LargoFin
Active Roster
experts fail all the time.
Experts usually fail because they draft based on opinion. That was the case last year for example. Three quarterbacks went top 10 who were not elite: Darnold, Allen, and Rosen. When these quarterback fail to give their teams a chance to win SB on rookie contract, and possibly dwindle out of the league after year four, people will call them busts. They are not busts. The experts failed. They drafted QBs who are not top ten material. They were fourth-round material, and they took them top 10.
That is the most common reason why top ten QBs fail, and last year was an odd year for QBs because historically speaking a lot of bad quarterbacks went early. Very unusual.
Now, it is possible that some of these quarterbacks can become better in their second contract, maybe reach the playoffs a couple of times, but that is too late. Second contract is too late. We do not want to pay a QB for five years to reap marginal benefits in the second contract. We need to win now!
Because we need to win now, we need a phenom, we do not want to draft Josh Dobbs, and pass on Mahomes or Watson. That's not an option. And we know this on draft day. That's all we need to know.
Whether Josh Dobbs will actually win a playoff game before Mahomes we do not know and we do not need to know that or god forbid try to project that based on someone's opinion. All we need to know is that Mahomes is elite on draft day and Dobbs is not.
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