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The Culpepper Formula

Bpk

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Okay, we all know Culpepper's been dogged by turnover problems (fumbles due to his cute lil cupie doll hands and int's due to his Favre-like sense of gotta-make-something-happen). So, I have devised a simple formula that I believe will predict the Dolphins' success rate this season when Culpepper is at quarterback.

Simply:

In games where Culpepper's total turnovers (fumbles lost+INTS) >2 We lose.

In games where Culpepper's t.t. = 2 We have a 50-50 chance.

In games where Culpepper's t.t. < 2 We win.


I devised this mainly to avoid getting frustrated and yelling at Daunte through the TV screen all year. Now, I can expect to lose if he tosses two picks and fumbles one away: "Ah, we were supposed to lose that one anyways. The formula says so."

The key to our season will be the 2 turnover games, i.m.o. If we can win more than fifty percent of those, we are a ten to eleven win team, otherwise we're stuck at 9 again.

I'm out.

B.
 
The key is oline play. If he gets protection then his turnover rate is one of the lowest in the league, just check 2003 and 2004.
 
I think if he plays better than Gus, the Phins get over 9 wins, considering the 2005 schedule was tougher than the 2006 one. If he get his career average, I don't see the Phins getting less than 11 wins.
 
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