Still A SLIM Chance...Win Out!! | Page 3 | FinHeaven - Miami Dolphins Forums

Still A SLIM Chance...Win Out!!

BahamaFinFan78 said:
Looking like a Super Bowl champion so far today
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stevie wonder GIF
 
Jamesw said:
Friendly donation to FH wager? If we win 1. Ore game this season you,Donte $100 usd to FH. If we lose all our remaining games I will donate $100 usd to FH.
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Thanks, but no.
#1- I never bet money on anything, I worked too hard for it.

#2- My prediction could be wrong, it's only my guess. An educated guess, but a guess nonetheless.
 
Charlie Rivers said:
If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (fat chance I know).

The following is an AI analysis...

All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.

With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.

Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.

Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.

Who's to know what can STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim? 🤔

Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!
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Our chances are very thin, but still a chance all the same. 1st off just win out, then worrying about the other teams ahead of us losing. 10 wins could be enough.
 
Last 4
Charlie Rivers said:
If our Dolphins win out the remainder of our schedule and we see other outcomes, in other games (unfold to our favor), we STILL have a slim chance of getting into the playoffs this season (fat chance I know).

The following is an AI analysis...

All else equal (no specific help assumed): Around 20%. This accounts for baseline simulations where other teams play out average outcomes, but Miami's tiebreakers (e.g., conference record, head-to-head losses to teams like the Bills and Ravens) and the strength of the AFC make it an uphill battle.

With favorable help: Up to 54% or higher. This scenario requires specific losses by key rivals, such as: Jaguars losing to the Titans (Week 13) and Jets (Week 15) to cap Jacksonville at 9-8.

Bills losing to the Patriots (Week 15) to finish no better than 10-7, where Miami could edge them on tiebreakers.

Chargers losing to the Eagles (Week 14) and other wild-card hopefuls stumbling.
Texans and Colts faltering in the South race, potentially finishing 9-8 or worse.

Who's to know what can STILL happen even though our chances, right now, are slim? 🤔

Believe, my brothers...believe!!
GO DOLPHINS!!!
Click to expand...

Last 4 games the O has scored 6, 30, 16, 19. I'm guessing 'no.'
 
10-7 likely gets the team in, i believe only one 10-7 (the seahawks last year) team missed the playoffs since the inception of the 17 game season
Whether the Dolphins reach 10-7 is a different story
 
I also think this is a year a wild card team makes the super bowl for the AFC given how the top seeds are shaping up this year

The Broncos or Pats would be the weakest 1 seed since the 2021 Titans
 
Win out?
What do you define as win out?
Achieve mediocrity?
A winning record?
Make the playoffs?
Win Superb Owl?
 
Neptune said:
Win out?
What do you define as win out?
Achieve mediocrity?
A winning record?
Make the playoffs?
Win Superb Owl?
Click to expand...
I for one have always wanted a Superb Owl.

My meager collection of average and slightly substandard owls would really be set off by a Superb one
 
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