Samphin's Keys to the Game 9/18 @ NYJ | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Samphin's Keys to the Game 9/18 @ NYJ

Samphin

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Well, it is time once again folks. Last week Miami shocked the football world by beating the Broncos in our home and season opener. New York also shocked people, but for mainly, the wrong reasons. They were pummelled by the Kansas City Chiefs and by themselves.

Last week, I mentioned that we needed to force Plummer to throw while on defense and Traylor would need to plug the urn. Miami was succesful on both fronts. Offensively, this column said we would need to pick on Champ Early to see how healthy he was and also, to throw at their rookie corners. We did both, and we all know the results.

This week marks the home opener for the Jets and also the opening of divisional play. Our beloved Miami Dolphins will march into the Meadowlands to take on the hated Jets. There is a lot of history betweens these teams, good and bad for both. The Monday Night Massacre as we call it, is the Midnight Miracle for New York. The Fake Spike game also marks a pivotal point in this series.

However, this is a new year and new years brings new results. So, without further adieu, here are some keys that Miami needs to follow to beat the Jets.

The Problem: Jets defensive line.
The Jets have one of the best defensive lines in football. They were embarrassed last week by the running combination of Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson. This line is not as bad as we saw in week one, not by a long shot. Players like John Abraham and Shaun Ellis both had double digit sack totals in 2004 and John racked one up against KC as well. DT DeWayne Robertson is a young gun who cannot be ignored either. The man is well over 300 pounds and could provide matchup problems in the middle.

The Solution:
Quick Passes. Kansas City succeeded early in snapping the ball and doing 3 step drops. This allows for the o-line to not have to hold their blocks as long and negates the effectiveness of Abraham and Ellis. Gus may go from the shotgun as well but the ball needs to be out quick. Chambers and Booker should be able to get inside position on slants and pick up decent chunks at a time if Gus can get the ball to them again. Plus, New York had a rookie safety and two CB's as well. The more we can matchup our receivers on them, the better.

The Problem:
New York's secondary.
Ty Law is good. He may not be as good as Bailey when he is ealthy, but nonetheless he is good. He had a pick last week and provides an awesome championship presence to the secondary. Justin Miller is a talented rookie who is about as fast as one can be. Had Booker caught that pass against him, I doubt he scores as Miller would have caught him from behind. Both have great closing speed and could very well get themselves right back into position to int, or knock the ball away on a deep pass.

The Solution:
Our Receivers. More specifically, David Boston, Chris Chambers and Marty Booker. New York's secondary is ( with the exception of Law ) very young. In fact, they have two rookie CB's, much like denver and a rookie Safety as well. Another thing we have on them is size. Not one of New York's corners is listed over 5'11". David Boston and Marty Booker are both over 6 feet tall and Chambers is an inch off of that, but can jump like a crazy man. For this game, I think, for matchup purposes, Welker should be behind Boston. Boston provides us a much better matchup when we have three wideouts on the field. Our receivers should be able to get get position on the smaller CB's and be able to outjump them for balls as well. Their safeties are taller but they are very young and that should also be exposed by our veteran route runners.

The Problem:
Jets dominant O-line.
Say what you want, but Kevin Mawae had had Zach Thomas's number seemingly forever. No matter what the situation has been, Kevin seems to find Zach and punish him. This line also has some continuity. Jason Fabini has been there for awhile as well. They also have some talented backups in Scott Gragg and talented versatile players in Pete Kendall. Curtis Martin has was rushing titles following some of these guys and had his career extended beyond the normal flameout point for RB's.

The Solution:
Traylor and Taylor. I hate to sound like a borken record from last week but it is true. Traylor lining up as a nost tackle is a godsend. It forces Mawae to engage him immediately which will free Zach up ( FINALLY ) to roam and shoot the gaps. Thomas is at his best when he has room to use his instincts and he may finally be able to do that. Taylor looked very good against the vaunted line of Denver and this week, will be matched up against Fabini. I expect Taylor and Thomas to have a field day. NOTE: The Jets didn't rush for one first down last week. Hopefully we can extend that out to week 3 three.

The Problem:
Chad Pennington. He fumbled a lot this past week. Don't expect a repeat performance. I would be williing to bet money that Chad, Jay and the entire O is working hard on securing the ball and looking sharp. If the D-line can't generate a pass rush, and Chad is able to remain upright with the ball, we could be in trouble. Coles, Chrebet and Martin are good receivers and personally, I have seen enough of all of them to last a lifetime.

The Solution:
Make him throw deep. Chad has never had the strongest arm, and coming off of shoulder surgery, chances are it isn't any stronger. I would try to play Madison, Howard and Daniels up close to the wideouts. Reason being? For one, it allows for better run support on draws and cut backs. Plus, Chad showed last week that he couldn't seem to hit anyone deep. He threw balls out of bounds, past receivers, basically, everywhere that he shouldn't. I would like to challenge him to beat us with his arm this week. Keep the safeties back for extra help but force Chad to throw past 10 yards and see how he responds. If Fiedler comes in, we are golden. He looked horrible in the limited time he came in in week one. sure he had the TD, but that was after a KC defender dropped a surefire INT, a fumble by Jay, a tipped pass nearly picked off and a lucky bounce into a receivers hands. Force their Qb's to go long and we can be succesfull.

