DING, DING!!! Anyone who's played organized sports for very long knows their are games they should win, but for some reason, nothing 'clicks.' It's as if the team is flat. easy to lose those games and I expect Miami to lose one. OTOH, there are teams that should be a loss, but, everything seems to click. Lucky plays work. The other team seems slow. I expect Miami to win one of those.
Tangentially, when good teams playing each other, it is common for the win/loss to come down to coaching decisions. One good/bad call can be the difference. That's my concern with Mcd. If he's learned, Miami can pull out 1-2 of those.