Samphin's keys to the game 9/25 vs. Carolina | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Samphin's keys to the game 9/25 vs. Carolina

Samphin

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Well, after the highest of high's in week one, Miami and its fans came crashing down to sea level in week 2. A hard fought game against New York left us a little battered and a little bruised, and with a loss. However, it wasn't a total meltdown and the defense looked good again. The offense was able to move the ball downfield a few times but shot itself with drops, penalties and missed field goals. In order to bounce back and be on the positive side of .500, Miami is going to have to correct these essentials.

They will also have to beat a talented Carolina team that just got through beating the defending World Champs. With the likes of Julius Peppers, Stephen Davis and Steve Smith on their team, this will be no easy task for Miami. However, it isn't impossible. Looking at the film and stats, it is clear that Carolina has some weaknesses as well. If Miami can expolit said problems, they should be able to walk out a winner.

So, without further adieu...The keys to the game:

The Problem: Carolina's front seven

Talk about a significant problem. Julius Peppers is arguably the best DE in the game. He is the perfect blend of size, speed, and strength. He commands a double and sometimes even a triple team from opponents. Oh and by the way, that frees up the other DE, Mike Rucker, who is no slouch himself. These two ends are very similar to what Miami faced last week in New York. They are very talented and WILL cause havoc in the backfield. Along with the likes of DT Brenston Buckner, and LB Dan Morgan, the front seven have held talented running backs Deuce McCallister and Corey Dillon to 100 yards on 40 carries. That is a very anemic 2.5 yards per carry. Not to mention they have pitched a virtual shutout on receiving as well. Those two combined for two receptions for 5 yards, both catches coming from Deuace in week one. Needless to say, they are going to be a tough egg to crack in the running game.

The Solution:

Running up the middle. I know, it sounds like a death sentence, but here me out. Deauce is much more of an east-west runner than a north-south guy. The few times he did run between the guards, he was able to pick up some yardage and a few touchdowns at the goalline. Plus, Kris Jenkins is out for the season which puts a damper on their inside attack. With the bulk of Ronnie and Sammy, we should be able to push the ball at least a few yards inside and keep the defense on the field. Remember, this is a home game in September. It should be humid and they should be wearing BLACK. We need to be able to control the ball on the ground and wear them down.
Misdirections and counters could work as well if Miami wanted to go outside at all. Julius is very quick and may over commit. However, they still have a very good defense behind him and the linebackers are disciplined. We may just have to grind it out inside and hope for the best all day long.

The Problem: Steve Smith

Steve Smith is very very good. Unlike the Jets, Carlina has a definitive number one receiver and Jake is not afraid to get the ball to him. Although only listed at 5'9" and 185 lbs, Steve plays like a 6'3" 220 pounder with speed. He can catch the ball anywhere on the field and run away with it. He has 172 of the 366 yards receiving Carolina has and a TD.

The Solution:

Double team him. Be it with Bell, Jones, Schulters or whomever, we need to double team Steve and take him out of this game. I would put Madison on him and have him follow him around all day long with the safeties playing over the top. I know that goes away from our zone coverage, but sometimes, you have to adjust to the players you have and your opponent has. Remember, Steve Smith has 172 of 366 passing yards this season. That means, 194 yards have been spread out among six other receivers. that is good for 32yards on average for the other receivers. Divide that by the number of games played and the rest of the team is averaging 16 yards per game. In other words, they aren't much of a threat. Their second leading receiver is Ricky Proehl with 61 yards. No one else has caught a TD pass yet. More good news? Steve Smith was held to four catches against New England. A team that runs simiilar style defenses as ourselves. Take Steve Smith our of the equation and dare the others to beat us.

The Problem: Carolina's running attack

This is probably the biggest strength on Carolina's team. The Panthers have Stephen Davis, Deshaun Foster and Nick Goings. Those three have combined for 238 yards on 55 carries. That is a 4.32 ypc average. Not to mention the fact that Stephen Davis, their main back, already has four touchdowns on the ground. They are very good on the ground and for the third week in a row, Miami will have to deal with a solid o-line.

