If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a
slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (
fat chance I know).
The following is an AI analysis...
All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.
With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.
Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.
Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.
Who's to know what can
STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim?
Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!