I do not disagree with taking chances, but I think you are kidding yourself about being only 2-3 players away. Just like Mando's recent article, the best way to evaluate a team and its needs during the offseason is the way the FO describes it: must haves, needs, and wants. Here is my opinion (cringe ... similiar to Mando's ... cringe, again) on these categories.
Must Haves: NT, FS
Needs: OLB, ILB, WR
Wants: OG (right), WR2, TE, ILB2, OLB2, CB3, SS
We are at least 5 players away from consistent playoff contention. Please note almost all of them are defensive.