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The Dolphins Were 94% Likely To Win...

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Shouright

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...up 17-3, with 10:50 left in the 3rd quarter, on 3rd and 2 on New England's 19 yard line, just after Mike Wallace dropped a pass inside the Patriots' 5 yard line.

On that play, Tannehill was sacked for a 9-yard loss, and following that Caleb Sturgis missed a 46-yard field goal.

Just six minutes later, at the 4:50 mark in the 3rd quarter, the game had been tied 17-17, and the Patriots were more likely than not (54%) to win for the first time in the game.

Last week against Buffalo, just prior to the sack and fumble with just under three minutes left in the 4th quarter, the Dolphins were 72% likely to win the game.

This is two giveaways in two weeks, folks.
 
Did the formula accurately apply the Miami Dolphins Constant? That constant is good for at least a 40-50% reduction in the chance of the anticipated outcome.
 
Just proves that what should or might happen is pointless. If you were to tell me Green Bay was Miami and Minnesota was New England, I would've felt fine knowing those percentages.
 
Saying that Wallace has been a complete and utter disappointment would be an understatement.
 
That's three games this year we were "supposed" to win. How many of these can we stand. It's guy wrenching. Enough Miami, jeez.
 
Again. You have absolutely no idea how statistics and percentages work. Absolutely no clue it's comical. I mean a freshman in high school has a greater understanding than you
 
PhinzN703 said:
Just proves that what should or might happen is pointless. If you were to tell me Green Bay was Miami and Minnesota was New England, I would've felt fine knowing those percentages.
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It's not what should or might happen. It's that teams in the NFL win the game 94% of the time when they're in the same position the Dolphins were in at that point, up 17-3, with 10:50 left in the 3rd quarter, on 3rd and 2 at the opponent's 19 yard line.

Of course what typically happens in that scenario is the scoring of at least three points, which puts the team in the lead up three scores, and makes a comeback by the opponent much more difficult. Notice we came out of the situation with nothing, however.
 
shouright said:
...up 17-3, with 10:50 left in the 3rd quarter, on 3rd and 2 on New England's 19 yard line, just after Mike Wallace dropped a pass inside the Patriots' 5 yard line.

On that play, Tannehill was sacked for a 9-yard loss, and following that Caleb Sturgis missed a 46-yard field goal.

Just six minutes later, at the 4:50 mark in the 3rd quarter, the game had been tied 17-17, and the Patriots were more likely than not (54%) to win for the first time in the game.

Last week against Buffalo, just prior to the sack and fumble with just under three minutes left in the 4th quarter, the Dolphins were 72% likely to win the game.

This is two giveaways in two weeks, folks.
Click to expand...


****! I hate agreeing with you shouright. I really really do, it makes me want to vomit. But it's just so frustrating watching this team. They literally found the only way to lose this game. Just like we literally found the only way to lose last week. It's like they go out of their way to come up with the worst ways to lose. It's actually kind of funny.

Yes the reffing was so e'ffing bad, but a good team finds ways to win with bad calls going against them. We didn't. End of story. Sad thing to watch the past few weeks.
 
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