The Solution:

Blitz. Blitz all downs and every which way you can. Traylor can suck up blockers like he has in the other games, but I really think we are going to need more help. So far, we haven't seen the manic blitzing we saw even in preseason. We have played pretty well in our bas defenses, but this weke it should change. Bring the pressure on rushing downs and FORCE Carolina into a passing attack. Jake can move a little bit but if we bring the house AND double team Smith, we can make this a very long day for Delhomme and co. We have to force Carolina to pass though. Delhomme has three picks to one TD and a passer rating of 56. We cannot afford to let them wear down our defense in the muggy air because we won't win otherwise. Send the house and make Jake beat us.

The Problem: Carolina's DB's.

Carolina has a solid D throughout. Ken Lucas and Ricky Manning Jr. are very talented corners who will have help from rookie standout Thomas Davis at Safety. Given the foul amount of drops Miami had last week, I wouldn't be surprised if they send their LB's and Safeties ( Davis already has a sack ) on blizes and dares Gus to throw to our drop prone wideouts.

The Solution:

Randy McMichael. He has been our best receiver so far this season. Along with Welker, he has shown great hands early on and has two touchdowns in two weeks. He has 14 receptions for 132 yards. If Carolina sends the safeties or backers on blitzes. I would try to keep the RB(s) in to h epl block and look for Randy over the middle. He knows how to get open and can run. Not only that, but he does a great job of using his body to shield defenders away from the ball. this should hep Gus tremendously when passing. It did against New York.
Miami may also want to think about using Ronnie Brown's hands more in this game as well. I think the more matchups we can have with our receiver's on their linebackers the better. If I were a fantasy man, I wouldn't start Chambers or Booker this week. McMichael though, should be right there though.

Again, these are some keys that are specific to the Carolina game. We all know that the Dolphins need to cut back on penalties and dropped balls, but that goes without saying here. Obviously, if they do those things, it can and will negate the above gameplan. But, if Miami can get themselves disciplined in the essentials, they should be able to focus on this gameplan and execute it.

What do you guys think?
 
Very good job, THE KEY to the game this weekend IMO is to run the ball in the middle of their D and do it well. That line needs to be worn down somehow, if not... Well you get the idea. They can kill a young O-Line like ours along with their confidence that they have in themselves. If they do that our line will look even weaker than it should. I think Ronnie is getting better week by week and I expect him to make a couple of clutch plays this week to help us in trying to get a W against a VERY formidable opponent.
 
ROT Jordan Gross is a weak link in terms of pass protection on their offensive line. He can be exploited continuosly. Additionally, Thomas Davis or Marlon McCree( whoever starts) are a weak link in the seconndary. We need to isolate whichever one it is and attack. Other than that I think we're going to have a very long day. We need a superhuman effort from our defense to keep us in the game. Somehow Howard needs to step up. Welker needs a good day returning kicks also
 
Also, I have confidence in our run D and Goal Line D. Notice last week when Davis got 20 some carries he had a little over 60 yards against the Pats d. I think that we have a better run stopping D than the Pats, who overrall have a better D than ours... But as I was saying, if we can stop Davis like the Pats did (even though he had 3 TDs, they were mostly due to short yardage situations) and make Jake throw I think we'll be ok.
 
Great post....I agree that the inside running game is going to be the #1 key to this game.
 
Samphin said:
The Problem: Carolina's front seven

Talk about a significant problem. Julius Peppers is arguably the best DE in the game. He is the perfect blend of size, speed, and strength. He commands a double and sometimes even a triple team from opponents. Oh and by the way, that frees up the other DE, Mike Rucker, who is no slouch himself. These two ends are very similar to what Miami faced last week in New York. They are very talented and WILL cause havoc in the backfield. Along with the likes of DT Brenston Buckner, and LB Dan Morgan, the front seven have held talented running backs Deuce McCallister and Corey Dillon to 100 yards on 40 carries. That is a very anemic 2.5 yards per carry. Not to mention they have pitched a virtual shutout on receiving as well. Those two combined for two receptions for 5 yards, both catches coming from Deuace in week one. Needless to say, they are going to be a tough egg to crack in the running game.

