Miami officially controls their own destiny into the playoffs with 2 weeks to go, thanks to a Denver Broncos loss:
Miami can no longer get the 1/2/3/4 seed in the AFC playoffs. New England is your official AFC East division Winner.
Can We Clinch Next Week?
YES!! If we defeat Buffalo and Denver loses @ KC. We will have clinched a playoff spot.
Can We Be Eliminated Next Week?
NOPE!! We are 1 game clear of every other Wild Card competing team in the AFC. We cannot be Eliminated until Week 17 at the earliest.
For Miami to get the 6 seed
11-5 - Miami would guarantee themselves the 6 seed and have serious aspirations about the 5 seed
10-6 - Miami would have lost one of their final two games (@ NYJ & vs. NE) AND Denver would have to lose at least 1 of their final two games (@ KC & vs. Oak). If Denver were to win their final 2 games, Miami would need KC to lose their final 2 games so KC can win the tiebreak over Denver (division tiebreak) and we can win the tiebreak over KC (common games tiebreak). This scenario would guarantee us the 6 seed, and possibly the 5 seed (see below)
9-7 - Miami would have lost both of their final games and they need a bunch of stuff to go their way including: Denver going 0-2, Baltimore going 0-2, Buffalo going 1-1 (they would edge us out via strength of victory), Tennessee going 0-2, etc. Just an unimaginable situation, one that will merit more analysis if we lose next week and see the other results.
For Miami to get the 5 seed
11-5 - Miami would need Kansas City to lose at least one of their last 2 games and Oakland to win at least one of their last 2 games. Oakland would win the division and we would beat KC on tiebreak (common games).
10-6 - Miami would need Kansas City to lose both of their final 2 games and either Baltimore or Pittsburgh to finish 9-7. KC wins any tiebreak vs. Denver in the AFC West due to Division Record and we own the tiebreak over KC (common games). However if Baltimore and Pittsburgh both finish 10-6, Baltimore would win the division and in a 3 way race between KC/Miami/Pittsburgh . . . Pittsburgh is the 5 seed because of the best conference record (4 losses). Miami and KC would have 5 conference losses and Miami wins the tiebreak via common games to maintain the 6 seed.
9-7 - No chance to get the 5 seed
Hope this helps a bit. Today really hurt our 9-7 chances, but increased our 10-6 chances and our 5th seed chances, while also allowing us to control our own destiny no matter what.
Great day overall!
Miami can no longer get the 1/2/3/4 seed in the AFC playoffs. New England is your official AFC East division Winner.
Can We Clinch Next Week?
YES!! If we defeat Buffalo and Denver loses @ KC. We will have clinched a playoff spot.
Can We Be Eliminated Next Week?
NOPE!! We are 1 game clear of every other Wild Card competing team in the AFC. We cannot be Eliminated until Week 17 at the earliest.
For Miami to get the 6 seed
11-5 - Miami would guarantee themselves the 6 seed and have serious aspirations about the 5 seed
10-6 - Miami would have lost one of their final two games (@ NYJ & vs. NE) AND Denver would have to lose at least 1 of their final two games (@ KC & vs. Oak). If Denver were to win their final 2 games, Miami would need KC to lose their final 2 games so KC can win the tiebreak over Denver (division tiebreak) and we can win the tiebreak over KC (common games tiebreak). This scenario would guarantee us the 6 seed, and possibly the 5 seed (see below)
9-7 - Miami would have lost both of their final games and they need a bunch of stuff to go their way including: Denver going 0-2, Baltimore going 0-2, Buffalo going 1-1 (they would edge us out via strength of victory), Tennessee going 0-2, etc. Just an unimaginable situation, one that will merit more analysis if we lose next week and see the other results.
For Miami to get the 5 seed
11-5 - Miami would need Kansas City to lose at least one of their last 2 games and Oakland to win at least one of their last 2 games. Oakland would win the division and we would beat KC on tiebreak (common games).
10-6 - Miami would need Kansas City to lose both of their final 2 games and either Baltimore or Pittsburgh to finish 9-7. KC wins any tiebreak vs. Denver in the AFC West due to Division Record and we own the tiebreak over KC (common games). However if Baltimore and Pittsburgh both finish 10-6, Baltimore would win the division and in a 3 way race between KC/Miami/Pittsburgh . . . Pittsburgh is the 5 seed because of the best conference record (4 losses). Miami and KC would have 5 conference losses and Miami wins the tiebreak via common games to maintain the 6 seed.
9-7 - No chance to get the 5 seed
Hope this helps a bit. Today really hurt our 9-7 chances, but increased our 10-6 chances and our 5th seed chances, while also allowing us to control our own destiny no matter what.
Great day overall!
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