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My First Mock

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Here it goes. First to free agency.

Byron Jones CB (estimated $17 million)
Joe Thuney G (estimated $14 million)
DJ Reader DT (estimated $8-10 million)
Conner McGovern C (estimated $8 million)
Shaq Lawson DE (estimated $8-10 million)
Frank Gore RB (estimated $1.5 million)

That's about $58 million, although who really knows what the market bears.

Draft (no trades)

1. (5) Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
At first I didn't buy into the Tua to Washington rumors, but it makes sense. If healthy, and that's looking good for Tua, he is a better quarterback than Dwayne Haskins. If Tua pans out, Washington can get value down the road for Haskins. I do buy into Miami's interest in Herbert. I still think he's the third best quarterback in this class. Some bad tape, but lots of talent to work with as well. He could sit for half a season behind Ryan Fitzpatrick while he learns the ropes.

1. (18) Austin Jackson, OT USC
The top four tackles are going to fly off the board. I've seen mocks that have Andrew Thomas near #18. If he gets close, and I'm Miami, I'd look to trade up. Jackson is a slight reach here, but has as much upside as any tackle in this draft. I don't think he makes it to #26.

1. (26) Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Taylor has great vision, quickness and power and would substantially upgrade Miami's running game.

2. (39) Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State
Even though the team added Lawson in my scenario, Miami still needs pass rushers. Weaver could sneak into the first round and, initially, be a rotation player for the Dolphins.

2. (56) Antoine Winfield, S, Minnesota
Even before the release of Reshad Jones, the Dolphins needed help at safety. I considered Xavier McKinney at #26, but opted to get the running back there.

3. (70) Michael Pittman, WR, USC
The Dolphins go back to USC for a 6-4 wideout to add to what could be an impressive wide receiver group.

4 (141) Thaddeus Moss, TE, LSU
With their first compensatory pick, Miami takes a tight end who came on late for LSU. Moss, the son of Randy Moss, adds depth at tight end.

5. (153) Trey Adams, OT, Washington
Once considered a first round talent, prior to injuries, Adams adds depth at tackle.

5 (154) Shane Lemieux, OG Oregon
Miami goes back-to-back offensive line.

5. (173) A.J. Green, CB Oklahoma State
The Dolphins nab a 6-2 corner to finish off their trio of 5th rounders.

6. (185) Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State
Miami adds depth at safety.

7. (227) James Morgan, QB, Florida International
The Dolphins worked out Morgan and take a chance on him late.

7. (246) Jalen Elliott, S, Notre Dame
Team continues to provide competition at safety.

7. (251) Jon Runyan, G, Michigan
Miami finishes off the draft with another offensive line selection.
 
Give me D obbins instead of Taylor and I feel you have the best FA/draft mock so far.
Also, what are your about T Johnson on a prove it deal over Jones at 17m?
Also I like grabbing Morgan late. I want to go into TC with 6 QBs!
 
Also I see reader getting at least 12m. 8 to 10 seems a bit optimistic maybe?
 
Very good first round. I would take Kvon Wallace in the second over Winfield. Basically I would target only KVon Wallace at safety. I don't think Curtis Weaver or any DE is a day 2 worthy prospect. I would not draft a 6-2 DE.
Fins will have a problem finding a RT if they don't take Wills or Whirfs at 5.
 
Very good first round. I would take Kvon Wallace in the second over Winfield. Basically I would target only KVon Wallace at safety. I don't think Curtis Weaver or any DE is a day 2 worthy prospect. I would not draft a 6-2 DE.
Fins will have a problem finding a RT if they don't take Wills or Whirfs at 5.
Not ideal, but Miami could go with Davis for one more year at right tackle.
 
Here it goes. First to free agency.

Byron Jones CB (estimated $17 million)
Joe Thuney G (estimated $14 million)
DJ Reader DT (estimated $8-10 million)
Conner McGovern C (estimated $8 million)
Shaq Lawson DE (estimated $8-10 million)
Frank Gore RB (estimated $1.5 million)

That's about $58 million, although who really knows what the market bears.

Draft (no trades)

1. (5) Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
At first I didn't buy into the Tua to Washington rumors, but it makes sense. If healthy, and that's looking good for Tua, he is a better quarterback than Dwayne Haskins. If Tua pans out, Washington can get value down the road for Haskins. I do buy into Miami's interest in Herbert. I still think he's the third best quarterback in this class. Some bad tape, but lots of talent to work with as well. He could sit for half a season behind Ryan Fitzpatrick while he learns the ropes.

1. (18) Austin Jackson, OT USC
The top four tackles are going to fly off the board. I've seen mocks that have Andrew Thomas near #18. If he gets close, and I'm Miami, I'd look to trade up. Jackson is a slight reach here, but has as much upside as any tackle in this draft. I don't think he makes it to #26.