The Solution:

Running up the middle. I know, it sounds like a death sentence, but here me out. Deauce is much more of an east-west runner than a north-south guy. The few times he did run between the guards, he was able to pick up some yardage and a few touchdowns at the goalline. Plus, Kris Jenkins is out for the season which puts a damper on their inside attack. With the bulk of Ronnie and Sammy, we should be able to push the ball at least a few yards inside and keep the defense on the field. Remember, this is a home game in September. It should be humid and they should be wearing BLACK. We need to be able to control the ball on the ground and wear them down.
Misdirections and counters could work as well if Miami wanted to go outside at all. Julius is very quick and may over commit. However, they still have a very good defense behind him and the linebackers are disciplined. We may just have to grind it out inside and hope for the best all day long.
What do you guys think?

I like your ideas hear and you are spot on on the scouting of their players and how they have been exposed so far this season. I do like running up the middle at them, but I had a thread I started yesterday I beleive and I think to do this most affectively we need to spread out their D. with four WR sets putting Diamond/Mcmike/Ronnie wide and keep our WR Chambers/Booker/Boston in the slots. to force them to cover our WR with Lb, go to a dime or nickle, or move the LB more towards the outside of the field. Use mostly Morris in the backfield as the runner, with an occassional reverse or fake reverse to ronnie coming in motion from the edge. Our best bet is to keep them guessing. If we line up big and try to run they will stuff us, if we line up wide and try to pass they will pick us. We need to establish the run from a 4 wide set and dare them to blitz, then use WR screen plays to mcmike, Brown, or even diamond for that matter and hope to catch them in a blitz for big plays.
 
only problem is you have us blitzing and double teaming smith... that wil probably leave someone else wide open, haha... i agree we have to blitz but when we do most of the time we'll be man coverage on the outsides, so we'll HAVE to get to the QB... i noticed in the jets game, we would blitz and they'd pick it up and howard would be molested out there...

i agree we need to blitz a lot, but we need to blitz effectively, if we send extra guys and they pick it up, that leads to bad bad things
 
Good post. This will be an extremely tough game, especially coming after an already tough loss. If we do not establish some credible threat of the run I don't think we have much of a chance. This game may come down to a big play from our defense.
 
I think the Panthers can't be run on. They are too tough for an anemic running game like ours to exploit. Having stated that I do believe we need to run for no other reason than to keep them honest. We are going to have to pass to have a chance. our o-line has put up decent pass protection for Gus and we need to rely on them to protect Gus. This will be the defining game for Gus. He won't have as much time against the Panthers as he had against the Broncos or Jets. Nonetheless he needs to move the chains. McMichael and Chambers need to step up. The playcalling has to be innovative and keep the Panthers guessing. Pass on first and second, run on third. Keep them on their heels. We'll see what Linehan comes up with
 
establishing a run game is a biggie, taht wont be eay because even running up the middle they still have a very good linebacker core that will give you problems
 
rebel4life said:
establishing a run game is a biggie, taht wont be eay because even running up the middle they still have a very good linebacker core that will give you problems
Witherspoon and Morgan are good, but I think Short is their weak link. That goes in our favor because McMichael should be matched up against him some of the time, if not him he will be matched up by their young safeties. I believe we can exploit both those situations.
 
arsenal said:
only problem is you have us blitzing and double teaming smith... that wil probably leave someone else wide open, haha... i agree we have to blitz but when we do most of the time we'll be man coverage on the outsides, so we'll HAVE to get to the QB... i noticed in the jets game, we would blitz and they'd pick it up and howard would be molested out there...

i agree we need to blitz a lot, but we need to blitz effectively, if we send extra guys and they pick it up, that leads to bad bad things


You can blitz and double team. However, I said we need to blitz a lot on running plays.Obvious runng downs like 1st and ten and things of that nature was more along the lines of my thinking.

Carolina runs a lot of standard sets from what I have seen. Meaning, two wideouts, a tight end, a fullback, halfback and a drop back QB. Blitzing Seau, Thomas, or Crowder doesn't mean we can't still have a double team or a "spy" on Smith at all times.

When I say blitz, I mean we need to have more than four ocming at Delhomme and co. at all times. I can see a lot of safety blitzes coming into affect with a linebacker dropping into zone coverage on Smith's side. Or running Seau and Taylor off the same side of the line to try to cause havoc and panic throws.

I truly think that Carolina is better than us in almost every facet of the game. In order to have a chance, we are going to need to get pressure and shut down their playmakers in Smith and Davis. Make the others beat us if they can. So far, they have shown that they can't.
 
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