So tose are where I think we should focus our attention on. Notice the running game isn't on there. I think the Jets will be waiting for it this week. We could try to establish it early and test their focus, but I have a feeling the run will come later off of draws and counters. I think if we establish Gus as a legit threat to pass the ball first, Ronine and Sammy will get theirs later.

What do you guys think? Anything else we should be aware of?
 
Just thought I would bump it once and see if anyone else wanted to read it. :D
 
I think your assesment is fairly accurate. The X factor is Welker. I think I would use Welker more cause he could be the sleeper that the Jets may overlook. Wes has the speed to get open and he can catch. I am liking this kid more and more each week.

On D I think we just confuse the heck out of Penny with our new look D and blitz packages. Don't forget Channing Crowder, the monster.
 
Good analysis.

I think the entire game rests on two major things. Gus Frerotte and the pressure we put on Pennington.
 
Good Post ... but I could see us going right at the DLine early just to try to rattle their confidence if Ronnie busted loose once or twice.
 
Great post...

The greatest thing I like about our matchups with teams from week to week is this...

I have absolutley NO IDEA as to what gameplan Saban is going to come up with. I tell you this is fun football at its best. For so many years, the Jets could just lineup against us, knowing full well exactly what we would do both offensively and defensively. Now...they cant gameplan against us. Every team in the AFC East is behind the 8 ball against us in that respect. Its not a huge edge..but its an edge non the less.
 
vt_dolfan said:
Great post...

The greatest thing I like about our matchups with teams from week to week is this...

I have absolutley NO IDEA as to what gameplan Saban is going to come up with. I tell you this is fun football at its best. For so many years, the Jets could just lineup against us, knowing full well exactly what we would do both offensively and defensively. Now...they cant gameplan against us. Every team in the AFC East is behind the 8 ball against us in that respect. Its not a huge edge..but its an edge non the less.

That's exactly right. Plus, not only don't we know what Saban will do, we have no clue how successful it will be. It's still a fragile team in many areas with limited and vulnerable personnel, especially the OL. Very intriguing season as a Dolphin fan. But as a sports bettor it is frustrating because Miami was so predictable the last few years under Wannstedt it felt like I could predict the spread result of game after game months in advance. The Jet games, in particular, were virtual gimmes betting on New York. I mean, there was one game in Miami a few years ago when we were maybe 6 point favorites and I was sure we would get blasted, and we did. Now I'm going to be very cautious, small bets like last week, until I see at least a few more games.
 
Samphin

good write up. i do disagree on our secondary's strategy though

we have always played up on their recievers and rutinely got beat with their speed. THis happens because vinny and chad had time to let their recievers make one or even two moves on our corners for 10 and 12 yrd gains.

my solution is to back off our corners and blitz chad with the LBs. this should hurry chad a bit and give our corners a chance to read the route and break on the ball.
 
Samphin said:
The Problem: Jets defensive line.
The Jets have one of the best defensive lines in football. They were embarrassed last week by the running combination of Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson. This line is not as bad as we saw in week one, not by a long shot. Players like John Abraham and Shaun Ellis both had double digit sack totals in 2004 and John racked one up against KC as well. DT DeWayne Robertson is a young gun who cannot be ignored either. The man is well over 300 pounds and could provide matchup problems in the middle.

Yes, but they also let Jason Ferguson DT go via free agency and they are feeling the effects.
 
I still have this warm glow going every time I think about what we saw last Sunday. I am quickly becoming a believer and this game will help us learn how we really stand. Even if we do not win, and I think we will, as long as we play again for a FULL 60 mins, I'll be ok with the results. I do not expect us to be a powerhouse yet but the promise of improvement has already come true. I cannot properly express how happy i am knowing my football coach is putting together an actual gameplan that does not consider a punt an acceptable course of action. All the things that Saban promised us have shown "some" fruation and I expect this to continue. Anybody besides me excited about the prospect of being better in December than today ? The word "fun" jumps out at me, how long has it been that we REALLY looked forward to playing the Jets. We might not win, but we won't quit and they will have to earn a victory this time. I have a feeling that the days of hanging our heads are over, that we will bw able to find positives even in a loss. I believe that we will learn from our mistakes this year rather than wallowing in them. Good post Samphin, thanks. Go Fins !
 
here is the deal.....teh defense will be throwing a hell of a lot more at the Jets than they showed against Plummer. Reason being, Pennington and JF are pocket passers 80% of the time. they can roll out and do so from time to time. Saban is going after this one on the road. Take the crowd out of the ball game early. Reek havoc. Mawae will not be able to focus on holding and Zach when he has the double wide to deal with. The thing about the double wide is that he attacks the gap and Knows Sabans DEfense from NE. I think we shut down Curtis Martin and force Chadwick to throw and use that shoulder of his.
 
Has D Roberston put on a lot of weight since he's been in the league. I seem to remember from the draft that he was just under 300 lbs. and just over 6'0".
 
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