1. (26) Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Taylor has great vision, quickness and power and would substantially upgrade Miami's running game.

2. (39) Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State
Even though the team added Lawson in my scenario, Miami still needs pass rushers. Weaver could sneak into the first round and, initially, be a rotation player for the Dolphins.

2. (56) Antoine Winfield, S, Minnesota
Even before the release of Reshad Jones, the Dolphins needed help at safety. I considered Xavier McKinney at #26, but opted to get the running back there.

3. (70) Michael Pittman, WR, USC
The Dolphins go back to USC for a 6-4 wideout to add to what could be an impressive wide receiver group.

4 (141) Thaddeus Moss, TE, LSU
With their first compensatory pick, Miami takes a tight end who came on late for LSU. Moss, the son of Randy Moss, adds depth at tight end.

5. (153) Trey Adams, OT, Washington
Once considered a first round talent, prior to injuries, Adams adds depth at tackle.

5 (154) Shane Lemieux, OG Oregon
Miami goes back-to-back offensive line.

5. (173) A.J. Green, CB Oklahoma State
The Dolphins nab a 6-2 corner to finish off their trio of 5th rounders.

6. (185) Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State
Miami adds depth at safety.

7. (227) James Morgan, QB, Florida International
The Dolphins worked out Morgan and take a chance on him late.

7. (246) Jalen Elliott, S, Notre Dame
Team continues to provide competition at safety.

7. (251) Jon Runyan, G, Michigan
Miami finishes off the draft with another offensive line selection.

First, Haha...I was one of the early poster to bring up the STRONG concern that Washington could draft Tua. I'm glad to see more and more people are coming to this reality. It's a hell of a move for them to make..Good Luck!

Second, I hate the idea of picking any RB in the first round. Which means i would pick Taylor or Dob or anyone. There has to be better value there than a RB

Third, You really think Randy Moss kid is going to be avialable in the 4th round? He looks like the 1st or 2nd TE that going to come off the board and i doubt it's happening as late as pick 141
 
I'm not convinced Tua is better than Haskins. Haskins is only 21, doesn't have injury concerns and threw for 50 tds his sophomore year in the big ten. His year was VERY comparable to Tuas that season. He has some issues that need worked out like footwork but he has lots of potential, and combined with his much more prototypical size and durability he is right there with Tua in my eyes. If I'm them I'm not taking tua.
 
Here it goes. First to free agency.

Byron Jones CB (estimated $17 million)
Joe Thuney G (estimated $14 million)
DJ Reader DT (estimated $8-10 million)
Conner McGovern C (estimated $8 million)
Shaq Lawson DE (estimated $8-10 million)
Frank Gore RB (estimated $1.5 million)

That's about $58 million, although who really knows what the market bears.

Draft (no trades)

1. (5) Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
At first I didn't buy into the Tua to Washington rumors, but it makes sense. If healthy, and that's looking good for Tua, he is a better quarterback than Dwayne Haskins. If Tua pans out, Washington can get value down the road for Haskins. I do buy into Miami's interest in Herbert. I still think he's the third best quarterback in this class. Some bad tape, but lots of talent to work with as well. He could sit for half a season behind Ryan Fitzpatrick while he learns the ropes.

1. (18) Austin Jackson, OT USC
The top four tackles are going to fly off the board. I've seen mocks that have Andrew Thomas near #18. If he gets close, and I'm Miami, I'd look to trade up. Jackson is a slight reach here, but has as much upside as any tackle in this draft. I don't think he makes it to #26.

1. (26) Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Taylor has great vision, quickness and power and would substantially upgrade Miami's running game.

2. (39) Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State
Even though the team added Lawson in my scenario, Miami still needs pass rushers. Weaver could sneak into the first round and, initially, be a rotation player for the Dolphins.

2. (56) Antoine Winfield, S, Minnesota
Even before the release of Reshad Jones, the Dolphins needed help at safety. I considered Xavier McKinney at #26, but opted to get the running back there.

3. (70) Michael Pittman, WR, USC
The Dolphins go back to USC for a 6-4 wideout to add to what could be an impressive wide receiver group.

4 (141) Thaddeus Moss, TE, LSU
With their first compensatory pick, Miami takes a tight end who came on late for LSU. Moss, the son of Randy Moss, adds depth at tight end.

5. (153) Trey Adams, OT, Washington
Once considered a first round talent, prior to injuries, Adams adds depth at tackle.

5 (154) Shane Lemieux, OG Oregon
Miami goes back-to-back offensive line.

