Recently, I've been adamant that Miami should get one of the quarterbacks likely to go in the third and fourth rounds. Well I did a little study on them back until 1999 and the results are poor.
1999- No third rounders. Joe Germaine and Aaron Brooks are the two fourth rounders. Not too bad for this year, since Aaron Brooks started for quite a few years, but never became much after 2004.
2000- Third round brought Giovanni Carmazzi and Chris Redman. No fourth rounders...
2001- No third rounders, with Chris Weinke and Sage Rosenfels in the fourth.
2002- Josh McCown, David Garrard, and Rohan Davey in the 3, 4, 4, respectively.
2003- Dave Ragone and Chris Simms in the third, with Seneca Wallace in the 4th.
2004- Matt Schaub in the third round.
2005- Charlie Frye, Andrew Walter, and David Greene in the third round. In the fourth round Kyle Orton and Stan Lefors.
2006- Charlie Whitehurst and Brodie Croyle in the third round.
So basically the probability of acquiring a decent quarterback in the third round is one Matt Schaub or Chris Simms per 9 selections (I can't really count the last two) just yet but neither was an overwhleming steal.
The fourth round rate for a quarterback is a David Garrard or an Aaron Brooks in nine selections. So essentially the rate of getting a solid if underwhelming NFL quarterback in the 3rd and 4th rounds is 22%. That is if Aaron Brooks, Chris Simms, and David Garrard are really what you strive for... What's my point? Maybe it's just best to take another offensive linemen like a Samon Satele in third round rather than a mediocre QB... Save that last QB pick for a backup or hopeful Marc Bulger (not even mentioning Tom Brady) for the sixth round.
There are currently two starting middle round QBs in the NFL, Charlie Frye and Andrew Walter and they have led their teams to the #3 and #1 records in the NFL respectively.
So ya umm, I'll take that extra linemen in the third thank you very much.
1999- No third rounders. Joe Germaine and Aaron Brooks are the two fourth rounders. Not too bad for this year, since Aaron Brooks started for quite a few years, but never became much after 2004.
2000- Third round brought Giovanni Carmazzi and Chris Redman. No fourth rounders...
2001- No third rounders, with Chris Weinke and Sage Rosenfels in the fourth.
2002- Josh McCown, David Garrard, and Rohan Davey in the 3, 4, 4, respectively.
2003- Dave Ragone and Chris Simms in the third, with Seneca Wallace in the 4th.
2004- Matt Schaub in the third round.
2005- Charlie Frye, Andrew Walter, and David Greene in the third round. In the fourth round Kyle Orton and Stan Lefors.
2006- Charlie Whitehurst and Brodie Croyle in the third round.
So basically the probability of acquiring a decent quarterback in the third round is one Matt Schaub or Chris Simms per 9 selections (I can't really count the last two) just yet but neither was an overwhleming steal.
The fourth round rate for a quarterback is a David Garrard or an Aaron Brooks in nine selections. So essentially the rate of getting a solid if underwhelming NFL quarterback in the 3rd and 4th rounds is 22%. That is if Aaron Brooks, Chris Simms, and David Garrard are really what you strive for... What's my point? Maybe it's just best to take another offensive linemen like a Samon Satele in third round rather than a mediocre QB... Save that last QB pick for a backup or hopeful Marc Bulger (not even mentioning Tom Brady) for the sixth round.
There are currently two starting middle round QBs in the NFL, Charlie Frye and Andrew Walter and they have led their teams to the #3 and #1 records in the NFL respectively.
So ya umm, I'll take that extra linemen in the third thank you very much.
