1) Miami was only up 24 pts, with 10:21 left in the 4th quarter. That's only 3 scores, which can be quickly erased. In 1987, Bucs were ahead by 25 points in the 4th qtr against the Cardinals. The Cardinals scored 28 points in 10:41, to win a huge 4th qtr comeback.. http://articles.latimes.com/1987-11-09/sports/sp-14469_1_deficit 2) Onside kicks are most likely to succeed when they're not expected. When Miami did the 4th qtr onside kick, the game was still in play. The onside kick was simply the dagger in the heart, to finish off the opponent, to win the game.