5. (173) A.J. Green, CB Oklahoma State
The Dolphins nab a 6-2 corner to finish off their trio of 5th rounders.

6. (185) Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State
Miami adds depth at safety.

7. (227) James Morgan, QB, Florida International
The Dolphins worked out Morgan and take a chance on him late.

7. (246) Jalen Elliott, S, Notre Dame
Team continues to provide competition at safety.

7. (251) Jon Runyan, G, Michigan
Miami finishes off the draft with another offensive line selection.

Good work. I like a lot of the players, and you hit the major strengths of the class. Herbert would be my pick at 5 in that scenario, and Winfield would be one of my top targets at 56 - think he's a good deal better than McKinney.

There are things I dislike. If the Top 4 OT's are gone at 18, the next wave is modern deep, and you should have a Top 40 player at OT available at 26. In that next group, Jackson is my favorite - but not by a wide margin. The top of the OT class is awesome, but the next group is really good. I agree that Andrew Thomas would be the best-case scenario at 18.

Love Taylor, but I don't love investing a Top 40 pick in a RB. They're too replaceable. Miami had a historically bad backfield in 2019 and a history bad OL, so I think there this tendency to overreact. OL is very urgent (the most after QB), but Miami can afford to be patient with RB. Improve the OL and passing game, and a capable RB will look good. Capable RB's aren't hard to find.

39 is a little early for Weaver imo, but I do like him. 56 is where I'd start to consider him, but I'd prefer your pick at 56 (Winfield) to Weaver. Weaver is a skilled pass rusher and plays with good strength; I'm concerned, though, that his career could look like Derek Barnett's.

I think Pittman can be a solid role player in the NFL, but I don't think he's a top talent, and if I'm not looking at a top talent, I'd want a player who better complements the current group of WR's. Decent chance both Edwards and Tyler Johnson are there at that pick, and I'd prefer both to Pittman as fits and talents. After them, I'd prefer Lynn Bowden Jr and Isaiah Hodgins.

If I missed on Kmet, I'd probably just bypass this TE class. 2021 looks like a much better group.

Again, I think this is good overall, and I only highlight the areas where I disagree as discussion points.
 
Good work. I like a lot of the players, and you hit the major strengths of the class. Herbert would be my pick at 5 in that scenario, and Winfield would be one of my top targets at 56 - think he's a good deal better than McKinney.

There are things I dislike. If the Top 4 OT's are gone at 18, the next wave is modern deep, and you should have a Top 40 player at OT available at 26. In that next group, Jackson is my favorite - but not by a wide margin. The top of the OT class is awesome, but the next group is really good. I agree that Andrew Thomas would be the best-case scenario at 18.

Love Taylor, but I don't love investing a Top 40 pick in a RB. They're too replaceable. Miami had a historically bad backfield in 2019 and a history bad OL, so I think there this tendency to overreact. OL is very urgent (the most after QB), but Miami can afford to be patient with RB. Improve the OL and passing game, and a capable RB will look good. Capable RB's aren't hard to find.

39 is a little early for Weaver imo, but I do like him. 56 is where I'd start to consider him, but I'd prefer your pick at 56 (Winfield) to Weaver. Weaver is a skilled pass rusher and plays with good strength; I'm concerned, though, that his career could look like Derek Barnett's.

I think Pittman can be a solid role player in the NFL, but I don't think he's a top talent, and if I'm not looking at a top talent, I'd want a player who better complements the current group of WR's. Decent chance both Edwards and Tyler Johnson are there at that pick, and I'd prefer both to Pittman as fits and talents. After them, I'd prefer Lynn Bowden Jr and Isaiah Hodgins.

If I missed on Kmet, I'd probably just bypass this TE class. 2021 looks like a much better group.

Again, I think this is good overall, and I only highlight the areas where I disagree as discussion points.

Forgot to mention that I like your FA picks.
 
Im a big fan of Pittman. I think he is first round value, one of the best if not the best receiver in the class, and would be a steal in the third round, doubt it will happen.
 
I'm not convinced Tua is better than Haskins. Haskins is only 21, doesn't have injury concerns and threw for 50 tds his sophomore year in the big ten. His year was VERY comparable to Tuas that season. He has some issues that need worked out like footwork but he has lots of potential, and combined with his much more prototypical size and durability he is right there with Tua in my eyes. If I'm them I'm not taking tua.
The Redskins pick will definitely be interesting. In a way, Young or Brown makes more sense than Tua for them.

But new coaching staffs are unpredictable.
 
Forgot to mention that I like your FA picks.
Miami might be more likely to go bargain shopping, but I thought my group was somewhat realistic.

Finding a pass rusher this offseason could be difficult. But I do agree with you that offense is the priority this year.
 
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