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Strength of Schedule...

Charlie Rivers

Charlie Rivers

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The Miami Dolphins have one of the NFL's easier schedules for the 2025-26 season.

Their strength of schedule is tied for 21st-easiest based on 2024 opponents' win percentage (.474).

Using projected 2025-26 opponent wins, the Dolphins are tied for 24th-easiest (141.5 projected wins).

Miami faces several non-playoff teams early, giving them a chance to start strong.

Five of their first eight games are on the road, but many are against teams that struggled last year.

Their toughest stretch comes Weeks 9-11 (Ravens, Bills, Commanders), all playoff teams from 2024.

Miami benefits from favorable scheduling: only one game outside the Eastern time zone (Madrid, Spain in Week 11) and limited cold-weather games late in the year.

GO DOLPHINS!!!

:PHNS:
 
With the exception of a few very reliably good teams, everybody is a mystery until the season plays out...strength-of-schedule prior to the latter half or end of the season is a myth.

You NEVER know what it is (was) until the end of the season...this is just media garbage, as usual.
 
Of course, you never know from season to season who the good teams will be, what teams will emerge etc. But, a potentially easier early season schedule could be exactly what Miami needs. With all the youth on defense, and a secondary that is unproven, that could give the Dolphins a chance while players find their footing.
 
Charlie Rivers said:
The Miami Dolphins have one of the NFL's easier schedules for the 2025-26 season.

Their strength of schedule is tied for 21st-easiest based on 2024 opponents' win percentage (.474).

Using projected 2025-26 opponent wins, the Dolphins are tied for 24th-easiest (141.5 projected wins).

Miami faces several non-playoff teams early, giving them a chance to start strong.

Five of their first eight games are on the road, but many are against teams that struggled last year.

Their toughest stretch comes Weeks 9-11 (Ravens, Bills, Commanders), all playoff teams from 2024.

Miami benefits from favorable scheduling: only one game outside the Eastern time zone (Madrid, Spain in Week 11) and limited cold-weather games late in the year.

GO DOLPHINS!!!

:PHNS:
Click to expand...
It looks good "on paper" but only if you use the metrics in print.

Because of the teams' history during primetime and temperatures below 50 degrees, everything changes.

I can easily see 2-3 to start and 3-6 to finish the last 9 games.

That's 5-9 with a game at home against:
The Chargers (playoff team)
And on the road, where Miami held a 3-6 record last season, against the Browns and the Falcons.
The odds there seem to say 50/50 or thereabout.

The Dolphins, without real growth, is looking close to the team from last season.

This unpopular but not so crazy observation (not prediction) has the team finishing with 5-6 wins.
And they accomplish that feat with the easiest path according to the schedule.

Something is not adding up .... :cheers:
 
mwestberry said:
It looks good "on paper" but only if you use the metrics in print.

Because of the teams' history during primetime and temperatures below 50 degrees, everything changes.

I can easily see 2-3 to start and 3-6 to finish the last 9 games.

That's 5-9 with a game at home against:
The Chargers (playoff team)
And on the road, where Miami held a 3-6 record last season, against the Browns and the Falcons.
The odds there seem to say 50/50 or thereabout.

The Dolphins, without real growth, is looking close to the team from last season.

This unpopular but not so crazy observation (not prediction) has the team finishing with 5-6 wins.
And they accomplish that feat with the easiest path according to the schedule.

Something is not adding up .... :cheers:
Click to expand...

If we get a full season or even 15 games with Tua at QB I just don’t see a scenario where we win 6 or less games, unless the entire team is a walking infirmary to the degree we’ve never seen before.
 
Finsup1981 said:
If we get a full season or even 15 games with Tua at QB I just don’t see a scenario where we win 6 or less games, unless the entire team is a walking infirmary to the degree we’ve never seen before.
Click to expand...
I won't disagree, but we've seen the team under Tua's direction only once for that length of time.
Starting a post with an if or a but isn't really a strong stance in my opinion.

Having said that, Tua's presence doesn't change the reasons for the observation.
Primetime
Cold weather
Road games

Tua hasn't made a difference in these scenarios, and they exist this season in a wild way, in my opinion.

The season starts with 3 of the first 5 on the road, along with two AFC East rival primetime games. I know one game has three very bad "vibes" ... against the Bills on the road in primetime

This doesn't look good at a glance, and it gets murkier the longer you look at it.

Tua needs to become the answer NOW ...

AND three of the draftees need to contribute in a big way.

If that happens, the team should be able to win on the road and possibly overcome the primetime stigma.
That adjustment could net another 4-5 wins. Then the Dolphins would be in the conversation of playoffs and beyond.

There's that damned if again. :cheers:
 
last year we had nice easy stretch gainst seahawks titans pats colts. Tua concussion changed all that and and we went 1-4. With him we probably win 3 out of 4. cost us season and playoffs. if tua gets hurt this team can't beat robert morris. And I still don't feel comfortable with zach wilson.
 
Best news about our schedule is this team has to go on the road the first game.

Get them off their asses at home from camp til the first game, interrupt their tee time schedule
 
Looking at SoS preseason is typically not worth anything. No one really knows how most teams will play before the first couple of games. Hell, in a typical season what records look like in week 6 look nothing like what we will see in the last month or so of the season. The media and fans will be excited about their teams being 4-2 or 5-1 only to see their teams end the season with a losing record or barely over .500.
 
We had the easiest schedule in the league last year. Not projected easiest going into the year, the actual easiest. 8-9

If this '25 schedule ends up as easy as last year we should be able to get to 8 wins again.
 
mwestberry said:
It looks good "on paper" but only if you use the metrics in print.

Because of the teams' history during primetime and temperatures below 50 degrees, everything changes.

I can easily see 2-3 to start and 3-6 to finish the last 9 games.

That's 5-9 with a game at home against:
The Chargers (playoff team)
And on the road, where Miami held a 3-6 record last season, against the Browns and the Falcons.
The odds there seem to say 50/50 or thereabout.

The Dolphins, without real growth, is looking close to the team from last season.

This unpopular but not so crazy observation (not prediction) has the team finishing with 5-6 wins.
And they accomplish that feat with the easiest path according to the schedule.

Something is not adding up .... :cheers:
Click to expand...
The secondary will be atrocious if we dont fix it by the start of the season. I believe what will happen is that Tua will have to keep up and be forced to throw more. Can he do it? I don't think he can.
 
onlyindade3051 said:
The secondary will be atrocious if we dont fix it by the start of the season. I believe what will happen is that Tua will have to keep up and be forced to throw more. Can he do it? I don't think he can.
Click to expand...
How are they going to fix it though? Other than trading for a couple of players? The available free agents just aren't good, which is expected for guys still sitting out there in May. IMO it would be best to let the young guys play and hope for the best. Not a great strategy but there really aren't any better options IMO, short of a possible trade for another CB. Problem is what team would want to trade an above average CB unless that player is forcing their way out, like Ramsey. Plus how high would the cost be? I don't want them trading their 1st, 2nd or even 3rd round 2026 picks.

As for Tua, he is just going to have to step up along with the rest of the offense.
 
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