Alright... you made me do it. I didn't want to, but it looks like I'm going to have to. You can't just say that 13 QBs who are starting didn't get drafted i the first round and call that a high percentage success rate outside of the 1st round. By definition, percentage takes into account how many possible starters could have been. 13 starting QBs looks good, until you find out that there were maybe 60 qbs picked past the first to choose from.
http://www.drafthistory.com/positions/qb.html
We'll go 2002 and earlier, to giving the last 2 qb crops time to develop.
2003:
1st 3/3 starting for their team. Palmer, Leftwich, Boller.
2nd 0/0
3rd 0/2 Ragonne and Simms are backups.
4th 0/1 Seneca Wallace
5th 0/1 Pierre
6th 0/3 Bollinger, Kingsberry, Henson
7th 0/2 Hamden and Dorsey
That's a 100% starting rate in the 1st and a
0% after that.
2002:
1st: 3/3 Carr, Harington, Ramsey. Ramsey started his rookie year and will be starting again this year. Gibbs was an idiot to trade for Brunell.
2nd 0/0 none
3rd 1/1 McCown He started most of last year... debatable whether he'll start this year
4th 0/2 Garrard and Davey
5th 0/4 Fasani, Kittner, Doman, Nall
6th 0/2 O'Sullivan, Bellisari
7th 0/4 Plate, Curry, Kelly, Burford
Again, 100% 1st, this time 1 for 1 in the third, but still pathetic post 1st round.
2001:
1st 1/1 Mike Vick
2nd 1/3 Brees, Tuiasosopo, Carter I'm not counting carter... he's a backup and that doesn't look to be changing any time in the near future.
3rd 0/0 None
4th 0/3 Rosenfels, Weinke, and Palmer
5th 1/2 Feeley and McMahon I'll give Feeley the nod for now as he's current ly the favorite to start next year.
6th 0/2 Booty and Heupel
7th 0/0 None
So that again is 100% in the 1st and the very rare find in the later rounds.
2000:
1st 1/1 Pennington
2nd 0/0 None
3rd 0/2 Redman and Carmazzi
4th 0/0 None
5th 0/1 Martin
6th 2/5 Bulger and Brady, Wynn, Husak, Seider
7th 0/3 Rattay, Jackson, Hamilton Rattay didn't even manage a full season, and he's being replaced by a drafted QB this year. A 1st round QB too... imagine that!
Ahh 2000... the wonderful year in which Bulger and Brady convinced everyone that you've got to get your starting QB in the 6th round. Nevermind the 60% failure rate of the other guys. :shakeno:
1999:
1st 2/5 McNabb, Culpepper, Couch, Smith, and McNown
2nd 0/1 Shawn King
3rd 0/1 Brock Huard
4th 1/2 Brooks and Germaine
5th 0/1 Daft
6th 0/0 None
7th 0/3 Bishop, Greisen, Covington
1998:
1st 1/2 Manning and Leaf
2nd 0/1 Batch
3rd 1/2 Quinn and Griese Griese seems to be the odds on favorite to win the TB spot, did well in Denver, and did moderatley well in our joke of an offense
4th 0/0
5th 0/0
6th 1/2 Hasselbeck and Dutton
7th 0/1 Moreno
1997:
1st 0/1 Druckenmiller
2nd 1/1 Plummer
3rd 0/0
4th 0/2 Wuerffel and Barnes
5th 0/0
6th 0/2 Clements and Cherry
7th 0/5 Detmer, Graziani, Richardson, Corbin, McAda
1996:
1st 0/0
2nd 0/1 Banks
3rd 0/1 Hoying
4th 0/2 Lewis and Kannell
5th 0/0
6th 0/2 Fischer and Cawley
7th 0/2 Stark and Wachholtz
Alrighty you want any further back than that... I gave you the page.. do it yourself. Let's tally the results, shall we?
1st: 11/16 68%
2nd: 2/6 33%
3rd: 2/9 22%
4th: 1/12 .8%
5th: 1/9 1.1%
6th: 3/19 15%
7th: 0/20 0%
Even if you take out Boller and call him a bust, you've still got 10/16 which is much better than any other round. I don't know when people decided that 1st round QBs have just as much chance of failing as every other round. The odds are stacked heavily against it.