By Greg Cote
We were unspectacularly solid last week at 10-6 overall and 9-6-1 against the spread to push us to 23 games above .500 ATS for the year — pretty good. Misfired on our Upset of the Week (thanks for nuthin, Bengals) but had four other ’dogs-with-points (Redskins, Chiefs, Bucs, Jets) to fuel the week. The tie was Oakland pushing at minus-3. We missed being 11-4 vs. the evil betting line by two total points, but the close calls swing both ways, so, no complaining. Let’s keep the big rig honkin’! [
Note: Thursday-game pick was Vikings (+3) over Cowboys, 24-20].
| Overall
| Pct.
| Vs. spread
| Pct.
|
Last week
| 10-6
| .625
| 9-6-1
| .600
|
Season
| 110-65-2
| .629
| 97-74-6
| .567
|
[h=3]DOLPHINS THIS WEEK[/h][h=3]DOLPHINS (7-4) AT RAVENS (6-5)[/h]
Line: BAL by 3 1/2.
Cote’s pick: BAL 23-20.
TV: 1 p.m., CBS (airing in South Florida).
I’ll be the doomsayer forecasting the end of the merry six-game winning streak and a punch to Miami’s playoff hopes. Somebody’s gotta do it, Dolfans. Although, if you think I’m so often wrong that my picking against the Dolphins delights you, then …
you’re welcome! In either case, this is a very good Ravens defense — all-over-the-field good — confronting Miami in a very tough place to play. Even with the Dolphins’ offensive line healthier this week, Sunday will present a bigger challenge than Ryan Tannehill or Jay Ajayi have yet faced during this streak. I would also note that Joe Flacco is 4-0 vs. the Fins in his career, as Miami’s 15-13 home win over the Crows last season came with miserable Matt Schaub subbing for an injured Flacco. Side note: Mike Wallace faces Dolphins Sunday for first time since leaving Miami. I do judge the Fins a slightly better all-round team than Baltimore at the moment, but defense and the home field swing the pick Raven-ward. I will take the Dolphs with that extra half-point on the betting line, though, in what figures as a low-scoring afternoon in Crabtown.