Still A SLIM Chance...Win Out!! | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Still A SLIM Chance...Win Out!!

Charlie Rivers

Charlie Rivers

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If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (fat chance I know).

The following is an AI analysis...

All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.

With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.

Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.

Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.

Who's to know what can STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim? 🤔

Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!
 
We do still have a slim chance, but if we do, do the problems with the team actually get fixed? The team, as it's currently constituted, is deeply flawed. There is 0 chance we can actually make a post season run. I hate to be a debbie downer, but long term, making the playoffs could well set the team back long term.
 
vagrantprodigy said:
We do still have a slim chance, but if we do, do the problems with the team actually get fixed? The team, as it's currently constituted, is deeply flawed. There is 0 chance we can actually make a post season run. I hate to be a debbie downer, but long term, making the playoffs could well set the team back long term.
Click to expand...
We have all the time in the world to worry about that crap post season.
 
Charlie Rivers said:
If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (fat chance I know).

The following is an AI analysis...

All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.

With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.

Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.

Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.

Who's to know what can STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim? 🤔

Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!
Click to expand...
angels-with-even-filthier-souls-i-believe-ya.gif
 
vagrantprodigy said:
We do still have a slim chance, but if we do, do the problems with the team actually get fixed? The team, as it's currently constituted, is deeply flawed. There is 0 chance we can actually make a post season run. I hate to be a debbie downer, but long term, making the playoffs could well set the team back long term.
Click to expand...
Youre not being a Debbie downer, you're just speaking the truth. Weve won 4 games and 3 of the 4 wins came against awful teams or injured QBs.

Weve got an incredibly easy and fortunate schedule ahead thanks to more teams missing their QBs. The term "fools gold" fits the end of this season to a tee.

We have an easy schedule break for us like this every 5 to 8 seasons. Sometimes we "luck" our way into the playoffs and get utterly embarrassed immediately once we get there. Weve all seen this movie before a half dozen times. Dont appoligize for just speaking the truth.
 
Charlie Rivers said:
If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (fat chance I know).

The following is an AI analysis...

All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.

With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.

Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.

Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.

Who's to know what can STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim? 🤔

Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!
Click to expand...
giphy_s.gif
 
The problem is that Ross thinks like these fans. We go on a little run vs bad teams or injured teams. We get to 7 or 8 wins. The coach convinces him that they aren't far away. He keeps the current staff. He allows them to exploit resources into short term fixes. Rinse, repeat, recycle.
 
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