of players.

GTO cannot be directly applied to football (other team sports) for several reasons:
  1. Incomplete Information: GTO relies on having complete information about the game, including the strategies and actions of all players involved. In football, it's impossible to have perfect information about the opposing team's strategies, player abilities, and decision-making during the match. This lack of information makes it challenging to develop a true GTO strategy.
  2. Team Dynamic: Football is a team sport with 11 players on each side working together. GTO assumes that each player makes decisions independently to maximize their individual outcome, but in football, players must cooperate and adapt their actions based on their teammates' movements and decisions. This dynamic interaction complicates the application of GTO principles.
  3. Continuous Action: In many games where GTO is applied, actions are discrete and sequential, with clear decision points. In contrast, football is a continuous game with a constantly changing field, ball movement, and player positions. The fluid and dynamic nature of football makes it difficult to model using the discrete decision-making framework of GTO.
  4. Complex Rule Set: Football has complex rules and regulations, and decisions often involve referee judgment calls. GTO assumes a well-defined set of rules, and the lack of precise rules adherence in football can lead to unpredictable outcomes.
  5. Emotional and Psychological Factors: Football is a highly emotional and psychologically charged sport. Player emotions, crowd influence, and momentum shifts can significantly impact decision-making and gameplay. GTO does not account for these emotional and psychological aspects.
  6. Heterogeneous Abilities: Football teams have players with varying skills, strengths, and weaknesses. GTO assumes all players are of equal skill, which is rarely the case in real football matches. Teams need to adapt their strategies based on the strengths and weaknesses of their players.
While GTO may not be directly applicable to football, teams often use advanced analytics, statistical models, and data-driven approaches to improve their strategies and player performance. These tools can provide valuable insights and help teams make more informed decisions, but they still do not replace the complexity of team dynamics and the unpredictable nature of the sport.
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