Numbers game: updated playoff probabilities | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Numbers game: updated playoff probabilities

With all my homerism I still think New England wins next week. Hopefully Baltimore drops one as well.


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Miami has controlled their own destiny all season long, and as usual have to look for help from other teams when it's crunch-time.
 
With all my homerism I still think New England wins next week. Hopefully Baltimore drops one as well.


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I think we've got a good shot at beating the Patriots (maybe not the referee enabled Patriots though) and I'll even put a little coin on it if the line moves a little more in our favor (we're +2.5 right now)
 
Miami to lose week 15 at home to NE who seemingly walk between rain drops for a win week after week...

The other games that matter in week 15 go something like this:

Baltimore to lose away to Detroit
Cincy out play Steelers
Denver continue the march against the Chargers
Carolina further dump the Jets out of contention

Week 16 rolls around and....

Miami exact revenge for that last minute FG to redeem ourselves adn keep the WC hunt going strong sitting now at 8-7 we are now ahead of Baltimore...

Baltimore lose at home to the Patriots who just cant seem to step wrong, even when they do...7-8

The Jets go 7-8 with a win over the Browns at home

Cincy are 11-4 and win their div nicely as the 3rd seed
Patriots are number 2 seed
Broncos have number 1

Colts and Chiefs are in at 4th and 5th respectively.. Miami and Baltimore still looking to edge the 6th spot and it all goes to the final week 17 results..

Week 17

Miami v Jets - Miami make a clean sweep of it and go 9-7 with a crushing defeat of the Jets who play hard but the confidence is renewed in Florida with the Ravens on the back heel...

Baltimore v Cincy - The Bengals outplay the Ravens who have lost the last 2 games and are reeling from these and being given the run around by the Vikings in week 14...

Miami then meets the Bengals in the WC game..

Miami who have already beaten the Bengals succeed again here in the WC and go on to week 2 and the Broncos at Mile High.. The Chiefs outdo the Colts and meet the Patriots..

I forsee the Chiefs and the Dolphins getting dumped out in week 2 and then Manning v Brady = a Patriots win as Brady has the smarts against the choker Manning. Brady is currently 10-4 against Manning.

Brady plays in his record breaking 6th SB much to the annoyance and frustration of every other team and fan in the league...

NFC

If the Seahawks survive I suggest they will most likely meet the Saints at home in the championship game and with the crowd noise smash the Saints all over again making it a Patriots - Seahawks Bowl.. and I can only see one winner and it pains me to say it.. New England do it again....
 
I think we've got a good shot at beating the Patriots (maybe not the referee enabled Patriots though) and I'll even put a little coin on it if the line moves a little more in our favor (we're +2.5 right now)

I've been riding on lucky money since the jet game. Up $100 so far, started with $50. I'm riding it all the way out. Miami wins the Super Bowl, thats $12K
 
For the first time in a while I'm optimistic of our chances. You can see this team gaining a little confidence, and admittedly, It's been no small feat in my mind that they've bounced back to go 3-1 since losing to Tampa Bay. I honestly thought they were finished, yet here we are.

We unleash the three headed beast WakeVerDan and BradyBunchen withers like a bad weed.
 
Please correct me if I am wrong, but if Miami is the 6th seed and beats the 3rd seed in the playoffs, they will play the 2nd seed not the first seed in the next round. In your scenario that would be the Patriots.
 
Please correct me if I am wrong, but if Miami is the 6th seed and beats the 3rd seed in the playoffs, they will play the 2nd seed not the first seed in the next round. In your scenario that would be the Patriots.

Miami to lose week 15 at home to NE who seemingly walk between rain drops for a win week after week...

The other games that matter in week 15 go something like this:

Baltimore to lose away to Detroit
Cincy out play Steelers
Denver continue the march against the Chargers
Carolina further dump the Jets out of contention

Week 16 rolls around and....

Miami exact revenge for that last minute FG to redeem ourselves adn keep the WC hunt going strong sitting now at 8-7 we are now ahead of Baltimore...

Baltimore lose at home to the Patriots who just cant seem to step wrong, even when they do...7-8

The Jets go 7-8 with a win over the Browns at home

Cincy are 11-4 and win their div nicely as the 3rd seed
Patriots are number 2 seed
Broncos have number 1

Colts and Chiefs are in at 4th and 5th respectively.. Miami and Baltimore still looking to edge the 6th spot and it all goes to the final week 17 results..

Week 17

Miami v Jets - Miami make a clean sweep of it and go 9-7 with a crushing defeat of the Jets who play hard but the confidence is renewed in Florida with the Ravens on the back heel...

Baltimore v Cincy - The Bengals outplay the Ravens who have lost the last 2 games and are reeling from these and being given the run around by the Vikings in week 14...

Miami then meets the Bengals in the WC game..

Miami who have already beaten the Bengals succeed again here in the WC and go on to week 2 and the Broncos at Mile High.. The Chiefs outdo the Colts and meet the Patriots..

I forsee the Chiefs and the Dolphins getting dumped out in week 2 and then Manning v Brady = a Patriots win as Brady has the smarts against the choker Manning. Brady is currently 10-4 against Manning.

Brady plays in his record breaking 6th SB much to the annoyance and frustration of every other team and fan in the league...

NFC

If the Seahawks survive I suggest they will most likely meet the Saints at home in the championship game and with the crowd noise smash the Saints all over again making it a Patriots - Seahawks Bowl.. and I can only see one winner and it pains me to say it.. New England do it again....
 
If you guys win out you will make it.

I think Baltimore will lose at least 1 and if they lose 2 then if we win out we'll make it but you guys are in a great spot.
 
Does not the lowest seed meet the highest seed?

Therefore the 6th seed would play the first seed?

Perhaps I am confused?
 
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